Uncertainty Analysis for Maanshan LBLOCA by TRACE and DAKOTA (NUREG/IA-0448)

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Publication Information

Manuscript Completed: May 2014
Date Published: July 2014

Prepared by:
Jong-Rong Wang, Jung-Hua Yang*, Hao-Tzu Lin, Chunkuan Shih*

Institute of Nuclear Energy Research, Atomic Energy Council, R.O.C.
1000, Wenhua Rd., Chiaan Village, Lungtan, Taoyuan, 325, Taiwan

*Institute of Nuclear Engineering and Science, National Tsing Hua University
101 Section 2, Kuang Fu Rd., HsinChu, Taiwan

K. Tien, NRC Project Manager

Division of Systems Analysis
Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission
Washington, DC 20555-0001

Prepared as part of:
The Agreement on Research Participation and Technical Exchange
Under the Thermal-Hydraulic Code Applications and Maintenance Program (CAMP)

Published by:
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission
Washington, DC 20555-0001

Availability Notice


This research is focused on the Large Break Loss of Coolant Accident (LBLOCA) analysis of the Maanshan power plant by TRACE-DAKOTA code. In the acceptance criteria for Loss of Coolant Accidents (LOCAs), there are two accepted analysis methods: conservative methodology and best estimate methodology. Compared with conservative methodology, the best estimate and realistic input data with uncertainties to quantify the limiting values i.e., Peak Cladding Temperature (PCT) for LOCAs analysis. By the conservative methodology, the PCTCM (PCT calculated by conservative methodology) of Maanshan power plant LBLOCA calculated is 1228.7K. On the other hand, there are five initial conditions taken into account in the uncertainty analysis in this study. In PCT95/95 (PCT of 95/95 confidence level and probability) calculation, the PCT95/95 is 1131.1K lower than the PCTCM (1228.7K). In addition, the partial rank correlation coefficients between input parameters and PCT indicate that accumulator temperature is the most sensitive parameter in this study.

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