NRC-RES/EPRI 2019 Fire Probabilistic Risk Assessment Workshop
Module I – Probabilistic Risk Assessment
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Course Overview
The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC), Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research (RES), will sponsor a fire module workshop on fire probabilistic risk assessment (PRA). Working under a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) for Cooperative Nuclear Safety Research, RES and Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) have been developing state-of-the-art methods for conducting fire PRAs. In September 2005, the collaboration produced "EPRI/NRC-RES Fire PRA Methodology for Nuclear Power Facilities" (NUREG/CR-6850/EPRI 1011989), which is the subject of this 2019 course. Training will also include discussions relating to the fire PRA portion of the ASME/ANS PRA Standard.
Module I: PRA
This module covers the technical tasks for development of both the system and operator response to a fire. Specifically, this module covers NUREG/CR-6850, EPRI 1011989 Volume 2, Tasks:
- Component Selection (Task 2)
- Qualitative Screening (Task 4)
- Fire-Induced Risk Model (Task 5)
- Quantitative Screening (Task 7)
- Fire Risk Quantification (Task 14)
- Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis (Task 15)
This module is suited for PRA practitioners responsible for the systems modeling aspects of the fire PRA. Specifically, participants in this module should possess the following knowledge:
- A general knowledge of PRA as applied to nuclear power plants, including typical approaches, modeling techniques (event trees, fault trees, interfaces between PRA and HRA), and the quantification of PRA models.
- Some familiarity with plant systems typically found in nuclear power plants. A simplified, but reasonably realistic example of a few plant systems will be used to demonstrate the methodology.
- Some familiarity with P&IDs and their use in developing PRAs
When:
Monday – Thursday | June 24 – 27, 2019 | 8am – 4:30pm |
Friday | June 28, 2019 | 8am – 12pm |
Where:
US NRC Professional Development Center in the greater Washington, DC area.
11555 Rockville Pike
Rockville, MD 20852
(All visitors must check-in at the security desk located inside One White Flint North at NRC Headquarters)

Agenda (June 24–28, 2019)
MONDAY JUNE 24 |
TIME | TOPIC | PRESENTER |
7:40 a.m. | Arrival | |
8:00 a.m. | Welcome and Introduction | Nick Melly |
8:15 a.m. | SNPP At-Power PRA Model Development | Nick Melly |
10:00 a.m. | Break | |
10:30 a.m. | SNPP At-Power PRA Model Development (continued) | Nick Melly |
12:00 p.m. | Lunch | |
1:00 p.m. | SNPP At-Power PRA Model Development (continued) | Nick Melly |
3:00 p.m. | Break | |
3:30 p.m. | SNPP At-Power PRA Model Development (continued) | Nick Melly |
4:30 p.m. | Adjourn | |

|
TUESDAY JUNE 25 |
TIME | TOPIC | PRESENTER |
7:40 a.m. | Arrival | |
8:00 a.m. | Introduction and Overview | Nick Melly |
10:00 a.m. | Break | |
10:30 a.m. | Sample Plant Overview | Nick Melly |
12:00 p.m. | Lunch | |
1:00 p.m. | Task 2 – Component Selection | Nick Melly |
3:00 p.m. | Break | |
3:30 p.m. | Task 2 – Component Selection (continued) | Nick Melly |
4:30 p.m. | Adjourn | |

|
WEDNESDAY JUNE 26 |
TIME | TOPIC | PRESENTER |
7:40 a.m. | Arrival | |
8:00 a.m. | Task 2 – Component Selection (continued) | Nick Melly |
10:00 a.m. | Break | |
10:30 a.m. | Task 2 – Component Selection (continued) | Nick Melly |
12:00 p.m. | Lunch | |
1:00 p.m. | Task 5 – Fire-Induced Risk Model | Nick Melly |
3:00 p.m. | Break | |
3:30 p.m. | Task 5 – Fire-Induced Risk Model (continued) | Nick Melly |
4:30 p.m. | Adjourn | |

|
THURSDAY JUNE 27 |
TIME | TOPIC | PRESENTER |
7:40 a.m. | Arrival | |
8:00 a.m. | Task 5 – Fire-Induced Risk Model (continued) | Nick Melly |
10:00 a.m. | Break | |
10:30 a.m. | Task 5 – Fire-Induced Risk Model (continued) | Nick Melly |
12:00 p.m. | Lunch | |
1:00 p.m. | Task 4 – Qualitative Screening | Nick Melly |
3:00 p.m. | Break | |
3:30 p.m. | Task 7 – Quantitative Screening | Nick Melly |
4:30 p.m. | Adjourn | |

|
FRIDAY JUNE 28 |
TIME | TOPIC | PRESENTER |
7:40 a.m. | Arrival | |
8:00 a.m. | Task 14 – Fire Risk Quantification and Task 15 – Uncertainty and Sensitivity | Nick Melly |
10:00 a.m. | Break | |
10:30 a.m. | Questions, Wrap Up | Nick Melly |
12:00 p.m. | Adjourn | |
Please note this agenda provides an estimate of the schedule for the course and times may vary at instructor's discretion.

Course Material
A link to download the materials will be provided approximately 2 weeks prior to the course.
Staff
Instructor:
Mr. Nicholas Melly is a Fire Protection Engineer employed by the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research. He has nine years of experience working for the NRC in the area of Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) and experience with the incorporation of internal fire hazards into the Standardized Plant Analysis Risk (SPAR) Models for use by the NRC inspectors. He has a B.S. in fire protection engineering from the University of Maryland.
Nicholas Melly
Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission
Mail Stop T-10A12
Washington, DC 20555-0001
Email: Nicholas.Melly@nrc.gov
Phone: (301) 415-2392
Course Manager:
Tammie Rivera
Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission
Mail Stop T-10A12
Washington, DC 20555-0001
Email: Tammie.Rivera@nrc.gov
Phone: (301) 415-2376
Registration
Registration is now closed for the NRC-RES/EPRI 2019 Fire Probabilistic Risk Assessment, Module I Workshop.

Page Last Reviewed/Updated Tuesday, June 11, 2019