The NRC is modernizing nrc.gov with an updated design and improved navigation to enhance usability. We are committed to a smooth transition and will work to minimize any disruption. The site may be briefly unavailable at times during launch. Thank you for your patience.
Workshop on Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment
The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission's Offices of Nuclear Regulatory Research, Nuclear Reactor Regulation, and New Reactors in cooperation with Federal agency partners: U.S. Department of Energy; Federal Energy Regulatory Commission; U.S. Army Corps of Engineers; U.S. Bureau of Reclamation; and U.S. Geological Survey organized and conducted a "Workshop on Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment (PFHA)" at NRC headquarters auditorium, Rockville, Maryland, January 29 – 31, 2013. This research workshop provided a venue for the sharing of information on probabilistic flood hazard assessments of extreme natural and human-related events (i.e., annual exceedance probabilities much less than 2.0 E-3 per year) among the Federal community. The organizing committee chose the session topics, presenters and panelists.
The workshop objectives were to:
- assess, discuss, and inform participants on, the state-of-the-practice for extreme flood assessments within a risk context with the following objectives;
- facilitate the sharing of information between both Federal agencies and other interested parties to bridge the current state-of-knowledge between extreme flood assessments and risk assessments of critical infrastructures;
- seek ideas and insights on possible ways to develop a PFHA for use in probabilistic risk assessments (PRA);
- identify potential components of flood-causing mechanisms that lend themselves to probabilistic analysis and warrant further study (i.e., computer-generated storm events);
- establish realistic plans for coordination of PFHA research studies as the follow-up to the workshop observations and insights; and
- develop plans for a cooperative research strategy on PFHA for the workshop partners.
The technical focus was to:
- understand flood assessment needs of the participating Federal agencies with respect to the evaluation of critical industry infrastructure;
- leverage the flood hazard risk assessment studies performed to date to assess the applicability and practicality of using probabilistic approaches for extreme flood hazard assessments within a risk framework;
- discuss research or other activities needed to address identified gaps or challenges in the use of PFHA for extreme flood assessments within PRA; and
- determine how these PFHA approaches and methods can be best utilized in conjunction with more traditional deterministic approaches.
Related Documents
- Final Program of the Federal Workshop on Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment (PFHA)
- Public Meeting Summary
- Panel 1: Federal Agencies' Interests and Needs in PFHA
- Introduction – Nilesh Chokshi and Mark Blackburn
- Commissioner George Apostolakis – Importance of Risk-Informed, Performance Based Regulations
- US Nuclear Regulatory Commission (USNRC) Staff Needs In PFHA – Fernando Ferrante
- Transferable Methods from Seismic Hazard – Annie Kammerer
- Bureau of Reclamation Dam Safety Program – John England
- FERC'S Need for PFHA – David Lord
- Status of ANS 2.31, "Determining Design Basis On-Site Flooding Caused by Precipitation at Nuclear Facility Sites" – John Stevenson
- ANS-2.8 Working Group Status, "Determining External Flood Hazards for Nuclear Facilities" – Yan Gao and Ray Schneider
- Panel 2: State-of-the-Practice in Identifying and Quantifying Extreme Flood Hazards
- Overview and History of Flood Frequency in the United States – Will Thomas
- Extreme Flood Frequency Analysis Concepts, Philosophy and Strategies – Jery Stedinger
- Quantitative Paleoflood Hydrology – Jim O'Connor
- USACE Methods for Quantifying Extreme Flood Hazards – Doug Clemetson
- Hydrologic Hazard Curve Methods for Dam Safety – John England
- Panel 3: Extreme Precipitation Evens
- Introduction – John England and Chandra Pathak
- An Observation-Driven Approach to Rainfall and Flood Frequency Analysis Using High-Resolution Radar… – Daniel Wright
- Regional Precipitation – Frequency Analysis And Extreme Storms Including PMP –Mel Schaefer
- High-Resolution Numerical Modeling as a Tool to Assess Extreme Precipitation Events – Kelly Mahoney and Jason Caldwell
- Precipitation Frequency Estimates For The Nation And Extremes – A Perspective – Geoff Bonnin
- Extreme Precipitation Frequency for Dam Safety and Nuclear Facilities – A Perspective – Victoria Sankovich
- Panel 4: Flood-Induced Dam and Levee Failures
- Risk-Informed Approach to Flood-Induced Dam and Levee Failures – David Bowles
- Dutch Approach to Levee Reliability – Timo Schweckendiek
- Risk-Informed Decision Making Approach for Inflow Design Flood Selection and Accommodation for Dams – Jason Hedien
- Incorporating Breach Parameter Estimation and Physically-Based Dam Breach Modeling – Tony Wahl
- Risk Informed Decision Framework for Dam And Levee Safety – David Margo
- Probabilistic Risk Analysis for Dams – Martin McCann
- Extreme Flood Frequency Analysis: Practicing Risk Analysis – Jery R. Stedinger
- Panel 5: Tsunamis Flooding
- Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis – Hong Kie Thio
- Recent Advances in PTHA Methodology – Randall LeVeque
- Geological Perspective on Submarine Landslide Tsunami Probability – Uri ten Brink
- Modeling Generation and Propagation of Landslide Tsunamis – Patrick Lynett
- Tsunami Flooding Assessment Using Forecast Tools – Yong Wei
- Panel 6: Riverine Flooding
- Introduction – Rajiv Prasad and Will Thomas
- Riverine PFHA for NRC Safety Reviews – Why and How – Rajiv Prasad
- Flood Frequency of a Regulated River – The Missouri River – Doug Clemetson
- Stochastic Event Flood Model (SEFM) – Mel Schaefer
- SEFM Case Study Altus Dam OK – Nicole Novembre
- Paleoflood Studies and their Application to Reclamation Dam Safety – Ralph Klinger and John England
- Panel 7: Extreme Storm Surge for Coastal Areas
- Introduction – Don Resio and Ty Wamsley
- Dutch Approach to Coastal Flood Hazard – Joost Beckers
- Recent Work and Future Directions in Coastal Surge Modeling and Sea Level Extremes within NOAA – Stephen Gill
- FEMA's Coastal Flood Hazard Analyses in the Atlantic Ocean and Gulf of Mexico – Tucker Mahoney
- Modeling System for Applications to Very-Low Probability Events and Flood Response – Ty Wamsley
- Coastal Inundation Risk Assessment – Jen Irish
- Panel 8: Combined Events Flooding
- Introduction – David Margo and Joost Beckers
- Combined Events in External Flooding Evaluation for Nuclear Power Plants – Kit Ng
- Assessing Levee System Performance Using Existing and Future Risk Analysis Tools – Christopher Dunn
- Seismic Risk of Co-Located Critical Facilities – Effects of Correlation and Uncertainty – Martin McCann
- Combined Storm Surge – Riverine Flood Events – Joost Beckers
- Combining Flood Risks from Snowmelt Rain and Ice – The Platte River in Nebraska – Doug Clemetson
- Combined Events A Systems Perspective – Patrick Regan
- Panel 9: Summary of Significant Observations, Insights and Identified Opportunities for Collaboration on PFHA
- Panel 1 – Federal Agencies' Interests and Needs in PFHA
- Panel 2 – State-of-the-Practice in Identifying and Quantifying Extreme Flood Hazards
- Panel 3 – Extreme Precipitation Events
- Panel 4 – Flood-Induced Dam and Levee Failures
- Panel 5 – Tsunami Flooding
- Panel 6 – Riverine Flooding
- Panel 7 – Extreme Storm Surge for Coastal Areas
- Panel 8 – Combined Events Flooding
- Panel 9 – Nathan Siu – Personal Comments
- Webcast
Please note that the workshop proceedings are being developed and will be issued as a NUREG/CP report. The proceedings will provide summaries of the presentations, panel discussions, and major observations and insights.
Page Last Reviewed/Updated Thursday, August 17, 2017
Page Last Reviewed/Updated Thursday, August 17, 2017