487th Meeting - November 8, 2001
Official Transcript of Proceedings NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION Title: Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards 487th Meeting Docket Number: (not applicable) Location: Rockville, Maryland Date: Thursday, November 8, 2001 Work Order No.: NRC-102 Pages 1-356 NEAL R. GROSS AND CO., INC. Court Reporters and Transcribers 1323 Rhode Island Avenue, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20005 (202) 234-4433. UNITED STATES OF AMERICA NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION + + + + + ADVISORY COMMITTEE ON REACTOR SAFEGUARDS (ACRS) 487th MEETING + + + + + THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 8, 2001 + + + + + ROCKVILLE, MARYLAND + + + + + The committee met at the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Two White Flint North, Room T2B3, 11545 Rockville Pike, at 8:30 a.m., George E. Apostolakis, Chairman, presiding. COMMITTEE MEMBERS PRESENT: GEORGE E. APOSTOLAKIS Chairman MARIO V. BONACA Vice Chairman NOEL F. DUDLEY Member F. PETER FORD Member THOMAS S. KRESS Member GRAHAM M. LEITCH Member DANA A. POWERS Member COMMITTEE MEMBERS PRESENT: (cont'd) STEPHEN L. ROSEN Member WILLIAM J. SHACK Member JOHN D. SIEBER Member GRAHAM B. WALLIS Member ACRS STAFF PRESENT: SHER BAHADUR SAM DURAISWAMY CAROL A. HARRIS JOHN T. LARKINS HOWARD J. LARSON MICHAEL T. MARKLEY ALSO PRESENT: RALPH ARCHITZEL STEWART BAILEY RAY BAKER RUSSELL BELL JEFF BENJAMIN BILL BURCHILL WILLIAM BURTON GENE CARPENTER ED CONNELL JIM DAVIS ALSO PRESENT: (cont'd) JOHN FLACK CHRISTOPHER GRIMES ALLAN HAEGER TIM HANLEY DONNY HARRISON JAMES W. JOHNSON ED KENDRICK TOM KING MARK KLUGE TAD MARSH MIKE MAYFIELD SCOTT NEWBERRY JOHN NOSKO CHUCK PIERCE JASON POST LARRY ROSSBACH MARK RUBIN JERRY N. WILSON RAY P. ZIMMERMAN JOHN ZWOLINSKI I N D E X AGENDA ITEM PAGE Introduction and Opening Remarks . . . . . . . . . 5 Final Review of the Hatch License Renewal . . . . 7 Application Dresden and Quad Cities Core Power Uprate. . . . .80 Staff Presentation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 163 NRC Safety Research Program. . . . . . . . . . . 213 Overview of Research and Advanced Reactors . . . 279 Proposed Update to 10CFR, Part 52. . . . . . . . 310 P-R-O-C-E-E-D-I-N-G-S (8:30 a.m.) CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: The meeting will now come to order. This is the first day of the 487th meeting of the Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards. During today's meeting the Committee will consider the following: final review of the Hatch license renewal application, Dresden and Quad Cities core power uprate, NRC Safety Research Program proposed update to 10 CFR Part 52, and proposed ACRS reports. A portion of this meeting may be closed to discuss General Electric nuclear energy proprietary information applicable to Dresden and Quad Cities core power uprate. This meeting is being conducted in accordance with the provisions of the Federal Advisory Committee Act. Dr. John T. Larkins is the designated federal official for the initial portion of the meeting. We have received a request from Mr. Russell Bell of the Nuclear Energy Institute for time to make oral statements regarding the proposed update to 10 CFR Part 52. A transcript of portions of the meeting is being kept, and it is requested that the speakers use one of the microphones, identify themselves, and speak with sufficient clarity and volume so that they can be readily heard. I'd like to bring to your attention three speeches that Chairman Meserve and Commissioner Dicus gave recently. They are in this handout, "Items of Interest." In particular, the speech by Commissioner Dicus on new directions in research should be of interest to the members, since we are working on our report on research being carried out by the Office of Research. These speeches were given at the Water Reactor Safety -- no, it's not Water Reactor anymore -- at the Nuclear Safety Research Conference, which used to be Water Reactor Safety Information Meeting -- a very significant change in name. I would like to remind the members that during lunchtime today they will -- they are scheduled to interview three candidates for potential membership of the ACRS. Dr. Larkins has a comment to make. DR. LARKINS: Yes. Please note the members in Group 2, Bonaca, Powers, Rosen, Leitch, and Wallis, you are now going to have your interviews in the Subcommittee Room rather than the Caucus Room. So please make note. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Thank you. DR. LARKINS: That's both today and tomorrow. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Any comments or statements any of the members wish to make before we start? Okay. The first item on the agenda is the final review of the Hatch license renewal application. Dr. Mario Bonaca is the cognizant member. Dr. Bonaca? VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Yes, Mr. Chairman. We met on October 25th with the applicant and with the staff to review how open items on the Hatch application are being resolved. We note that several of the open items on these applications were also open items on previous applications as well as on some applications under review right now. So we were interested in this resolution, and we were interested in how the clarification will be brought to other licensees for future applications, so that there will not be open items in the future. We felt that the SER contains significant clarification of staff position of these issues, and we were interested also in reviewing the appeal process that had been used at least partially by this applicant with the staff. This is the first time we have seen -- at least from license renewal -- the appeal process underway. We have requested the staff to come and give us some highlights of that meeting. And with that, I will invite Mr. Grimes of License Renewal to open the presentation. MR. GRIMES: Thank you, Dr. Bonaca, and good morning, Chairman Apostolakis and other members of the Committee. The staff is pleased to have this opportunity to present the results of the staff evaluation of the Hatch license renewal application. As Dr. Bonaca pointed out, we continue to learn some lessons in ways to clarify and improve the license renewal process, and we're going to continue to pursue those and keep the Committee informed as we make improvements to the guidance and to the process. But our focus today is to present the results of our review of this specific application for renewal of the Hatch operating licenses and to describe the resolution of the open items and the basis upon which we will move forward to make a recommendation to the Commission. And so we hope that today we can describe that to you and find out what the Committee views are on whether or not there's any matter that we need to clarify. We're still considering whether or not we want to revise the safety evaluation to make further improvements before its final publication and presentation to the Commission. And so at the conclusion of this meeting I will want to make certain that we clearly understand what the Committee's views are on whether or not there's anything additional that we need to do before preparing a recommendation for the Commission. With that introduction, I would like to turn the presentation over to Butch Burton, who is the Senior Project Manager responsible for the Hatch license renewal review, unless there are any particular overview questions that you have of me. MR. BURTON: Okay. Thank you, Chris. As Chris mentioned, my name is Butch Burton. I'm the Lead Project Manager for the staff review of the Hatch license renewal application. What I'm going to try to do today is rather than getting into a whole lot of detail related to the review, I'm going to try and paint an overall picture of the application, some of the challenges that the staff encountered during its review, how we dealt with some of those challenges, and, then, of course, if there are specific questions, detailed questions that any of you have, hopefully either I or some of the staff who are here today can answer those. Let's start with basic plant overview. Can everybody hear me? Because I'm using the remote mike. And this is similar to the slide that I showed, what, about six months ago when I was before you before. A little bit of background about Plant Hatch. The application was submitted in late February of last year. As you all know, it's a two-unit BWR located in Appling County, Georgia. I believe the largest metropolitan area is Savannah, about 90 miles northeast of the plant. Unit 1, its current license expires in 2014. They're asking for a 20-year extension to 2034. Similarly, Unit 2, current license expires in 2018, and they're requesting an extension to 2038. Our initial SER was published in February of this year, and we issued the final SER in early October. I'm actually going to begin at the end. Let me talk a little bit about the staff's conclusion, and then I'll talk about how we reached that conclusion. 10 CFR 50.29 discusses the three criteria that are necessary in order to approve the license. The first, which is really the essence of our staff safety review, is that actions have been identified and have been or will be taken such that there is reasonable assurance that the activities will continue to be conducted in the renewal term in accordance with the current licensing basis. That's what we're -- the bottom line of what we're trying to get at. In addition, this second bullet has to do with the environmental portion of the review, and the final bullet here has to do with basically if there were any requests for hearings, any issues raised there. And for Hatch there were none. So, basically, the three main criteria to issue the renewed license, we believe that the applicant has met that, and I'll go through in the presentation to show you why we believe that. Okay. The Plant Hatch application, as you know, is the first BWR, and it had a very unique approach. And some of the things were: it was the first to use the topical reports, the boiling water reactor vessel and internals project reports. It was the first to use that, so that was the first time that we were able to apply those to a plant. Southern Nuclear, who submitted the application, it actually used a different approach than some of the previous applications. They used a functional approach as opposed to a system approach, and that was a challenge to the staff. And I'll talk about that a little bit more when I talk about scoping. It was also the first to apply the Aging Management Program attributes, the 10 attributes. They applied them not only to the Aging Management Programs, as we are used to seeing, but they also applied them to demonstrating the adequacy of the aging management. And I'll talk about that a little bit later, but that also posed initially a challenge to the staff. All right. The first thing that we look at that the staff does in its review is it looks at the scoping and screening, and there are actually two parts to this. The first part is we look at the actual methodology that's used for scoping and screening. That's real critical, because if we can't have confidence in the process that they use to get their results, then everything else is questionable. So we do spend a fair amount of time in the beginning of the review to make sure that we understand the methodology and that the methodology is in accordance with the rule. As I mentioned before, they were unique in that they used a functional approach versus a system approach to their scoping. So the functional boundaries were very important, because the functional boundaries were not necessarily the same as the system boundaries. And the staff -- we did our review by system, so what happened was an individual reviewer would look at his or her particular system, look at the functions that that system performed, and then had to follow that and trace that through. The end of the system wasn't necessarily the end of the function. So what we found was that system reviewers who were doing the scoping, there was a lot of crosstalk. As they followed the function and they reached the end of their system, they had to talk to the next person who was handling where that function picked up. So there was a lot of crosstalk that was done in making sure that we could follow the functions through. And as I mentioned before, the scoping and screening requirements for the methodology should meet the Part 54 requirements. A little bit later on, I'm going to be talking about some of the various inspections that we did. And there was -- one of the things that we did to support the methodology findings was we actually went down to the applicant's headquarters and actually conducted a methodology audit. And I'm going to talk about that a little bit later. As I mentioned, the scoping and screening review consisted of two parts. The first was looking at the methodology. The second part was actually looking at the results of the methodology. And this is just sort of a summary of what we found there. As a result of our review, we found -- we developed 119 scoping and screening questions -- RAIs -- and also we had four scoping and screening open items. Again, this portion of the review was also supplemented with a scoping inspection, different than the audit that focused on the methodology. The scoping inspection actually focused on some of the results of the scoping evaluation. And, again, I have a separate slide that talks a little bit about the detail of that. After the scoping and screening, the next was aging management -- aging management and time- limited aging analyses. This is where we get into some of the Aging Management Programs. Once they identify which structures and components should be in scope and subject to an AMR, now we look at, what are the aging effects, and what programs are in place to manage those aging effects? That's what this portion of the review did. It turned out, when all was said and done, there are 31 Aging Management Programs that are credited for license renewal. Eighteen of them were already existing programs, five were existing but needed some enhancement of some type, and then eight of them were new. And, in fact, in the original application there were 29 Aging Management Programs. As a result of the staff's review, there were two additional ones that were developed. One was the diesel generator maintenance activities, which really dealt with the management of some of the skid- mounted components with the diesel, and the other was aging management of cables. So there were actually two additional programs that came out as a result of the result. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: I thought that small bore piping inspection was a new one-time inspection. MR. BURTON: No. Actually, the small bore piping inspection that came out as a result of the open item, that was actually covered in the scope of the treated water systems piping inspection, one of the -- I believe that inspection was a new program, and that is a one-time program. And so the small bore piping, once we decided what it was going to be, we found that the TWPSI, as they called it, could actually be covered in -- VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Yes. So -- MR. BURTON: -- in the unit. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: So, I mean, you resolved it by including it in the existing -- so you modified an existing program to accommodate that. MR. BURTON: Correct. Correct. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Okay. MR. BURTON: There are a couple of specific Aging Management Programs that I think probably require a little bit of discussion. One is the Corrective Action Program. That is a separate Aging Management Program, but it applies across many different systems. And what it is is that any time you find evidence of age-related degradation, how do you disposition that? And the Corrective Action Program provides the guidance and the requirements and acceptance criteria to do that. In terms of the 10 aging management program attributes that I mentioned before, this single Aging Management Program covers four of those attributes -- the corrective actions, the confirmation process, administrative controls, and operating experience. When you go to that Corrective Action Program, it discusses how to address those four attributes. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Is this a program separate from the plant Corrective Action Program? MR. BURTON: No. No. It is the same one. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Okay. MR. BURTON: And, in fact, and what I was going to get to before, is that is -- that has an Appendix B pedigree, but what Southern Nuclear has done, even those portions that are in license review that normally do not have an Appendix B pedigree, those have all been upgraded to that level of oversight. Again, some of the statistics. As a result of this portion of the review, there were 308 RAIs; 170 were related to the Aging Management Program, and I want to explain that. And as a result, we had 14 open items. If you look at -- MEMBER LEITCH: Butch, can we just go back to that Corrective Action -- MR. BURTON: Sure. MEMBER LEITCH: -- Program again for a minute? So let me understand, that when there's an unexpected aging degradation, and the commitment is that they would put that into their Corrective Action Program. MR. BURTON: Yes. MEMBER LEITCH: Right? Now, that has all the attributes of a Corrective Action Program, including trending? MR. BURTON: Yes. MEMBER LEITCH: So that -- MR. BURTON: Root cause analysis, extent of condition, all those. All those. MEMBER LEITCH: Now, what is the licensee's commitment to that Corrective Action Program? In other words, that's just a program that's in their administrative procedures, is that right? In other words, what flexibility would they have over these additional 20 years to change that program? MR. BURTON: Ah. MEMBER LEITCH: Say, for example, they decide, well, we're not going to have trending as a part of that program anymore. MR. BURTON: Okay. Good question. MEMBER LEITCH: Do they have that flexibility? How would that be controlled? MR. BURTON: What happens is that all of the Aging Management Programs are ultimately incorporated into the FSAR. And being part of the FSAR, it is subject to -- to all of the requirements in terms of changing the FSAR, 50.59, all that stuff. So, and we also have a provision in the license renewal rule that until those things are incorporated into the FSAR during the review process that there is a separate but similar kind of thing that they have to go through whenever they change this. There is an annual update that Part 52 takes credit for. MEMBER LEITCH: An update of the FSAR. MR. BURTON: Of the application. MEMBER LEITCH: Of the application. MR. BURTON: Of the license renewal application. There is a yearly update of that during the renewal phase. Once the -- I mean, the review phase. I'm sorry. Once the review is over and all of this is incorporated into the FSAR, then 50.71E takes over, which is the annual update for the FSAR. So we try to cover it -- what happens -- the changes during the review phase, and then once it's put into the FSAR the normal Part 50 update requirements take over. MEMBER LEITCH: So that Corrective Action Program is not described in the FSAR; the AMP Program is? MR. BURTON: Yes. The Corrective Action Program ultimately -- that we're talking about now for license renewal will be put into what's called an FSAR Supplement. And there's actually a license condition to make sure that that happens, which I'll also talk about. MEMBER LEITCH: Okay. MR. BURTON: So we do try to have that -- MR. GRIMES: I would like to add that for the Corrective Action Program specifically Part 50, Appendix B, provides the attributes of a Corrective Action Program, and 50 -- I believe it's 50.54A describes the process by which approved QA plans can be revised and updated. So if there was going to be a change in trending or the root cause evaluation or any of the procedural details that an applicant uses in current operating licenses, as well as renewed operating licenses, there are regulatory requirements that monitor the effectiveness of Corrective Action Programs and provide enforcement vehicles to control those. That's one of the reasons why we feel we can rely on one-time testing to identify conditions for which an effective Corrective Action Program can make a determination about whether future inspections or changes in procedures might be warranted. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: One point, though, is of interest. You know, the Committee has often debated one-time inspection versus a periodic inspection. And this is really the key point, where the commitment to one-time inspection can be overturned in case the one-time inspection identifies, in fact, issues or problems or aging mechanisms that were not inspected. And this Corrective Action Program, all of the elements, I mean, for Appendix B would result, then, in the -- in a change to that. It would become a periodic inspection probably with some kind of periodicity because you identify an aging mechanism that you did not expect. So this is an important element, a key element actually, of license renewal. MR. BURTON: Yes, very true. I did want to talk a little bit about the 170 RAIs that related to the Aging Management Programs. When the original application was submitted, the Aging Management Program descriptions were in Appendix A. The staff is used to seeing how each of the 10 attributes are covered in each of those Aging Management Programs. When we looked at Appendix A, it didn't have that, or at least it didn't have it clearly broken out. And as a result, there were a lot of RAIs generated, and it actually turned out that they were very repetitive, because we had review -- specific reviewers for each Aging Management Program, and they're all beginning to ask the same question. So that's why you have a large number of questions related to the Aging Management Programs. They were very repetitive. You didn't address the scope of the Aging Management Program. Where is that? And you had that possibly 29 times, depending on what the specific situation was. But when we talked to them about it, they said, "Oh, no. We actually do have it in the form that you're looking for in Appendix B," and they sent that to us, and it took care of probably 99 percent of the questions. But one of the lessons learned that we had -- one of the lessons we learned from that was that if we can start discussions with the applicant fairly early on to get some of those kinds of questions out, all of these probably could have gone away. And what you'll see in some of the applications that are being reviewed now, after Hatch, you'll find that now there is a very early engagement with the applicant to start to ask some of these fundamental questions in terms of, where is this, am I not -- I'm not seeing it where it's supposed to be, is it somewhere else, dealing with some of these navigational issues. So that was one of the lessons we learned from that. MEMBER LEITCH: Butch, I think that the ACRS members, at least certainly me, found that our review of Hatch was somewhat complicated by the functional approach rather than the system approach. I'm wondering, after all was said and done, what you felt about that. Should we be trying to discourage the functional approach, although it -- you know, it finally worked out okay. But are there others in the pipeline that are using the functional approach? Could you give us some perspective on those types of things? MR. BURTON: Sure. I guess, first, let me say that the second BWR to come through is Peach Bottom, and it's in-house now and being reviewed. They did not take that approach. I think initially they were going to, but when they saw some of the challenges that the staff was encountering with it I think they went back and rethought that. I will say this. Obviously, I don't know, it's certainly possible that another applicant may choose to do that. It was a challenge for the staff, because it was the first time that we encountered that. But I think when all was said and done we learned a lot from going through it. So if we do get another application that uses a functional approach, I think the staff is much better prepared to deal with that. Obviously, we can't tell them how to package their application necessarily, but I think that the industry who tends to watch -- those in the pipeline watch what's going on now, and I get the sense that the general consensus is that they will probably stick with a system approach as opposed to a functional approach. But if a functional approach comes in, the staff will deal with it, and I think we probably are better able to do it now than we were in the beginning. MR. GRIMES: Yes, I will -- I'd like to point out that the vehicle that we've used to try and discourage excessive use of the functional approach is the standard form and content for a license renewal application that is reflected in NEI 9510, Revision 3. And we also explored this during the demonstration project on how to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of the review process. And I think simply a reflection on the excessive level of effort required to work our way -- work our way through this review is a sufficient motivation for future applicants to pursue a more efficient packaging. I will say that we are encountering some difficulty with the Peach Bottom review by virtue of boiling water reactors have overlapping system capabilities that tend to make it difficult to identify -- distinguish between system-intended functions and component-intended functions. And so there's still more to be learned in terms of packaging commodities and being able to clearly identify the relationship between intended functions, the components that are relied on, or the systems, and then the associated aging effects and Aging Management Programs. But I do think that the industry and the staff both have learned a lesson from this experience, and we'll continue to work towards identifying ways to make the review process more transparent. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Yes. I think, you know, it goes beyond -- the review process goes -- as we said, an interested member of the public would be -- I think it's an important issue because, just to illustrate that, I mean, you may have a CCS system, and you're looking for what components in the CCS system are in scope. And you find that maybe high pressure injection pumps are not there on the PWR, and the reason is that they also maybe perform a containment spray function. So, therefore, they've put under containment. So you are looking for CCS systems and you don't find them, and the first assessment is that a licensee has not included those components in the scope. And then, if you search enough, then -- or you get a response, you know, you get information. So I think that's an issue that needs continued attention, because it makes it hard for anyone who looks at the application to understand what is in scope and what is not. And it leaves a reviewer with the question mark of, what is there that I cannot possibly trace that is not in scope and should be in scope. So it's an important issue. MR. BURTON: I do want to say one thing about Southern's application, because I know that they have -- people have had very strong comments about the format and things like that. But I think it's important to understand at the time they were putting their application together, a lot of the license renewal infrastructure had not been fully developed the way it is now. And, in fact, you know, they had been encouraged to try and think sort of out of the box in terms of unique ways to package and bring it in. And I don't think anybody anticipated that we would converge so quickly with GALL and the standard format for the application in the SER. And so to some extent, Southern kind of got caught in the wake of all of that. But it really was very unique. It showed some out of the box thinking. I think in that respect, it was actually very good. I know for the staff, in terms of some of the navigational issues that came up, it really challenged us a lot, and I think we learned a lot from it. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Yes. I didn't intend my comments as a criticism of Hatch at all. They were caught in the -- I just mentioned it as a criticism of the type of project. MR. BURTON: Oh, sure. Sure. Okay. The next few slides I'm going to talk about some of the inspections that we had. The first one, not really an inspection, it's the scoping and screening audit that I talked about before. We went down to the applicant's offices in Birmingham for a week to go through their methodology. Some of the things that we looked at, we looked at the exemptions of which there were 32, we looked at the design basis events, and for the design basis events they had just recently put in an update to the FSAR, something called a nuclear safety operational analysis, which really just discussed primarily their design basis event. So we had a nice, clean document to look at. We looked at Commission orders, of which there were 28 from 1974 through '98. And we also looked at some of the implementing procedures, and I want to talk about that a little bit. But what we were trying to do there in looking at some of these things was we wanted to look at some of the source documentation and see what kind of commitments have they made over the years, and what structure, systems, and components are they going to have to have to ensure that they meet those commitments, and were they, in fact, identified. And we found that, going through that, that they did, in fact, identify all of the necessary SSCs. One of the things that we looked at were -- and I think this gets to one of your questions earlier -- was when you look at this, how is that actually being implemented? We know what -- the description of the methodology that's in the application, and we know what's required in the rule. But how do you actually implement it on the ground for the reviewers? And when we looked at the implementing procedures versus our understanding of how they institute the methodology, we found some discrepancies. And what we found was that the implementing procedures were more goal-oriented, this is what you should wind up with, as opposed to saying -- telling a reviewer, "You need to do this, then this, look at that," you know, those kinds of things. We were looking for something a little more prescriptive. So we were faced with a situation where the methodology, as it's described in the application, says one thing, and it looks good. But now when we look at the implementing procedures we're seeing something a little bit different. How do we resolve that? So, in fact, what we did was we actually took three systems and actually sat down with the engineers and said, "Okay. Start us from the source documents and walk us all the way through and explain to us exactly what you did." And we went through those -- I think it was standby liquid control, HPSI, service water. I think those were the three. So we actually sat down with them from the source documents all the way to the results, and what we found is that what they actually did was as described in the application and met the requirements of the rule. But out of that, because we found a problem with the implementing procedures, we developed an RAI requesting them to revise the procedures so that it reflects what's actually done. And in response to that RAI, they said that they would update the procedures. They even gave us a date certain -- September 11th of 2000 -- that they would have that done. And it turned out that September 11th just happened to be the first day of the scoping inspection. So one of the things that we did as part of the scoping inspection was to go back and look at the implementing procedures to make sure that they were, in fact, updated. And they were. So that was just an example of some of the things that we found during the audit. Okay. I just mentioned the scoping inspection. That was a week-long inspection at the plant site. During that inspection, we wanted to see how the commitments that they make are actually implemented on site. And that was our first introduction to their -- what they call -- I think they call a commitment tracking system, their commitment tracking system. And what they do is all the commitments that are identified in the application and identified in the -- in our safety evaluation they put into a matrix, and you can follow that matrix from the commitment down to the actual implementing procedures on site. And we actually followed that through, and when we looked at the implementing procedures they actually had redline strikeout versions that had not been implemented yet, because you have to -- you know, we have to -- they have to wait until all of this is approved. But they had redline strikeout versions basically ready to go. So, obviously, at this point, when we were doing the scoping inspection, our goal was not to make sure that everything was -- everything that ultimately should be in there was in there, but we wanted to make sure that they had the process right. And, in fact, they did. And, actually, when you look at it, they were actually much further ahead than some of the previous applications with regard to the actual implementation of their commitments. So we were -- we are pretty pleased with that. MEMBER LEITCH: At the procedure level, do you happen to know if they have a system that prevents those commitments from being inadvertently written out of the procedures in the future? I know that some plants have like a margin note or something, so that it indicates that this particular part of the procedure is a regulatory commitment and cannot be just -- MR. BURTON: Right, yes. MEMBER LEITCH: -- in advertently written out of the procedure by a future revision to the procedure. MR. BURTON: Yes, I understand your question. And we have Ray Baker from Southern Nuclear I think can probably answer that succinctly. MR. BAKER: My name is Ray Baker. I'm the Project Manager for the Hatch application. And, yes, you're right. There are some plants that actually do a marginal notation in the procedures themselves. That's actually a good way of doing it, I think. Hatch is currently looking at doing that, but our process today is to maintain a commitments database or a commitments matrix, and the administrative control procedures require a person who is reviewing a procedure for change to access the database and make sure that any changes that he makes to the procedure will not invalidate any commitment, whether it's a license renewal commitment or other Part 50 commitments that have been made. And so that's the current process. MEMBER LEITCH: Okay. It does the same thing, just a different way. MR. BAKER: Yes, sir, that's right. MR. BURTON: Okay. Our third trip to Southern Nuclear was for our aging management review inspection. When we go down for the aging management review inspection, now we're focusing on the Aging Management Programs and whether they are, in fact, written, and some of the supporting documentation on site actually gets to the applicable aging effects that it claims to manage. We did another -- took another look at the commitment tracking system, this time focusing on the Aging Management Programs and how the commitments were tracked. And, again, we concluded that they were being tracked appropriately, that they had actually captured everything that they needed to capture. We had a final inspection, just a couple of days. This final inspection is optional. It's really sort of a cleanup if there are any outstanding issues that we may need to check in -- that we identified previously that maybe need to make sure that are properly followed up on. We take a couple of days and go down and do that. Again, we found that everything -- any final questions that we had they had taken care of. Okay. Next thing, wanted to talk a little bit about some open items. First of all, in terms of summary, in our SER we had 18 open items that were identified. Twelve of them were resolved without appeal. Six of them went through the appeal process. And, you know -- and I can -- I'll be talking about at least a couple of those later on. One of the issues -- and I brought this up primarily because this was brought up a couple of weeks ago with the subcommittee -- had to do with buried components. What we have is a one-time inspection of the buried fuel oil storage tanks, and that was one of the open items. And what Southern Nuclear had done was they were -- had actually looked at one of the four buried tanks. These are huge 40,000-gallon tanks. They had actually done -- gone in and looked -- done some ultrasonics and stuff like that on one of the tanks, to look at the tank bottoms to see if there was any age-related degradation. They took advantage of the opportunity of being in the tank to do that and found none. They took that experience and said, "Okay. Well, the other three tanks, same material, same environment, they've been buried for the same period of time. We think that the results that we saw in the one are applicable to the other." The other thing was that there was -- there are also fuel oil tanks for the diesel-driven fire pumps. These are much smaller. They're above ground. You can just go and look at them any time. And so because they are the same material in -- the environment was even more benign than the environment of the buried tanks, we felt like the condition of the buried tanks bounded those for the fire pumps. So that was how we had resolved that one. A couple of weeks ago we got into a discussion of, what exactly do you do in terms of managing the tanks? What do you do if there, in fact, is some leakage of those big tanks? It's underground. You can't see it. What's the safety consequence of that? First of all, the interior of the tanks are inspected via tech specs. What they have in their implementing procedures, one of the things that we looked at when we went down there was as part of their -- the implementation of their Structural Monitoring Program they have excavation procedures that direct them to -- if you're digging up and around that tank, go and take a look at the coatings, because the tanks are coated. And there's a protective coatings Aging Management Program that gives them all of the details of how to do that. So that was how that was taken care of. MEMBER FORD: Could I just ask a question on the -- MR. BURTON: Sure. MEMBER FORD: When you said that there's an Aging Management Program for the protective coatings, for instance, to what depth does your staff go to examine whether those programs are adequate technically? MR. BURTON: Okay. And I don't know all of the technical details, but I think I've got my guy here, Jim Davis, who can -- (Laughter.) -- speak to that. MR. DAVIS: I was actually on the NISC Committee that wrote the underground coatings specification for the Department of Transportation, and I reviewed this. There's quite a bit of difference in what they do and with what you'd have to do with an oil or gas pipeline or a tank on ground. But we looked at the program, and we've negotiated with NEI and the industry, and we have an alternative program that we find is acceptable. And that is the UT measurements on the bottom of the tank to make sure that there's no corrosion due to the soil and no corrosion due to water being on the bottom of the tank. For buried pipe, we had a lot of discussion on all of the applications. And, basically, any time they dig the pipe up they're going to examine the pipe. In addition to that, they're not taking credit for what they're doing. In a lot of cases they have some -- some of the utilities have Cathodic Protection Programs and they do the pipe-to-soil potential surveys, which is what the standards tell them to do. But they're not taking credit for that because the equipment was not purchased safety- related. So they have a program that they're not taking credit for, and they have a program whenever they dig up the pipe they look at it, and they're taking credit for that for aging management. MR. GRIMES: And, Dr. Ford, I'd like to add to that that in general all of the technical staff used the 10 attributes of an effective Aging Management Program in order to decide, as Dr. Davis pointed out to -- these negotiations that he referred to are basically identifying what is necessary and sufficient for any one of the attributes, the 10 attributes. And that is what we referred to as our basis for concluding that the program is technically effective. MEMBER FORD: The reason why I'm picking it up is, as I mentioned at the last meeting, I don't doubt that what you've said is correct. It is in the public forum that we made it clear that that has been done. MR. GRIMES: And to the extent that we continue to look for ways to enhance the Generic Aging Lessons Learned that constitutes the compendium of what attributes we feel are necessary and sufficient for any one of the programs, and those areas where the staff feels that the 10 attributes might not be clear, or might have some plant-specific variability and want further staff attention. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Chris, you really mean only sufficient, not necessary and sufficient, right? MR. GRIMES: I mean necessary and sufficient. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Really? MR. GRIMES: To the extent that -- yes, the -- there are -- those things that we feel are really needed in order to be able to defend the effectiveness of a particular program and manage the applicable aging effects. And in some cases we, in the industry, got into long and heated debates about whether or not particular attributes like trending -- you know, when is trending needed for things that don't occur on a frequent enough basis to establish a good trend. So we did want to really come out and say, "What are those things that are really necessary for an effective Aging Management Program, as well as what is sufficient for the purpose?" That's the standard that we use in order to ensure that we're achieving our -- the agency goal of not -- of avoiding unnecessary burden. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Could you put back the previous slide? The last bullet you say that continually inspected the -- via tech specs. What does the inspection consist of that's not -- I mean, we are talking about here a one-time inspection of buried fuel oil storage tanks -- MR. BURTON: Right. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: -- from inside. MR. BURTON: Right. What -- VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: That is not repeated. MR. BURTON: Yes. One of the things that we talked about last week, one of the questions that you had was, what's normally done with these tanks in terms of, you know, going in and taking a look and stuff? And what normally is done is they go in and they clean the tanks periodically, and stuff like that. Normally, what they do is they take advantage of that time to go in and look around, see what evidence there is of age-related degradation, things like that. I don't know if you guys wanted to add anything. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: That's a visual. I mean, that's just a visual inspection. MR. BURTON: Right. MR. PIERCE: Yes. My name is Chuck Pierce of Southern Nuclear. I think what Butch is referring to up there when you say interior inspected via tech specs, just to add a little bit to that, is we have provisions in the tech specs to check the tanks monthly to make sure that they -- for level, and there are ways that -- we have both Control Room indication and we can go out and take a dipstick and check the tank monthly for level and see if there's any change in level and deal with any leaks from that perspective. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Yes. This is important because, I mean, during the subcommittee meeting we had the discussion regarding the acceptability, and the concern was possible external damage that may result in doing installation that may have caused the coating to be fractured or broken, and, therefore, corrosion to come in from the outside. And two points were made. One is that that would be a concern also with the current license term and not necessarily just specific to the license renewal. And, second, we looked at the -- these are not the day tanks. We asked specifically that question. These are the backup tanks, and that if, in fact, a leak developed, there will not be a significant safety concern because it would not lead to significant depletion of inventory of fuel before -- to prevent any safety function, you know. So that was one consideration that the subcommittee discussed, and I believe we had some kind of concurrence on that perspective. MR. BURTON: Yes. We -- VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: So we are going back to the meaning of the rule when it talks about 70 systems, support systems that support the safety function, and so on. MR. BURTON: Right. Okay. Next thing I was going to talk about was fire protection a little bit. And, actually, for fire protection let me go back to scoping for just a second. As I'm sure you all are well aware, fire -- the licensing basis for fire protection systems, they vary widely across the industry. There have been so many exemptions that people have taken. And so the cumulative benefit of doing reviews that we normally get for most systems we don't get as much for fire protection because they are so -- they are so unique so many times. So what we've found is that when we're doing the scoping we find that we've got to get our fire protection engineers involved and digging down into the licensing basis pretty early, looking at the fire hazards analyses and, you know, some of the commitments there, to see what exactly is necessary to meet 50.48. So we -- that is one of the lessons learned is that to get our fire protections -- fire protection engineers in there early to start looking through these. And, in fact, for Hatch we had -- we had folks down there looking at fire protection both at the audit stage and at the scoping inspection stage, doing some walkdowns and things like that. So from a scoping perspective, fire protection is somewhat unique in that we really have to hit it early. In terms of aging management fire protection components, there is a separate Aging Management Program for that -- fire protection activities. One of the things that came up a couple of weeks ago had to do with aging management. There wasn't an issue with some of the other components in the system, but there was an issue with what -- how they managed the sprinkler heads. And what that issue was is that we asked them to follow the guidelines of NFPA-25. NFPA-25 says that sprinkler heads need to be looked at after 50 years, and then again at 10-year intervals. And given the fact that we're now looking at plants that are going to be operating for 60 years, how does all that play out? And that actually came up as an issue for the staff, and then it -- we also discussed it a little bit at -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: What's the basis for the 50 years? MR. BURTON: Okay. And that was one of the questions. One of the things -- and we have since gone back and actually tried to take a look at that. The basis for the 50 years came from a statistical study. I have the information right here. What they did was they looked at 3,000 sprinkler heads, and they've traced these over rolling 10-year intervals to look at the degree of age-related degradation. And what they found statistically is that heads that were in use for 55 to 60 years had only a two percent failure rate. And those who -- those that were in service for 40 years had a 1.8 percent failure rate. So given those numbers, I guess it was engineering judgment that said, "Look, I think we can be pretty confident that these things will operate for about 50 years without suffering an extensive amount of age-related degradation based on these numbers." So it was really based on a statistical study. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: So they have a failure rate of 1.8. MR. BURTON: For 40 -- over 40 years. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: 1.8 what, percent? MR. BURTON: 1.8 percent of the sprinkler heads. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: So two percent. MR. BURTON: Roughly two percent. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Times 40. That's 80, right, .8 probability of failure in 40 years? Is that what it is? MR. BURTON: I don't think it was roughly two percent per year. I think it was roughly two percent cumulative over the entire time. You're going to ask me a lot of details about the study I don't really know, but -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I'm just curious how these -- VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: It makes a big difference. MR. BURTON: Yes, that's a big difference. I would think if it was the kind of numbers that you said, they probably wouldn't go with 50 years. But that's -- VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Well, you go with the explanation of distribution, multiplying straight, you know -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Well, I think it's 1.8 and -- MEMBER FORD: When this question came up at the last meeting, essentially we made the observation that 50 years is unbelievable, from a knowledgeable public's viewpoint, with their cars, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera. Dr. Davis gave a very good corrosion engineering explanation as to why it's not unreasonable, and your statistics can bear that out. However, the arguments that are made are dependent very much on maintaining a specific environmental material, environmental system. MR. BURTON: Absolutely. MEMBER FORD: How sure are we that that has been maintained at Hatch? MR. BURTON: Okay. Good question. And, in fact, what Dr. Ford is saying is true. The study that I refer to does say that these numbers are good assuming that you have good maintenance, good inspections, all those good practices. MEMBER FORD: Adherence to certain corrosion criteria. MR. BURTON: Right. And what you will find is that some of those conditions that back up these kind of numbers are what you find in some of the actions that are called for in the protective action activities AMP. MEMBER FORD: And in terms of monitoring and control at Hatch. MR. BURTON: Yes. MEMBER FORD: Okay. MR. BURTON: What you're speaking to now are those 10 attributes, the detection methods, the frequency of inspection, those kinds of things. Those are the 10 attributes that we look for for all of the Aging Management Programs. MEMBER FORD: Maybe I'm misreading that second sentence that you have there. It's saying essentially that it hasn't been looked at, and it won't be looked at until 50 years. MR. BURTON: Oh, okay. Well, yes, maybe I -- VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: But the system is tested. MR. BURTON: Oh, yes. Yes. In addition to the normal system testing, right. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: What is the frequency of testing? MR. BURTON: Again, I don't know the details of that. I don't know if -- VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Over here, is that the frequency? MEMBER POWERS: I mean, the fire protection systems each year get 35 hours worth of inspection in the normal program. And what they're specifically looking for is degradation in both the automatic and the manual fire-fighting capabilities. There is, in addition, a triennial inspection that's looking more at the safe shutdown capabilities, but included in that is the ability to keep one train of shutdown capabilities free of fire damage. Where the licensee has relied upon automatic suppression, as part of a campaign to keep one train free of fire damage, they would look at that suppression capability every three years. MEMBER FORD: Okay. So the communication that's given by that second sentence is misleading. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: If it implies that it is a first inspection, absolutely, yes. MEMBER POWERS: Typically, on the -- the challenges that you have with sprinkler heads is the activation mechanism of them, because they can't be located close enough to a ceiling, just by where they are. And various mechanisms are done to make them effective, and that includes things called heat collectors and things like that, which nobody knows if they really work. In fact, they may work the wrong way. But, I mean, it -- I mean, these things are looked at. I mean, and people agonize over them at some -- to some great extent, because they are part of a major feature of the plant safety. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Actually, though, it is important to note that this inspection here, the first one, is intended to be actually either a replacement of the head, straight number -- 50 years you replace the head, or you inspect it closely enough to determine that it is still performing as good as it should. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: How is it different from a test? Maybe this is -- MR. BAKER: Dr. Apostolakis, the NFPA-25 test that -- inspection that's referred to here is a destructive examination of a sample of sprinkler heads that's in addition to the normal fire protection aging management activities. So this is -- this is an ultimate verification, if you will, after 50 years that you still have sprinklers. You have confidence that the remaining sprinkler heads of that type will, in fact, perform as intended. MR. GRIMES: I'd also like to add -- I was wounded slightly by Dr. Ford's statement that the second bullet was misleading. It's a factual statement. NFPA-25 recommends sprinkler head inspections after 50 years. We frequently refer to industry standards as having particular provisions. But embodied in that particular factual statement is a reliance on a whole host of plant preventive maintenance and inspection activities, housekeeping methods. There's a panoply of stuff that underpins our particular reliance on a standard. If we say we rely on the ASME Code, you know, we trust that you'll understand there's a whole lot more to the in-service inspection program with respect to maintenance of the environments or, you know, preventive maintenance of the plant condition. So we didn't intend to be misleading. We just intended to refer to -- that was the underpinning of the resolution of this particular issue. MEMBER FORD: I guess I'm showing the lack of my knowledge. But as an informed member of the public, if that's the only information I had, I'd be worried. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I wonder whether you are hurt, too. (Laughter.) VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Just one piece of information we received in the subcommittee meeting was that the 50 years, it's -- does not refer to -- from the day of start of operation, but it refers to the day of installation I guess. And for this plant, I believe that the 50 years will come three years into the license renewal term. And, you know, that gave us some comfort, that at least at the beginning of the license renewal term, or close enough to that, we are going to have a distraction -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: The point is that these inspections give you a lot of information. You are collecting information through the tests. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Yes. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: So that's really an important point. I mean, it's not that they're looking at them for the first time in 50 years. MR. BURTON: And thank you for the clarification, Dr. Bonaca, because I was going to make a point that that 50 years is not 50 years of plant operation, but 50 years from the time the system is declared operable. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: So, evidently, that has been installed for seven years before the plant went to power. MR. BURTON: Right. Exactly. Okay. I guess I'll have to rethink this slide. Okay. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: So since NFPA-25 says it, it must be right, right? It's in NFPA -- MR. BURTON: Well, I -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Or you don't know about the NFPA-25 -- that's okay. (Laughter.) MR. BURTON: You caught me on that one. I don't know what to say. Yes. A couple of the other open items that we have talked about were -- had to do with postulated pipe breaks and cast austenitic stainless steel components; specifically, the jet pump assemblies and fuel supports. One of the open items that we had developed and that did go through the appeals process had to do with whether or not postulated pipe breaks should be considered a time-limited aging analysis. And the way that works is that the cumulative usage factor for fatigue is part of what's considered in identifying locations for pipe breaks, and it itself is a TLAA. And so the question was, well, if that is, shouldn't this be also? That was point one. The other point was that in our statements of consideration it called out postulated pipe breaks as being one of the things that should be considered a TLAA. Southern Nuclear felt that that was something that didn't necessarily need to be considered as a TLAA, and that was taken through the appeal process, which I'm going to talk about in a few more slides. And in the end, we decided that, yes, it probably should be considered a TLAA, and that resolved the issue and they gave us all the supporting material that we needed for that. Another one had to do with cast austenitic stainless steel components. The question was whether there needed to be a one-time inspection of these components. The staff's initial position was that there probably should be. We went -- again, this was also taken through appeal, I believe. I believe this was one of the appeal items. And it was decided that rather than looking at the components themselves, which industry wide have actually shown no evidence of cracking, for those inspections that have been done, that, rather, we should probably look at focusing on the welds. And one of the BWR VIP reports, VIP-41, actually gives guidance for the inspection of some of the welds. And so the idea was that the welds would probably be a precursor to cracking in the components. So as part of the resolution, we said, "Okay. We're not going to ask for a one-time inspection there. We'll let the inspections of VIP-41 of the associated welds be the precursor for that." MEMBER FORD: Butch, again, at the meeting we had a while ago, this also came up with quite some discussion. The question being as to whether the inspection of another component is necessarily a precursor to failure of these components. MR. BURTON: Right. MEMBER FORD: Given that you've got a different material, maybe a different degradation mechanism. And we were rather put at ease by the statement that there was going to be a research program on this topic. Could you just give very, very quickly some idea of the timeliness of this research program? When will it be completed, to support this conclusion? MR. BURTON: Okay. Sure. And let me just say very quickly is that, yes, one of the things that we talked about was having some joint research done between the BWR VIP and our Office of Research to just -- just to confirm that -- whether or not doing inspections of these components really is warranted. And, actually, I have my BWR VIP guy here, Gene Carpenter, who can speak to that. So -- MR. CARPENTER: Good morning. This is Gene Carpenter from Materials Chemical Engineering Branch. Yes, we are looking into the possibility of doing some joint research, as Butch was saying. At this time, we have not gotten that onto the schedule for research to be conducted in fiscal year 2002 or 2003. We are planning to have it at some time in the very near future, hopefully to run for a period of no more than three years, at which time we should have some additional information to make determinations as to whether or not any inspections will be necessary in the license renewal term. MEMBER FORD: So it could be six years before you have any data at all to confirm this assumption. MR. CARPENTER: But that is still before Hatch will go into a license renewal term. MEMBER FORD: That is true. I've got one other question. I think this is your last slide on AMPs, is it not? MR. BURTON: Yes. MEMBER FORD: There was another question brought up about stress corrosion cracking of high- strength bolting. MR. BURTON: Yes. MEMBER FORD: Which is one of the open items. And it was put to rest as far as Hatch was concerned in that inspection of the bolting indicated no problems, and that they were all below the 150 KSI yield point, which is generally attributed to cracking of the high-strength components. It's pure luck, however, that it was below 150, because there's no upper specification limit. This question has nothing at all to do with Hatch. It's more of a generic question. Since there is not an upper specification limit, how are we sure that this is not going to be a problem in the future? And how are you going to address that? You're really -- you're looking at it in a reactive mode. MR. BURTON: Yes. MEMBER FORD: Rather than a proactive mode. MR. BURTON: Yes. I understand what -- MEMBER FORD: For replacement bolts, for instance, or whatever you might do. MR. BURTON: Okay. MEMBER FORD: Are you going to ask that there be an upper strength specification on such bolts? VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: This is important also because, if you remember, we discussed this in the previous application, and we -- I was confused. I thought they were the same bolts. The licensee told us that they had limits, torquing limits, on those bolts, below 150 KSI. And we were told by the staff that they were a different type of bolts, so that would be good for us to have an understanding of what bolts we're talking about and why in some cases you impose a 150 KSI limit on torquing activities, and in other cases you don't. MR. BURTON: Okay. Yes. And I'll ask Jim Davis -- MR. DAVIS: Jim Davis from the staff. It's pretty well known throughout the industry about the 150 KSI limit. It's been discussed at a lot of technical meetings, and a lot of people have those -- that limit in their specs now. The problem is there's in the neighborhood of 40,000 studs, bolts, fasteners, in a plant, and it's pretty difficult to backfit all of those. Certain ones they know there's troubles with. These are the assay 193 B7 volts, and have a 105 minimum yield. And they've come in as high as 150-, 175,000 KSI yield, looking back at the material test reports. What we've done is I've raised this question with every single application so far, and they'll all cited the industry experience. There's been one case of cracking, and that was at Dresden on their reactor closure studs. And those are the four- inch diameter closure studs, and they actually cracked in a very short time. They had a crack 180 degrees around, about two inches deep. They don't crack when a reactor is in operation because it's too warm and the moisture doesn't get there and cause the corrosion, cause the damage. So there's only two cases that we've ever seen of cracking other than 410 bolts that cracked in Anchor Darling check valves. So we've let them rely on operating experience to say that they haven't seen the problem, and Hatch actually looked through their certified material test reports and showed that they were -- they were all under 150 KSI yield. So that's the way the industry has approached it. It's just too expensive to go back and replace all those fasteners, because there are just so many of them. MR. BURTON: Okay. Now I'm going to go and move on to one-time inspections. At the subcommittee, we had -- MEMBER LEITCH: Just before that, if you were going to leave open items, there was one that I was assigned lead responsibility to follow up on. And I was not at the subcommittee meeting, so I -- and it had to do with housings for various fans in the HVAC system. And I guess the question was whether they were -- I guess the licensee considered them active -- the fans were active, certainly, but whether the housing were a part of that or not, and I think staff's position was that they were really passive, long-lived components, and, therefore, should be part of a program. I guess from reading it looked like that issue was satisfactorily resolved, and they are, indeed, going to be part of the program. MR. BURTON: Right. Yes. I'm glad you brought that up. We had an open item having to do with housings for certain active components -- fans, dampers, things like that. They were in scope, but it turned out that Southern Nuclear decided that they didn't need to be subject to an AMR because they they were part of the active -- the associated active component. And, as you know, active components are not subject to AMR under license renewal. The staff's position, though, was that the housings for these active components we should be treating them similar to how we treat valve bodies and pump casings, which are specifically called out in the rule and the associated statements of consideration. The idea is that the component may be active, but the housing for that component may have a pressure boundary function, structural integrity function, something that is necessary in order for that active component to work. And as such, if that housing is long-lived and passive, and it has applicable plausible aging effects, then we need to look at that. We need to capture that in license renewal as part of an Aging Management Program. That was the staff's position. When we looked at it, Southern Nuclear said, "Well, no, the valve housings and the pump casings are specifically called out in the rule and the statements of consideration, and that -- and also in the guidance document NEI-9510." And that because they are specifically called out, that's all we need to deal with. The staff's position was, no, those are given in those documents merely as examples. And when you go back and you actually read the wording, every time valve housings and pump casings are brought up in those documents, it says "for example." So the idea is that those are examples of how to treat housings. And so our staff in doing the scoping and screening evaluation, we recognize that no, the housings for fans and dampers are also critical to making sure that that associated active component can perform its function. And that went through one level of appeal, and we -- and in the end it was decided that, yes, those housings would be subject to an aging management review and were brought in. MEMBER LEITCH: Okay. Does that rationale apply to standby gas treatment, reactor building ventilation, control room ventilation? MR. BURTON: Yes. MEMBER LEITCH: All those important -- MR. BURTON: Yes. In fact, when it was brought up as an open item, standby gas treatment system, control building HVAC, outside structures HVAC, and reactor building HVAC were all captured in that open item. So, yes, it does apply. MR. GRIMES: Dr. Leitch, I'd also like to add we learned a valuable language lesson in the resolution and clarification of the guidance. There are some plants that when they talk about the housing of a fan, they're referring to the frame, and they consider the shell to be part of the ductwork, in which case we -- the staff position would -- we would agree. We're not looking for the frame that's holding the motor. We're looking at -- we -- our interest is the shell, as Butch pointed out. We're looking at the pressure boundary function. And so this is -- we've clarified our guidance, so that those plants that refer to the shell when they talk about the housing understand our interest is in aging effects associated with the shell, not necessarily the frame. The frame we do consider to be part of the active component. MEMBER ROSEN: I'm left a little troubled by the discussion we had earlier about the research program, which I take to be a research program on cast austenitic stainless steel. MR. BURTON: Okay. MEMBER ROSEN: In that I don't understand how the process works. If that research should show some additional aging mechanisms, how that process works to -- that would lead to the licensee being committed to doing whatever the research required. MR. BURTON: Okay. And that's a good question. I have a slide a little bit later that discusses how we deal with new and emerging issues. And, actually, the housings issue was an example of that, and what you're saying is also. How do we get that -- the results of that into the whole process? If you can hang on just a couple more slides, I think I can speak to that. MR. CARPENTER: Butch, if I might, specifically for the BWR VIP program, which this is part of, that research is part of, what the BWR VIP program has in place is a commitment to the staff from all BWR owners in this country, that any activities that they have committed to -- and this would be part of a joint research with the BWR VIP, so they would make appropriate modifications to the BWR VIP-41 report, Inspection and Final Evaluation Guidelines. They would come back at that point and revise the inspection criterion for all BWRs. So if they -- if we find in the future that we need to do additional inspections for these internal components, part of this VIP program, then it's already taken care of by previous commitments to the staff. MR. BURTON: Okay. So -- MR. CARPENTER: But Butch will also discuss further -- MR. BURTON: Yes, I guess I don't have to talk about that part of it. And then the other part of that also is part of the BWR VIP program. It's my understanding -- and correct me if I'm wrong, Gene -- but part of the program is that the inspection results of the VIPs, as the VIPs have been instituted, that the inspection results are actually published semiannually. So that everybody who is subject to those VIPs gets an overall idea of what is going on in the industry and can deal with it appropriately. So one of the things that we talked about at the subcommittee was one-time inspections. This idea has been talked about a lot for some of the previous applicants, but it's probably good to go through it again. The statements of consideration for the rule discuss when it's appropriate to do one-time inspections. And one of the concerns from some of the subcommittee members is, how can you justify a one- time inspection if it turns out that there are aging effects that reveal themselves later on? So what we do -- first of all, one-time inspections are intended to be confirmatory only. And the idea is that when you have a commodity group, a material-environment combination, which is what we call a commodity group, if there are normally aging effects associated with that commodity, but actions have been taken such as water chemistry, to preclude that aging effect, the idea is that we're handling it, we don't expect to see anything, but what we'll do is we'll do a confirmatory inspection one time to make sure. And as Dr. Bonaca said before, if we do that one-time inspection and, in fact, we do find evidence of age-related degradation, then through our Corrective Actions Program -- not ours -- their Corrective Actions Program, they will take that operating experience, funnel it through, make whatever appropriate changes there are to the appropriate Aging Management Programs, and it may not be a one-time inspection anymore. It may be an ongoing kind of thing. So that's the idea behind one-time inspections. Make sense? Okay. MR. GRIMES: Also, and I would like to add to that, I want to remind the Committee that a fundamental principle of license renewal that the Commission noted in the statements of consideration when the rule was published, that we anticipate that operational experience in the future may reveal new aging effects that we just don't know about at this point in time. We expect to continue to conduct anticipatory research and learn more things about aging effects. The regulatory process provides a means for us to reflect on that and to identify what corrective actions we feel should be taken across the whole of the industry. And it is founded on that principle that the Commission continues to have that process, so that we can rely both on the licensee's Corrective Action Program to identify plant-specific experience that warrants a change in Aging Management Programs, or the Commission's generic communication process can identify actions to be taken on a generic basis. And for that reason, we don't need any special commitments to go look for aging effects that we do not yet know about. And so it is important that we be -- that we be able to rely on the regulatory process to continue to learn and evolve and react, and that is what -- why we are comfortable with the concept of one-time inspections and the capabilities of the corrective action processes to appropriately maintain the licensing basis starting 10 years hence, way off in the future. MR. BURTON: Okay. Next thing I wanted to talk about was the appeal process. We have technical differences of opinion with applicants. It happens. And it's important that we have a reliable, transparent, predictable way of resolving those. Another aspect is from a public visibility point of view it's important for public confidence that people understand what we do and how we do it. So we've developed this appeal process. But I think one thing that's important to understand is that what we do -- Hatch is not the first one to have to deal with resolving these kinds of technical issues. We've been doing this right from the beginning. The difference is that we've tried to formalize the process, again, for visibility, transparency, public confidence. Let me -- I'm going to jump back and forth a little bit here. Let me show you the flowchart for how we do this. I know that's hard to read. But, basically, if we get a difference of opinion on an issue, we start it through and what we do is we escalate it -- hopefully, we resolve it at the first appeal. If we don't, it starts to get escalated up through higher and higher levels of management, both management -- staff management and applicant management. So both sides get to see what's -- exactly what's going on. In the case of Hatch, we had issues that were appealed first level, at the branch chief level, and a few that went to the division director level, but at that point we got everything resolved. So I think -- which is -- we kind of went down through I think right around in here. I think that's as far as we got in the process. And, of course, as we go through we document everyone's position. We document the resolution and the basis for the resolution. And we incorporate all of that into our safety evaluation. So we had -- as I had mentioned before, we had six items that went through appeal. I can't remember how many were resolved after the first level and how many went to the second. But we did have six items that went through appeal. Let me go back to this now. Actually, this just says what I already said. If we can't resolve it at the working level, it's escalated up through management, and management does hear the technical arguments on both sides. Because this was the first time that we went through it in such a structured way, as with anything else, we found ways that we could improve the process. Southern Nuclear had provided some comments and suggestions on how to improve the process. And one of the things about the license renewal infrastructure is we do have processes in place to capture those lessons learned and ultimately incorporate them either into the review guidance or the specific staff guidance for how we do what we do. But our infrastructure allows us to capture those lessons learned. So -- and the appeals process is no different. Okay. Next thing, treatment of emerging issues. And Gene already spoke specifically about how things that are discovered, as far as BWR VIP, gets factored in. But it's more than that. The first thing is issues are always being identified. I don't think there has been an application yet where we have not had something, okay, and so obviously we realized later on very quickly we need to disposition those in a very predictable, very transparent way. When we do that, as we resolve an issue, there are several things that have to be taken into account. Not only how it's resolved for that particular applicant, we've got to understand how it's going to be addressed for those who come after, and how -- does it need to be addressed for those who perhaps already have their license. Okay? So we've got to look at all of those. And for those who come after, the -- you can actually break them into two groups. Those who come immediately after haven't had an opportunity to incorporate the resolution into their application. So we've got to disposition that through RAIs and perhaps open items and things like that. For those who are a little bit further out, who still perhaps haven't put their applications together, they have an opportunity to incorporate those. And, actually, that's exactly what you've seen with much of the work with GALL. The plants coming in in 2002 are the GALL plants. They were far enough out that they can incorporate all of the resolutions for GALL. Those who came in before that at -- such as Hatch, Hatch did not have the opportunity and the benefit for all of that. So some of those things have to be dispositioned in a separate way. But part of our treatment of emerging issues is to take all those into consideration. Another example is seismic two over one, which I'm sure you all are familiar with. You've seen that in the SER. We resolved that. Right now, we developed a set of RAIs for those immediately after to start getting their arms around it. For those further out, we expect that to be dealt with in their application. Go ahead. I'm sorry. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Realize, however, the comment we made regarding -- we raised some issues regarding how do you provide this guidance to future applicants, was more pointed to the fact that this SER, more than previous ones, had significant clarifications inside them. For example, seismic two over one, there is a discussion on a couple of pages in which the discussion of preventative versus mid-event, again, it is clearly laid out. And now there is a logic there that makes sense on why certain components should be in scope. And that's very important discussion that I think, you know, we don't want to have it just lost into page X of one specific SER. I think that if it is provided in some guidance format, it will prevent future open items. MR. GRIMES: That's correct, Dr. Bonaca, and I would like -- I'd like to address that. By making a distinction between emerging issues and process improvements, which has described the way that -- as issues come up, we established staff positions. We've determined solutions. And for issues like the treatment of non-EQ cables, which emerged in the middle of the Calvert Cliffs review, we identified an aging management solution for that that ultimately was captured in an explanation that was incorporated into the Generic Aging Lessons Learned Report. Taking a slightly different tact in terms of seismic two over one, or an issue that we're about to bring to the forefront on scope of station blackout equipment, where there was -- where we discovered that there was a miscommunication or a misunderstanding about the true nature and extent of a particular commitment related to resolution of either scope or an Aging Management Program. The process that we followed before the institution of the improved renewal guidance is the same process that I would expect to follow after, and that is we'll send a formal letter to the industry and to the interested public advocate. In this case, I'd use Mr. Lochbaum to represent the public interest. We send a position to them and say that we've clarified a staff position. We open a dialogue with our stakeholders in terms of making sure that we've actually achieved the desired shared understanding. And then we'll pull that back into a decision on where that should be appropriately reflected, whether it's in NEI 9510, whether it's in the standard review plan, whether it goes in Generic Aging Lessons Learned, or there is even a fourth category and that is that both the industry and the NRC staff maintain what we refer to as style guides, and that is common language use that doesn't really rise to the level that dictates the need for any kind of formal procedure. It's just a collection of good practices. And so we would expect to continue to do that, and, in fact, we intend on submitting the more detailed explanation of seismic two over one to the industry to pursue a generic dialogue with them to settle any more misunderstandings that we might have. And then to -- and that then will become part of the collection of things to do to further improve the guidance. And I know that you want me to commit to a date certain for the next revision of that guidance. But, quite frankly, I've only got two examples, so far, and I don't think two changes warrants a reissuance. But it could be that by the time that we get the 2002 applicants that we'll have a dozen or so further lessons from the class of 2001. And at some point we'll reach a collection that's large enough to warrant formal revision. But in the meantime, I have committed the industry that we're going to find a place to exhibit these clarifications, so that future applicants and the ACRS and the public will see the additions to the guidance as they're unfolding. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Thank you. MR. BURTON: And I did want to add that as part of the -- when we inform the industry of the staff position and we start that dialogue, that that process does include the appeal process if there are significant differences to resolve them through the appeal process. Okay. Coming down towards the end. As a result of the staff's review, we identified three license conditions. The first two are standard. The first one -- I mentioned before that there is an FSAR Supplement. It's a summary description of all of the activities and programs that they are crediting for license renewal. That supplement has to be incorporated into the FSAR at the next update following issuance of the license. We capture that as a license condition, and that's standard. The other thing is that in those Aging Management Programs there are a number of things that the applicant says that they're going to do before entering the extended term. We capture those commitments as a license condition -- again, pretty standard. There is a third license condition that we have for Hatch that has to do with the reactor vessel Integrated Surveillance Program. This is one aspect of an Aging Management Program called reactor vessel monitoring. One of the aspects of that is that you're going to have a Surveillance Materials Testing Program. At the time that the application was submitted, we had in-house BWR VIP-78 that -- they were saying that the actions in that BWR VIP, those are the actions that we're committed to taking for the capsules. We had not finished our review of that. Okay? So we couldn't just bless it. So what they committed to was they said, "We'll do VIP-78, or, if for some reason that's not acceptable, we'll institute our own plant-specific program, because they have their own capsules." And so -- and they detailed exactly what actions they would take, so we have a license condition that says you need to inform us which of those two you're going to take. So we have that third license condition. MR. GRIMES: Butch, if I may, before you leave the license conditions, I want to respond directly to the concern that Dr. Rosen raised before in terms of in the case of the BWR VIP, there's a range of commitments that go along with that. And the staff didn't specifically point to the associated research activities that Dr. Ford drew comfort from for CAS. We identified an aging management practice that we concluded was acceptable with surrogate inspections. The research program provides added comfort. And it does get captured as a commitment, along with all of the other commitments, for program descriptions that will be included in the FSAR that can be managed pursuant to 50.59. The Integrated Surveillance Program, however, didn't have the benefit of the commitments. It, in fact, was a promise to develop a program in the future for which we needed to call it out separately as a license condition in order to ensure that that program would achieve all of the necessary program attributes. So it gets treated different from all of the other commitments that are simply referred to or articulated in the FSAR. MR. BURTON: Last slide. And I'm ending where I started. 10 CFR 54.29 outlines the criteria to determine whether or not it's okay to grant a renewed license, the three bullets that you saw at the beginning of my presentation. Hopefully, after the presentation you have a little bit better understanding of the basis for us feeling that they have actually met this criteria. That's all I have. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Thank you very much. Now I would like to just mention that I thought it was a very good presentation on your part. I think it was one of the better presentations we had insofar as being informative. And I'm saying this just because, first of all, to recognize you but also to say that this kind of format for the final presentation to the ACRS I think is valuable. It, you know, comes down to issues that we have expressed concern on rather than just simply statements of closure of open items. So with that, I thank you. And I would like to know if there are any comments from members of the public, or questions. There are none. Therefore, I'll give it back to you, Mr. Chairman. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Thank you, Dr. Bonaca. We'll recess until 10:25. (Whereupon, the proceedings in the foregoing matter went off the record at 10:04 a.m. and went back on the record at 10:23 a.m.) CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Okay. We're back in session. The next item is the Dresden and Quad Cities core power uprate. Dr. Ford has an announcement to make. MEMBER FORD: Being a GE retiree, I have a conflict of interest. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Okay. And the Chairman of the cognizant subcommittee is Professor Wallis, who will lead us through this discussion. Graham? MEMBER WALLIS: Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I'd like to point out to the Committee that these applications for a power uprate from Quad Cities and Dresden resemble the application from Duane Arnold that we reviewed last month. The major technical issues are much the same as in their previous application. The Thermal Hydraulics Subcommittee met with Exelon and the staff on October 25th, 26th, for a total of one whole day. And Exelon and the staff now have to compress those earlier presentations by a factor of four, so I propose to dispense with any further introduction and invite John Nosko to begin his presentation on behalf of Exelon. MR. NOSKO: Thank you, Dr. Wallis, and Mr. Chairman. On behalf of Exelon Nuclear, we would like to thank you, thank the Committee, for reviewing our application and our submittal, and for giving us the opportunity this morning to make this presentation. Our presentation does follow the published agenda. It incorporates materials to address the questions received from the ACRS before the meeting. There is one question that did come to us late yesterday on core parameters. It is not part of our main presentation, but we will be prepared to discuss it during our section on response to subcommittee questions. Our submittal is requesting a 17 percent increase in license power level for the Dresden station and a 17.8 percent increase for Quad Cities station. The goals of our project are to safely use the excess capacity currently available at the stations to increase power production levels to leverage industry experience by using a proven and accepted methodology to minimize the impact of the uprate on the stations by maintaining a constant reactor dome pressure, and to make our analyses and designs for both stations as similar as possible, to simply reviews and configuration management. We'll be taking advantage of installed spare capacity at the stations. The clearest example is that we'll be operating all four of our condensate and condensate booster pumps, and all three of our motor-driven reactor feed pumps. I should note that using all installed feed and condensate pumps is not uncommon in the industry. This uprate will be accomplished in one phase. The plant modifications will be installed during the next refueling outage for each unit and in the online period immediately preceding that refueling outage. And following the uprates, our units will be generator limited, which means we'll be varying reactor power seasonally to maintain maximum output from the generators. This next slide summarizes the differences in key operating conditions between the plants today and what we expect after the uprate. At Dresden, thermal power is increasing from 2527 megawatts thermal to 2957 megawatts thermal. Quad Cities is currently rated at 2511 megawatts thermal, but is increasing to the same uprated power level. Steam flow is increasing from 9.8 million pounds per hour to just over 11.7 million pounds per hour. You can see maximum flow through the core does not change, and neither does reactor dome pressure and temperature. Looking at some significant plant differences, the Dresden and Quad Cities are BWR-3 sister units, but there are differences between the plants. There's a slight difference in license thermal power levels, as I just mentioned. Quad Cities has a mix of Siemens and GE fuel in the core, but Dresden-3 no longer has any GE fuel in it. Dresden-2 recently reloaded new GE 14 fuel during this past refueling outage that just completed. At our meeting with the subcommittee a couple of weeks ago some differences in the power-to- flow maps for the two stations were noted. Although the MELLLA line for both maps is the same, there are differences in the natural circulation lines and the recirc pump minimum speed lines. Stations originally had the same natural circulation line, but some years ago Quad Cities station was able to collect plant data that revised their PIRT. And, in addition, Quad Cities has a limit of 32 percent for their recirc pump minimum speed to avoid system vibrations, but Dresden is able to operate satisfactorily down to 28 percent speed. Dresden and Quad Cities have different systems to provide key functions at the plants. For core isolation cooling, Dresden uses a nearly passive isolation condenser system. Quad Cities has a single multi-function RHR system, but Dresden has separate systems for shutdown cooling and for low pressure coolant injection. And a physical construction difference at Quad Cities allows cross-tying of their spent fuel pools. Looking at some of the plant modifications now, new GE 14 fuel assemblies will replace the existing GE and Siemens fuel. This will be done gradually over three or four operating cycles, and this new fuel will allow us to reach the higher EPU power levels while maintaining a 24-month operating cycle. I mentioned Dresden and Quad Cities are BWR-3 units. As such, their steam dryers are smaller than the later designed BWR-4s, 5s, and 6s, and are not able to handle the increased steam flow and extended uprate as well. So to prevent the higher moisture carryover levels that would have otherwise been predicted, we decided to modify the steam dryers to keep those levels to no greater than they are today. We're adding clamps to eight of the 20 jet pump sensing lines to eliminate a concern for potential vibration-induced failure of those lines caused by the passing frequency of the reactor recirc pumps. A research system runback and a low water level SCRAM setpoint change are being added to improve station availability. Today only two of the three reactor feed pumps and three of the four condensate pumps need to operate at rated power, and if a pump trips, the standby pump automatically starts. After the uprate, we will no longer have a standby pump, so we're adding this runback feature, the SCRAM setpoint change, to prevent a low water level SCRAM on loss of either a single feed pump or a condensate pump. Changes to the isolation condenser time delay relay and to the low pressure coolant injection swing bus timer are being made to reflect accident analyses for the extended uprate, and we're also making setpoint changes to nuclear instrumentation. MEMBER WALLIS: In your presentation, will you go back into the -- go back over some of the new accident scenarios that are envisaged with the runback? MR. NOSKO: We will be able to discuss that at that point in time, sure. MEMBER ROSEN: Will you also be able to discuss the testing that you envisaged for the runback system? MR. NOSKO: Yes, sir. Yes, sir, we can discuss that. We do have a separate section on testing and implementation later on, and we'll be glad to incorporate that. For our balance of plant -- I'm sorry, sir. MEMBER LEITCH: Excuse me, John. Will the plant be able to reach the full extended license capability after the first cycle of -- after the modification is done in the first refueling outage? Or will that require three refueling outages until you get all of the new GE fuel and -- MR. NOSKO: No, sir. We will be able to reach full power. I did mention that we will be generator limited, so for that reason we might be a couple of percent megawatts thermal shy of what the license request is. MEMBER LEITCH: So it could be that -- I think at Byron and Bradewood that that is the situation, isn't it? In other words, you're running at like only 99 percent power because of -- in other words, you're not able to achieve the license -- MR. NOSKO: Byron and Bradewood, there is a -- it's Byron station and -- one of the units at Byron station, and that's not to do with the fuel. It has to do with the way they're measuring feed flow. MEMBER LEITCH: I see. MR. NOSKO: So, for us, we will be able to achieve -- with the first refueling, we will be able to achieve the higher power levels. MEMBER LEITCH: Okay. Thank you. MR. NOSKO: Yes, sir. Continuing, then, with the balance of plant modifications. We're making changes to the high pressure steam path. We're installing a new high pressure turbine, and we're changing the setpoints of the cross-round relief valves. The piping analyses that were conducted show that we needed to make changes to our main steam and TORUS attached piping supports as well as to some dry well support steel. We're upgrading the interrupting capability of the non-safety-related 4KV switch gear to handle the additional running loads. A feature to trip the delta condensate pump on -- if -- in the event of a loss of coolant accident is being added, so we can retain the ability to shut down with feedwater. And there are more changes, but time doesn't permit me reviewing all of the balance of plant changes to other systems. We performed all of the evaluations required by the licensing topical reports for extended power uprates. Those analyses used NRC approved methods within previously accepted ranges. And in all cases the results were within the acceptance criteria for the ultimate EPU configuration of the stations. And with that, I would like to introduce Tim Hanley of the Quad Cities station, and Jason Post of General Electric Company, who will begin the discussion of analyses and evaluations with the thermal hydraulic analyses conducted for the uprates. MR. HANLEY: Hi. My name is Tim Hanley. I'm the Senior Reactor Operator at Quad Cities station and the senior license holder at Quad Cities station. I'm going to cover stability, and then Jason will take over and cover the ATWS analysis. Why don't you go ahead and go to the next slide, and I'll talk through that. Both Dresden and Quad Cities currently are operating under the interim corrective actions for stability, which basically has two facets. One is we avoid intentionally entering the regions of instability, which are shown in the upper left-hand corner of the graph up there. The key operational aspect of that is there has to be adequate room between the cavitation pump line and the instability region to allow the operators to maneuver the plant to get through there to get up to full power. On the graph you'll see the line on there. That is the last Quad Cities unit to start up. And as you can see, there is adequate margin in between the minimum pump speed cavitation line and the instability region. And that doesn't change for EPU. MEMBER WALLIS: Which of the 10,000 lines on this is -- MR. HANLEY: Okay. These are the regions of instability. These two regions here are regions where if you enter them, you monitor for instabilities and take immediate actions to exit those regions. This up here is the immediate SCRAM region. If the -- you get into this region, the operators immediately SCRAM the reactor. The line I was talking about, the redline here, that is the last Quad Cities unit to start up. The region that for -- operationally, you have to have adequate room in here for the operators to maneuver the plant, so you can get through this region without getting into the instability region. You have to be able to increase recirc pump speed to increase power without going into the instability region. The margin between the pump cavitation interlock line, which is what says you can raise recirc pump speed, and the bottom of the instability region doesn't change for EPU. In fact, it stays exactly the same. We have maintained the absolute power levels and flow levels that you'd find in the bottom of the potential instability region when we go to EPU. The only real changes here is because we are implementing MELLLA as part of EPU to allow us to get up to our new rate of thermal power, we've extended both the immediate SCRAM region and the region here where we can monitor for instabilities and take action to exit the region to account for that area where we will not be able to operate by going to MELLLA. The other aspect which we've covered of stabilities a little bit already is that what the operators do if they get into the instability region. In these two regions, they would monitor for instabilities by watching their nuclear instrumentation, look for increased amplitude in the oscillations. If they see that, they'll SCRAM the reactor. Otherwise, we insert rods to reduce the flow control line down to a point where we're outside the instability region. It's all covered in operator training. It's aided by computer alarms that warn the operators of they're in the regions. So, really, for EPU, the only changes for both stations is that we'll be extending these lines or these regions to account for the MELLLA regions. MEMBER ROSEN: What do you do in simulator training to address those kinds of -- getting into those regions? MR. HANLEY: Yes. The most likely cause of getting into these regions is a loss of a recirc pump. You know, if you're operating it along this high flow control line, and you lose a recirc pump, you're going to run back along that constant flow line -- or constant power line. The operators have to know which is part of their turnover and what flow control line they're operating at. If they get a trip of a recirc pump, the computer will alarm, say you're in the instability region. If you're above what was our current 100 percent flow control line and flow gets below this level, they'll immediately SCRAM the reactor. Otherwise, they insert control rods to get out. We do have certain scenarios that they have to detect the instabilities. We actually give the nuclear instrumentations giving the oscillations, so they have to detect that and SCRAM the reactor instead of just inserting rods to get out of there. That's considered a critical step in those test scenarios that they actually can -- do see that and take the appropriate action. MEMBER WALLIS: Is this picture for Dresden or Quad Cities? MR. HANLEY: Well, that's what's a little bit confusing. The power flow map is Dresden's, the startup is Quad's, which is why that line is not right on top of this minimum pump speed line. MEMBER WALLIS: So how about natural circulation, which one is that? MR. HANLEY: It's also the Dresden line. MEMBER WALLIS: And could you sketch where the Quad's natural circulation line is? MR. HANLEY: The Quad natural circulation line is a little bit different shape. MEMBER WALLIS: It's quite a lot different, isn't it? MR. HANLEY: But I believe it starts slightly higher. MEMBER WALLIS: And it bows out -- MR. HANLEY: And bows out further. That's correct. That -- MEMBER WALLIS: This is just because it's based on plant data instead of theory, is that -- MR. HANLEY: Yes. At Quad Cities in I believe either the mid-to-late '70s they had a trip of both recirc pumps. At that time, we weren't required to SCRAM the reactor on a loss of forced recirc flow. We were allowed to shut down. What they did is they plotted the points for the natural circ line as they shut down. Dresden is still using the generic GE natural circ lines for their plants, because they've never had an opportunity -- MEMBER WALLIS: Which appears to be not that accurate a prediction, right? MR. HANLEY: Well, I think it's fairly generic, and it wasn't aimed at predicting the exact plant. The important point is neither plant is allowed to operate with natural circulation any more, so the exact shape of that line doesn't mean a lot to the operation of the line. They're not allowed to operate in that region anyway. MEMBER WALLIS: It is a kind of cutoff, though, so it -- it's useful for the operators to know where it is. MR. HANLEY: For the natural circ, like I said, we don't even go below the minimum pump speed line. That's what's really important for the operators to know. The recirc pump is operating along the minimum pump speed line, and that's really more useful for the operators than what the natural circulation line is. So, really, for overall stability for neither -- the plants don't change, the way we're addressing them. Both plants have installed OPRMs for the long-term solution for this. However, there is a Part 21 notification out on that, and we are not going to have that put into the RPS trip system until that Part 21 notification is resolved. That was true EPU or non-EPU. So until that Part 21 notification on the OPRM gets resolved, we will be operating both units under the ICAs. With that, I'd like to turn it over to Jason Post of General Electric to discuss the ATWS analysis. MR. POST: Yes. I'm Jason Post. I'm the Manager of Safety Evaluations and Engineering Quality at GE Nuclear Energy. On the ATWS analysis for the EPU we do a full scope ATWS analysis to ensure that the ATWS mitigation systems are acceptable, meet the requirements, and also to show that the change from an EPU is not that large. The change is acceptable. We maintain integrity in three areas. One is the reactor, second is the primary containment, and third is the fuel. Reactor integrity is demonstrated by the peak vessel pressure. We use the ASME service level C limit of 1500 psig. The pre-EPU result there is shown as 1402 psig. The EPU result did increase the pressure. The peak result for GE 14 was 1492, and with the transition core it was 1499. So it is -- there are conservative factors in the analysis, and we do meet the peak vessel service level C. MEMBER WALLIS: This is right up to the limit, though. 1499 is essentially at the limit of 1500. MR. POST: It is right at the limit. That's correct. MEMBER WALLIS: And earlier Mr. Nosko said that you were -- said there's balance of plant limit, there's some turbine limit in power I think. It looks as if this is also a limiting condition, since you are coming up to the limit of peak vessel pressure. MR. POST: That's correct. MEMBER WALLIS: So you are limited by safety considerations. MR. POST: That's true. MR. HAEGER: Well, I should add -- this is Al Haeger. I should add we chose the -- initially chose the license power level based on the generator limit, and then this is a result of -- MEMBER WALLIS: This also turned out to be a limit, and it might have -- might have turned out to be a little closer, and then you'd have to go back and say it's not the generator that limits, but it's ATWS that limits. MR. POST: There are things that can be done I think to mitigate this response if it was necessary -- instrumentation setpoints, recirculation pump trip setpoints. Those sorts of things could be done to improve this response if it was necessary. For the primary containment, there is two factors we look at -- the peak suppression pool temperature and the peak containment pressure. Peak suppression pool temperature -- we use 202 degrees, which happens to be the peak result from the loss of coolant accident calculation on the containment response. We could probably justify a higher temperature as a limit, but it simplifies it just to say what they justify for LOCA is the same temperature we're going to use here. The pre-EPU result was 190 degrees Fahrenheit, so it did increase by 11 degrees for the EPU up to 201. Peak containment pressure, 62, we're nowhere near that limit. This is not a LOCA event, so there's no blowdown to the dry well. It's just steaming to the suppression pool. It's a thermal hydraulic calculation, a thermodynamic calculation to calculate the pressure. It's well below the limit. Peak fuel temperature -- we use the 10 CFR 50.46 limits, 2200 degrees, and 17 percent local oxidation limit. The result -- this is a case where the peak temperature result is due to boiling transition, so there's no uncovering of the core. The core is never really threatened. But we do a very conservative calculation of the boiling transition, and that results in a temperature here of a little bit less than 1500 degrees. With that, there is -- the metal/water reaction is negligible. MEMBER LEITCH: Do these plants have two manually operated slick pumps? Is that the -- MR. HAEGER: That's correct. MEMBER LEITCH: And there is no provision here for automatic slick injection on a -- MR. HAEGER: That's correct. MEMBER LEITCH: There is none. MR. HAEGER: There is no automatic slick injection. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: So could you comment on -- I mean, there are embedded operator actions and time for interaction in these calculations, right, these results? MR. POST: That's correct. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Could you comment on those? I mean, I would like to know -- MR. POST: Yes. We use a two-minute operator action time for the SLCS injection after the ATWS signal has occurred or the suppression pool temperature has reached the peak -- the Boron initiate -- Boron injection initiation temperature, whichever is later. So it's some time, two and a half minutes, something like that, into the event that we're assuming the operator has initiated Boron. Then there is some time delay before it actually reaches the core. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: And what's the difference between the previous power level and now, insofar as the time? MR. POST: It's almost insignificant. The initial peak pressure transient is really governed by the MSIV closure, and there's really very little difference in the time. We use exactly the same time for both analyses. So we've not shortened the operator action time to mitigate the higher power level. We use the same operator action time. MR. HAEGER: Now, you're going to see later that for the probabilistic risk assessment one of the success -- you know, success criteria are also based on operator action time, and that didn't change also for the short -- for what we call the early standby liquid control initiation success criteria for power uprate. It didn't change there either. It did change for the other -- what we call the late success criteria. It changed slightly in the PRA space. But for the deterministic analysis, the time didn't change at all. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: So you had the same assumption of the timing for operator action. MR. HAEGER: That's right. MEMBER LEITCH: So some plants have a system that if power is still up six seconds after SCRAM they automatically inject slick. And what you're saying is had you such a system, it wouldn't appreciably reduce that peak vessel pressure? MR. POST: No, that's correct. It would not. The Boron system has very little impact on the peak suppression pool -- peak reactor pressure because that occurs before the Boron has any impact on the event. MEMBER LEITCH: The main issue is the speed with which the MSIVs close. Is that -- MR. POST: It's the recirculation pump runback and how fast that pump runback gets the power down is the main driver to reduce that peak pressure, and the SRB capacity. A lot of -- some plants have more SRB capacity than the Dresden and Quad Cities units, and they're going to have a better response, a lower pressure in the response. MEMBER LEITCH: Okay. MR. POST: So moving to ATWS instability, this is something that's generically dispositioned. There was not a specific analysis for Dresden and Quad Cities. The event is of -- like a two recirculation pump trip from a limiting EPU condition on a MELLLA boundary. You run back to natural circulation, manual SCRAM fails, and an instability develops and grows, and the operator is completely unable to insert any control rods. There were two reports that were written several years ago that have been accepted by the NRC. The first one is NEDO 32047, and that one shows the response to this event with no mitigation at all. And it shows that the highest power bundles do go in and out of boiling transition due to the reactor oscillations, and eventually they -- a few of the highest power rods experience an extended dryout, and with that they heat up enough to cause core damage. And as reported in that report, they are -- about half a percent of the core by volume will experience this extended dryout and boiling and some fuel damage. The companion report was 32614, and that shows the ATWS response with mitigation, and it determined two key factors to prevent fuel damage. One was to lower reactor water level. When you lower water level you are now putting your feedwater into the airspace in the downcomer, which raises the feedwater temperature dramatically and you get a big increase in the temperature as it -- at the bottom of the core, which mitigates the instability. It doesn't make it go away, but these very high power oscillations that can cause the extended dryout no longer occur. The second is the Boron injection. Again, that does not prevent the instability either, but it does -- it does, over a matter of 10 or 15 minutes or so, make the instability go away completely. We get -- when we presented this to the Duane Arnold subcommittee review, there was a concern that we hadn't done limiting EPU conditions. And since that time we've gone back and have done a sensitivity study for more limiting EPU conditions, even more limiting than either -- any of the EPU plants that have been presented to this Committee -- and found that the results are essentially unchanged. We did it for a GE 14, and it has the same or longer time before it experiences the extended dryout, and the mitigation actions are still just as effective. MEMBER POWERS: When you did the power oscillations, what kinds of energy deposition do you have in the fuel? MR. POST: There are around 70 to 80 calories per gram is the energy deposition rate. MEMBER POWERS: And how do you know the fuel survives that? MR. POST: Well, it's well within the limits of what the design -- what the fuel is designed for. I think it's -- the licensing limit is like 170 calories per gram, and we think it will take well more than that. MEMBER POWERS: I wonder why. I mean, we have a history of experiments now showing that as we burn fuel up it takes less and less, and the original idea that this fuel would stand up to 180 calories per gram has pretty much evaporated as you go to burnups about 20 gigawatt days per ton. Now you're telling me we're putting in 70 or 80, and I seem to be -- to recall experiments where those kinds of powers caused fuel damage in experiments, admittedly not this fuel but other types of fuel. MR. POST: Yes. I'm going to have to say I'm really not the expert in that area. Dr. Yans Anderson was here previously and answered a very similar question, and, unfortunately, he couldn't be here today. But I would want to get back to you with an answer from someone like Dr. Anderson from Global Nuclear Fuel. MEMBER POWERS: Okay. MEMBER LEITCH: My question -- I'm sorry. Were you finished? Okay. My question related to the likelihood of an ATWS. Do these plants all have an alternate injection? MR. POST: Yes, they do. Yes, we don't take credit for that in any of our analysis, but they have it. MEMBER LEITCH: Thank you. MEMBER ROSEN: Do you actually simulate ATWS and simulate operator responses to these instabilities during ATWS? MR. POST: In the analysis or -- MEMBER ROSEN: No, in the simulator. MR. POST: -- in the simulator? MEMBER ROSEN: And in the training. MR. HAEGER: I'd like to get Tim Hanley to answer that question. MR. HANLEY: This is Tim Hanley again. We do actually do training on this. The generic EPGs, which our site EOPs are based on, does have them looking for instabilities, injecting standby liquid if they hit the Boron injection temperature, or actually before they hit the Boron injection temperature on the TORUS, or if they see instabilities when they're in an ATWS. MEMBER ROSEN: Well, I was more interested in the water level reduction. MR. HANLEY: And, actually, that's the first step. When you go down the level leg in the EOPs, if you're not below the feedwater spargers, it'll tell you to immediately terminate and prevent injection, except for Boron, CRD, and RCIC, to lower level less than the feedwater spargers to prevent its instability. MEMBER ROSEN: It seems a little counterintuitive for operators to -- MR. POST: Well -- MEMBER ROSEN: -- injection to the core into a unit -- MR. POST: -- when it was first introduced, it was certainly counterintuitive. But it's been the procedure in place for well over 10 years now, since it was first introduced by the Emergency Procedure Committee. And I think the industry well understands the need for it and how effective it is. MR. HANLEY: This is Tim Hanley again. If the -- you know, if the rods don't go in, all the operators -- you know, the only way to effectively lower power is, in fact, to lower the moderation by lowering the water level. So although it's counterintuitive to our normal response to most other accidents, this is a particular one that we do do extensive training on. MR. POST: Next we're going to move into the containment analysis with Mark Kluge. MR. KLUGE: I'm Mark Kluge. I'm with the Project Engineering Team for the Dresden and Quad uprates, and I'm going to discuss the containment analysis. First, we'll look at the results for the design basis loss of coolant accident. The peak drywell pressure we reached for EPU conditions is 43.9 psi, which is well within the acceptance limit of 62. And when we performed the analysis with the same assumptions for the pre-EPU case, we found that we changed the peak pressure by only about a pound. Peak drywell air temperature, as you can see, goes up for EPU only approximately two degrees, and, again, is well within the acceptance limit of 340. MEMBER WALLIS: This is for design basis LOCA. Which is the worst LOCA? This is the worst you are looking at here or the -- MR. KLUGE: Loss of coolant accident is the worst case for peak drywell pressure. A small -- a steamline break actually gives you higher airspace temperatures. But, again, the results are well within the limit. MEMBER ROSEN: How high? MR. KLUGE: I believe it's 337.9 degrees for that case. That's the bottom case for that particular parameter. MEMBER WALLIS: So that gets us much closer to the limit, then. MR. KLUGE: Yes. MEMBER ROSEN: Now, did you also mean to imply that for that case, for the high temperature case, the small break, that the pre-EPU and post-EPU and EPU numbers are very close? MR. KLUGE: They are, again, very close. The matter is just a few degrees. MEMBER WALLIS: But you are also just a few degrees from the limit, so -- MR. KLUGE: Correct. But that's a typical result for these types of plants. On the next slide we have the results for the suppression pool. Again, doing the analysis with the same methodology for the pre-EPU and post-EPU case, when we use bounding assumptions that envelope both plants, the post-EPU result for a suppression pool temperature is 202 degrees with a nine-degree rise. And this is the number we used in our piping and structural analysis. For NPSH, which I'll discuss in a moment, we did plant-specific peak temperatures. And as you can see, there are some minor differences there. The peak wetwell pressure goes up only nominally for the EPU case, and, again, is well within the limit. MEMBER POWERS: When you do the blowdown into the suppression pool, do you look at chugging? MR. KLUGE: Yes. MEMBER POWERS: And what did you find? MR. KLUGE: Yes, we looked at all of the MARK-1 hydrodynamic loads, and we reran all of the limiting cases and found that the existing load definitions are still bounding for EPU. We'll move on to NPSH. Both Dresden and Quad Cities require credit and containment overpressure for limiting case NPSH. That is a short- term case where all the pumps are running, and a long- term case where fewer pumps are running, but they are sufficient to maintain both core and containment cooling. These next two drafts show that in all cases the available overpressure for an analysis that uses conservative assumptions to limit the pressure exceeds the required credit to maintain adequate NPSH. And, again, there are minor differences due to plant differences. And if there are no questions in that area, I'll turn it back to Jason to discuss the LOCA analysis. MR. POST: A full scope LOCA analysis was performed using the standard approved methodology. That analysis starts off with a nominal PCT calculation. It's a nominal assumption to -- it does the full break spectrum and all of the various failures, determines the worst event, worst break. And then, with that, the first thing you do is you include uncertainties and you calculate the -- what's called the upper bound PCT, and that is the one that's shown there just right at the upper bound 1600 degree F limit. That limit is based upon the limits of the data when that methodology was qualified. There is actually a submittal before the NRC now to raise that limit to 1800 degrees or possibly remove that limit completely. Then, in addition, you also take the nominal PCT and you change assumptions for the Appendix K methodology -- these are things like the break flow, the metal/water reaction coefficient, the K-heat conservative adder of 20 percent. And you redo the calculation for the limiting break and that comes up with the Appendix K result, and then you finally add some additional uncertainties and you come up with the licensing basis PCT, and you must show that the licensing basis PCT is below the 10 CFR 50.46 limit of 2200 degrees Fahrenheit. MEMBER WALLIS: What was the 1600 degree value before the extended power uprate? What did it come to? MR. POST: I cover that on the next slide. MEMBER WALLIS: Oh, you do. MR. POST: The pre-EPU upper bound PCT was estimated to be 1500 degrees, but that was not for a GE 14 core. And GE 14 is worse than the existing legacy fuel. The legacy fuel -- I'm sorry, for GE 14, the difference of the EPU is only about 10 degrees, so there's a very small difference for -- for EPU. So that the primary difference is due to the different fuel type. And analysis results for the licensing basis PCT, it was 2110, which is less than the acceptance criteria. The upper bound PCT was 1599.6, which rounds up to 1600 degrees, so it does meet -- MEMBER WALLIS: Pretty good -- MR. POST: Yes. And the maximum local oxidation was six percent, and the core-wide was .1 percent, so those are well less than the limits. Next slide. There was a question from the subcommittee regarding the impact of steam updraft and the fact that you have a flatter radial power distribution and how that impacts this. A couple of points here. The DBA LOCA analysis for the current power and for EPU results have a high steam updraft in the central core region which prevents the core spray flow from reaching the hot channels. That's part of the analysis. That's the way it's done. So we do take credit for cooling from the steam updraft, but we do not take credit for any direct spray cooling to the hot channels in the calculation of the LOCA PCT. Now, the flatter core power profile may result in a higher power in the peripheral bundles, and so you're going to have more steaming, more steam updraft in those bundles, which can hold up more water in the upper plenum. So you're going to reduce the cooling flow to those, although the increased updraft does help the cooling of those bundles as well. But it's self-limiting because you're going to reach the volume of -- or the mass of water that's being held up sooner, which will cause breakdown and cause the water to get back down into the core. So it's a self-limiting effect. It really has essentially no impact on the calculation. MEMBER KRESS: Does this increase the carryover of liquid out the break? MR. POST: I don't believe so. I'm quite sure it doesn't. MEMBER WALLIS: Well, if there's a higher steam velocity, you probably will. MEMBER KRESS: You'll have more steam flowing in a different location and at higher velocity. MR. POST: Of course, the pressure response is driven by the fact that you have a higher power in the -- you know, in the reactor. It takes a little bit -- the blowdown is a little bit longer. I'm really not certain that the steam updraft has a significant impact on that blowdown phenomena. I don't think it does. MEMBER WALLIS: When you get this kind of flow, do you actually make a pool instead of a spray impacting directly on the -- whatever it is, the -- MR. POST: That's correct. There's a pool of water that's held up in the upper plenum. MEMBER WALLIS: Once you've made a pool, it doesn't really matter -- MR. POST: Right. MEMBER WALLIS: -- what the distribution of the spray is. MR. POST: That's right. MEMBER WALLIS: As long as it's not being blow out the break. MR. POST: Right. MEMBER KRESS: Does your computer count -- account for the water that gets blown out the break? MR. POST: Certainly. It accounts for the water that goes out the stand pipes and spills over into the downcomer. Once it gets into the downcomer, it would flow out the break and would not -- it would be below the jet pumps and would -- it would go out of the break. Certainly, it accounts for that. So if that effect is there, it would certainly model it. MEMBER KRESS: And how do you -- what do you input for that in the code? Does it actually calculate it mechanistically, or does it input a fraction of the core spray that goes out? MR. POST: Frankly, I'm not quite certain of exactly how the model works in that regard, what the coefficients are and how it's calculated. I can't answer that. There was also, then, the long-term spray cooling. Of course, in the long term you're going to get the void collapse in the core. Water level is going to steady out at the two-thirds core height at the top of the jet pumps. And with the flatter power distribution, that does not impact the spray distribution. It's within the range of the 30-degree sector tests that were performed previously on core spray distribution, so it does not impact that long- term core cooling. So, next, Ed Connell is going to cover the materials issues. MR. CONNELL: Good morning. I'm Ed Connell. I'm the Project Engineer for the EPU project at Dresden and Quad Cities. The first topic I'm going to talk about is flow accelerated corrosion. For the EPU conditions, we looked at the susceptible piping systems, determined those where the flow or the temperature had increased, and for those we went through and calculated a -- the wear rate, an increased wear rate. The wear rate increases were modest. The largest was 33 percent, went from 1 mil to 1.3 mil. More typical of a large increase was in the feedwater lines where we went from 19 mils per year to 21 mils per year. Since the existing wear rates are modest, these increases are routinely accommodated. And the way we accommodate them is we adjusted, as appropriate, the inspection intervals for the program, so the program has been modified to account for these. MEMBER ROSEN: Could you hold on for a minute? On that slide, you talked about this 33 percent increase, where was that? MR. CONNELL: That's on the reactor water cleanup line. MEMBER ROSEN: At what point? MR. CONNELL: I'm not sure I remember the exact point. MEMBER WALLIS: This wear rate increase, 1 mil per year to 1.3 mil per year, that's based on some mechanistic analysis. It's a Reynolds number to the .8 or something like that? What is it based on? MR. HAEGER: That's really right out of the checkworks program that we discussed last time. MEMBER WALLIS: Which is too complicated to describe here. MR. HAEGER: Well, at least none of us sitting at the table can describe it very completely. What we showed last time, though, was that the parameters we're using are within the bounds of checkworks that other plants have typically used. MEMBER LEITCH: Did I understand you to say that the critical point here was reactor water cleanup? MR. CONNELL: It's not a critical point. It's a point that exhibited the largest percentage increase. MEMBER LEITCH: My question really was: why does the reactor water cleanup flow change? MR. CONNELL: It's -- you get slightly more subcooling. You get a little more flow down that as you come off the vessel. So you've got a slight temperature increase. MEMBER FORD: I think your point is that this is Schedule 80 pipe, about .3 wall thickness, .3 of an inch, about .375 wall thickness, and your inspection period is -- hat you'll take that increment well into account, is that correct? MR. CONNELL: That's correct. MR. HAEGER: Yes. Just to clarify why we showed that number, we wanted to show you the largest percentage increase and then the largest absolute increase, just so you get some feel of where these increases were. MEMBER WALLIS: It would be good to put it in perspective of how much you need to wear away the -- to have a problem. MEMBER ROSEN: This is gun barrel piping, Schedule 80. MR. HAEGER: Is that right? MR. CONNELL: I believe that's correct. We can look. MEMBER WALLIS: 375 wall. MEMBER POWERS: How often do you have to change your feedwater line? MR. CONNELL: How often do we have to change it because of this? It won't change it at all. MEMBER POWERS: A hundred years maybe? MR. CONNELL: Perhaps that. But we won't change it within the licensing on it. MEMBER POWERS: Nothing for the wall? MR. CONNELL: Yes. I'm trying to remember. There's something -- they're over an inch, but I -- I don't remember. MEMBER FORD: The feedwater lines are pretty big things, so Schedule 80 is -- it's a vague statement. It's a thick pipe. MEMBER WALLIS: It would be nice just to have some numbers that make it clear. MEMBER SHACK: This is, what, a 24-inch pipe, Schedule 80? About an inch and a quarter, inch and a half, yes. MR. CONNELL: Yes, that's approximately correct. MEMBER SHACK: It's at least an inch. MR. CONNELL: Yes, it's over an inch. MEMBER SHACK: It's over an inch. MEMBER POWERS: Well, it's a good thing, because in four years you're going to remove a lot of it. The next slide is on the reactor vessel fluence. As part of EPU, the fluence to the end of life has been recalculated. It's been recalculated using the revised General Electric methodology. At the time we did that work, the methodology had not been approved by the NRC staff. It's now been provisionally approved. What we looked at in the interim was the PT curves for the -- the existing PT curves, and they are sufficiently conservative. There's enough life left that we will have time until past the end of the next cycle to go back and incorporate the methodology in the General Electric new topical report that's just been approved. MEMBER POWERS: So you don't discuss fatigue? MR. CONNELL: No, we -- we hadn't planned on it. The existing curves will go right over it. It'll carry us -- MEMBER POWERS: There's no -- MR. CONNELL: -- through that. MEMBER POWERS: -- on your vibrations and -- MR. HAEGER: Oh. We discussed that in some depth at the subcommittee. We were not asked to specifically present it here. There is one open question that we're going to be responding to, but other than that we didn't plan to address it specifically here. MEMBER POWERS: I'll chat with my brethren on the subcommittee. MR. HAEGER: Okay. MEMBER POWERS: They can answer my question. MR. CONNELL: Next, Jason and I are going to address four open questions from the subcommittee. The first two have to do with the electrical distribution system, and they are for postulated off- normal conditions. The first concerns the -- what we call the bus 21/22, which are off the Y windings, off the unit auxiliary transformer, and the reserve auxiliary transformer. And they feed the recirc pumps and the feedwater pumps. The postulation is that there is a bolted fault at the same time that you transfer all the loads from one of the transformers to the other. This is different after EPU basically because you're running the additional feed pump. So the contribution to the fault current will be increased momentarily because of the additional running feed pump. So when you look at that, the fault current is higher after EPU. So what we have done to mitigate that is that we have reinforced the bus to take that higher momentary current, and we've done that through the aid of testing to prove out that the modifications will, indeed, take that higher fault current. We have also adjusted the relay that initiates the breaker trip, has two settings on them. One we call instantaneous, which picks up in about a hundredth of a second. We've eliminated that, and now we pick up on the setting that's set at six cycles. It'll pick up at six cycles or a tenth of a second. And during that time period, the fault current will decay from the extra pump, and you'll be back within the rating of the breaker. We've also looked at all of the other components, I think in response to a question. That question was: in the transformer, is that designed to take this? And it is. And we've also looked at the connecting buses, and that's within their rating also. The second question related to electrical had to do with the -- on this postulation, the plants are running, you've got the low split between the UAT and the RAT, and you have a fast bus transfer from one to the other. The question was related to the higher current. The current will exceed the continuous duty rating of the transformer. However, the current is within the short -- the short overload period of design of the transformer. And, of course, we've also looked at the other components in the system, such as the bushing and the cabling and the bus, and that's all within its short duty rating. During that time, the operators are trained and they have a procedure where they'll cut back the load to be within the continuous duty rating. And we've allowed them an hour to do that, because the transformer short duty rating for the overcurrent is in excess of two hours. The last question that I'm going to address had to do with the steam dryer. At the subcommittee, there were extensive discussions about the dryer, and there was one question that was asked that hadn't been answered, which had to do with the lugs on the dryer. And the question was: are these inspected? And the answer is: they're inspected at 10-year intervals. They were inspected during the EPU outages. We just did that last week at Dresden, and there were no indications in any of the lugs. MEMBER FORD: I guess the question -- you enunciated a question correctly, but the deeper issue was that in the earlier Duane Arnold application, the statement was made that because of the increase of vibration stresses on the steam dryer, there would be a transference of stress to the lugs. My question was: well, how will that impact on the cracking of that welded component, the lug? And you've correctly said that there would be -- they are normally inspected every 10 years. Would the increase of stress on that lug indicate that that is -- 10 years is an insufficient inspection periodicity? MR. CONNELL: I guess I wasn't prepared to -- I didn't understand that question in that way. MEMBER FORD: Well, I didn't give, admittedly, it in that detail. It was really to relate to the integrity of that lug, which has cracked in the past. How is that impacted by the increase -- supposed increase in stress? MEMBER SHACK: Do you mean, how close do you come to a fatigue limit? MEMBER FORD: Fatigue or a cracking limit, a stress corrosion limit, or whatever. MR. CONNELL: I understand your question now, but I didn't understand that was the question. Sorry. MEMBER FORD: I apologize. I apologize. MR. HAEGER: We can get some information back to you on that. MEMBER FORD: Yes. And if you remember, the impact of this was really more of a loose parts analysis. You're going to have the whole steam dryer drop down onto the top guide. And I think it -- what would happen? Or can't anyway. MR. CONNELL: Jason? MR. POST: Yes. There was a question on the ORIGEN Code from the subcommittee, and if that's used to do a space-time demand calculation. And ORIGEN is used to calculate the core inventory for the radiological release calculations, the dose calculations. It's a prescripted methodology. It's performed at end of cycle with a maximum discharge exposure to maximize the inventories. It is not used to do a space-time variation calculation. We have compared ORIGEN to the CINDER Code, which is a model that can do a space-time variation calculation, and have shown that ORIGEN results are either the same or higher for the individual isotopes, and so it gives a conservative radiological release calculation. Now, there was also a question about the radial power distribution. MEMBER POWERS: I guess that raises the question -- MR. POST: Sure. MEMBER POWERS: -- I am hardly expert in this, but I seem to have seen people compare ORIGEN predictions to what they actually find in the fuel, and my impression is they're pretty good. That would suggest that maybe the CINDER Code is not so good. MR. POST: Well, the results between CINDER and ORIGEN were really quite close. There was another question on the radial power distribution. This is Dresden-2, cycle 17, which is the current operating condition. This is a core -- say a core to core. The numbers there are the -- let me use this and stand up. These are the radial peaking factors of the individual fuel rods. Here are -- these little cruciforms are where the control rods are inserted. This -- again, it's a core to core. It's a core-to- core symmetric design. There are four bundles on here that have the highest radial peaking factors of 1.4 or so. I think there is -- where did they go here? There was a couple of them -- MEMBER ROSEN: Is this the pre-EPU or post-EPU case? MR. POST: This is the pre-EPU. This is cycle 17. This is the current operating condition. MEMBER WALLIS: Can we win a prize for finding them? MR. POST: Yes. The first one to find them gets a free donut. (Laughter.) I know there were four -- there were four of them on here. They were about 1.4, I thought. MEMBER WALLIS: They all seem to be 1.2 something. MR. POST: Yes. MEMBER WALLIS: So what's the question? MR. POST: Then it -- I'll have to confirm that. Then this is cycle -- Dresden-2, cycle 18. MEMBER WALLIS: There are some 1.4s on this one. MR. POST: Yes. This one -- I counted. There's -- here's a whole bunch of 1.4s. This is the EPU condition, and there are approximately 23 -- I think I counted -- fuel rods that have a radial peaking factor of 1.4 or higher. So the peak is -- MEMBER WALLIS: So it has increased. MR. POST: Yes. So the peak is still the same. There's nothing above a 1.44 or 1.45 or so. That's the highest. But there -- it went from four in a core to core to 23 in a core to core. MEMBER WALLIS: So except we couldn't see the 1.45 and -- MR. POST: Yes. I'm not sure that that was the correct transparency. I'll have to confirm. Because I counted them off the hard copy, and I counted four, so -- MEMBER WALLIS: So the message is that the maximum radial peaking factor has not changed. MR. POST: Correct. MEMBER ROSEN: But that pre-EPU you had some small number of bundles at 1.4, or nearly, and post-EPU or EPU you end up with something like 24 bundles. MR. POST: In a core to core, correct. MEMBER ROSEN: In a core to core. But overall the power is generated for the EPU from a general flattening of the power shift. MR. POST: Right. And the radial peaking factor of more rods at 1.4 is evidence of that, that it's a flatter power distribution. Exactly. MEMBER ROSEN: But it isn't very core wide. It doesn't take -- doesn't seem to take -- that was the reason for my question. It doesn't seem to take much of the core to get there. MR. POST: It's a matter of perception. Certainly, that -- yes. It's -- there is still a low of low power bundles in here. I mean, out in the periphery we've got 1.3s, 1.2s, that's correct. There are a lot of low power bundles still in the core. MEMBER WALLIS: Well, for the benefit of the public, could you explain the significance of this term "radial peaking factor"? MR. POST: The radial peaking factor for the whole core average should be 1.0. So it's a measure of the individual bundle power ratio to the core average bundle power. MEMBER WALLIS: Core. It's not bundle average. MR. POST: Core average. MEMBER WALLIS: So you can have numbers that are less than one. MR. POST: That's correct. MEMBER WALLIS: But it doesn't say how high it is, then. It's a ratio to the core average. MR. POST: That's correct. And -- MEMBER WALLIS: Would it be a correct statement that the power per bundle has not changed in the maximum bundle by -- as a result of the EPU? MR. POST: That's exactly correct. We -- MEMBER WALLIS: It's not just the ratio to the average, but the absolute power per bundle. MR. POST: Right. The highest -- MEMBER WALLIS: The highest amount of power per bundle is still the same. MR. POST: The highest power bundles were on limits, and we were not able to raise the power. MEMBER WALLIS: That's the whole principle of achieving EPU this way, by spreading -- MR. POST: That's correct. MEMBER ROSEN: Maybe a comment for the process is that we're talking -- on the assumption that we're going to see additional requests for other BWRs on this for EPU, it would be helpful if this presentation was made with some sort of help for the reader, maybe some kind of color coding. It's very hard to compare. MR. POST: Yes. We just got this question -- MEMBER ROSEN: Yes, I know. MR. POST: -- last night. And so this is the best we could come up with in the moment. We'll certainly take that into consideration for future presentations. MEMBER WALLIS: Are we moving on to PRA? Is that the next -- oh, no, the large transient tests you're going to talk about. MR. HAEGER: Two open items, actually. MR. KLUGE: This is Mark Kluge from Exelon again. I'm going to discuss the first of the two open items in the safety evaluation report. Al, can you put our slide back up, please? This open item involves the ultimate heat sink at Dresden station. Dresden's ultimate heat sink consists of the intake and discharge canals, which trap water in the event of a failure of a downstream dam on the river. And I'll ask Al to put up a photograph here. The Unit 2 and 3 intake canal runs from the river to the plant, and the discharge canal runs back out to the river here. The intake is approximately 2,000 feet long. So we're talking about a substantial amount of water. Al, if you could switch back. This inventory is used for safe shutdown in two ways. It supplies makeup to the isolation condenser for decay heat removal, and it also supplies cooling water for the diesel generators. The ultimate heat sink is replenished by means of portable pumps to support safe shutdown in the long term, and all of the required actions for operating in this matter are in the current plant procedures. The PU -- MEMBER WALLIS: Where do you pump from? MR. KLUGE: I'm sorry? MEMBER WALLIS: Where do you pump from with the -- MR. KLUGE: We pump from the intake, as we do during normal plant operation. The difference, of course, is that we're now separated from the river as an unlimited supply. MEMBER WALLIS: The canal is replenished by pumps pumping from the river? MR. KLUGE: Pumping from the lowered river bed. MEMBER WALLIS: After the dam has failed? MR. KLUGE: After the dam has failed, the river bed lowers below the canal intake level, but, of course, doesn't go completely away because the river has a series of dams. MEMBER WALLIS: So the aftermath of the dam failure has all gone away and the river is now in a suitable state for pumping from? MR. KLUGE: The river is presumed to still have inventory, yes. And we're only pumping the water over the rise at the intake. MEMBER WALLIS: And not to be full of all kinds of junk and stuff, is that -- pumpable from? MR. KLUGE: Pumpable from. MEMBER WALLIS: Okay. MR. KLUGE: Yes. MEMBER WALLIS: That doesn't always happen, right? MR. KLUGE: That doesn't always happen, but that is the current licensing basis. MEMBER WALLIS: So this is approved by the NRC? MR. KLUGE: The EPU impact on the ultimate heat sink we evaluated by doing a very bounding analysis of the water that would be available in the intake canal and found that EPU changes the time available to make up from the lowered river bed from about five and a half days to four days. As a result of our IPEEE and seismic margins analysis, we committed to certain modifications which are related to a seismic event. Specifically, we do not currently have a seismically qualified makeup path to the isolation condenser. And because those modifications are not intended to be installed until one cycle after EPU operation, the staff requested that we do some focused risk evaluations of such a scenario in which the seismic event would fail the dam, and the makeup paths to the isolation condenser have limited seismic capability. The results of those evaluations showed that the risk of core damage in that scenario was acceptably low, and that the EPU impact on that risk was negligible. Now I'll turn it over to Tim Hanley to discuss transient testing. MEMBER ROSEN: Before you get away from that, acceptably low, what kind of numbers were you talking about? MR. KLUGE: The risk of a seismic event failing the dam, failing all of the isolation condenser makeup, and thereby leading to core damage, is on the order of 1E-5. MEMBER KRESS: And where is it that says that that's an acceptably low value? MR. KLUGE: That falls within an acceptable region in Reg. Guide 1.174. MEMBER KRESS: I don't recall 1.174 giving acceptance criteria for individual sequences. MR. KLUGE: Well, as I said, this was a special case where the staff asked us to analyze one specific sequence. We do not have a seismic PRA for Dresden station. MEMBER KRESS: Yes, but I don't think 1.174 gives any guidance on what to do about individual sequences. So, you know, did the staff say that it was an acceptably low value? MR. HAEGER: Well, as we are discussing, this is still an open item with the staff. MEMBER KRESS: I see. MR. HAEGER: But we felt that, given this scenario, that that was an acceptable level, and that's what we -- we submitted. MEMBER KRESS: Okay. MR. HANLEY: This is Tim Hanley again from Exelon Nuclear. The other open item with the staff is the large transient tests. Our submittal was based on ELTR-1 and ELTR-2. ELTR-1 calls for two large plant transient tests. One is an MSIV closure, if you're uprating greater than 10 percent from your current license power, and the other one is the generator load reject for uprates of greater than 15 percent above your current license thermal power. I want to say ELTR-1 is a generic uprate guideline or topical report that covers power uprates that include a steam dome pressure increase and those that don't. It doesn't differentiate the testing requirements between those two types of uprates, and a big part of our basis for not doing those tests is the fact that we are not increasing reactor steam dome pressure. In fact, GE has since submitted another submittal to do constant power uprate EPUs that do not require those tests. Overall, our basis for not wanting to do these tests is they are, in fact, initiating large transients on the plant from the full power conditions. It's not warranted based on the way we're doing our uprate. Essentially, all we'll be changing is the thermal power and the reactor and the steam line flow. All of the other main parameters of interest, which would be the SCRAM time, bypass valve response, relief valve response, are all unchanged. With the limited changes to the inputs, the Oden Code that we've used to analyze the plant's response has indicated that the response would be within an acceptable level for the individual components that would be challenged during these tests. So with -- having very little to gain out of performing these tests, and, in fact, running tests on operating reactors, we believe that it's better from a safety perspective not to run these tests. MEMBER POWERS: I can't understand the plausibility of your argument for the MSIV closure. Can you explain a little bit on this load -- generator load rejection? MR. HANLEY: Yes. In the generator load reject from full power, as the stop valves get 10 percent closed from their full open position, you get an anticipatory SCRAM. So the rods go in then. None of that has changed. So it's actually -- although the pressure transient has started to increase, the rods are already going in at that point. The other thing important about the generator load reject, you still maintain bypass valve capability. We haven't changed the bypass valve response time, the bypass valve capacity, and once the rods go in you're well within your bypass valve capacity. You do see -- we do see some increase in the peak pressure that you see in the vessel, because you do have a greater amount of steam flow that's being interrupted and a greater amount of power to begin with. But the transient actually terminates very quickly. And because we haven't changed those other inputs, the stop valve closure point at which you get the SCRAM, the SCRAM response time, bypass valve response time, it doesn't seem prudent to go ahead and run this test when there's very little to be gained from it. Again, this isn't -- MEMBER LEITCH: In some of the reading here, it seemed to suggest that some of the justification for not doing the test was based on some testing done at KKL. MR. HANLEY: KKL actually did an extended power uprate, did testing. The real justification was to show that the Oden Code that we're using adequately predicts the plant's response at uprated conditions. They compared the Oden results. They ran a KKL to the actual plant response, and it was -- conservatively predicted the response and did follow the trend of the plant's response for all of the parameters of interest. So -- MEMBER LEITCH: But KKL has a 100 percent bypass system. The four plants we're discussing are like 25 percent bypass? MR. HANLEY: We're actually about 40 for -- 40 percent of our current, so it goes down to approximately 37 percent, something in that range. However, in the MSIV closure, your bypass valve capacity is irrelevant because you don't have bypass valves anyway. MEMBER LEITCH: Yes, you're talking about the generator load reject system. MR. HANLEY: For the generator load reject, the real issue is you get -- you get quickly below the bypass valve capacity, even at Dresden/Quad Cities. It reduces the pressure, because the bypass valve response time -- as the stop valves are going closed, the bypass valves don't open quickly enough to compensate for that. So even at KKL they did see a pressure spike with the generator load reject. And the actual capacity of the bypass valve system doesn't -- is only in play for a very, very short period of time, because then you're down to decay heat that you're worried about. And, really, the basis for that was to show Oden can predict both plant responses before and after EPU, and that was part of our basis for not doing it. Oden says that we'll stay within the parameters that the components can operate under. MEMBER POWERS: Professor Wallis has trained me to understand that when somebody says that a code conservatively predicts something that it predicts it rather badly, but that it's high. Is that the case here? MR. HANLEY: Actually, I believe we have some backup slides on this. It does predict a higher value in most of these -- in all of these cases, but it is -- MEMBER POWERS: These are proprietary slides, so we're going to have to discuss these at -- some of the members have -- it looks like some of the members have some materials, but at this point -- MR. HANLEY: We can get that afterwards. And, again, this is an open issue with the staff. If there is no more questions, I'll turn it over to Bill Burchill. MEMBER ROSEN: Well, I expected at this point you would address the testing that you are planning to do for what -- based on your modifications of the reactor recirc runback. MR. HANLEY: There is another section in the back that covers startup testing in general. MEMBER ROSEN: Oh, okay. MR. HANLEY: This was an open issue, so I'll address it when I come back to do that. So I'm going to turn it over to Bill Burchill. MEMBER WALLIS: Can you do this in about five minutes, Bill? MR. BURCHILL: I will do that, sir. MEMBER WALLIS: But I can't promise you there will be no questions. MR. BURCHILL: My name is Bill Burchill. I'm the Director of Risk Management for Exelon. There were no open questions from the subcommittee meeting, but we were asked to provide a summary of our risk impact study. What I'm going to do -- if you could go back a slide. I don't want to get onto this one yet. I want to report the principal results of the -- both qualitative and quantitative evaluations. For the quantitative evaluations, we used CDF and LERF as our figures of merit, and we did principally use the full power internal events PRA, which had been upgraded in 1999 and has been reviewed by the BWR owners group. The other evaluations did use some quantitative tools but did not do a full plant risk evaluation. We evaluated the impact of all of the changes that have been previously described in hardware, procedures, operating conditions, and setpoints. And, in general, we found no new accident types. We found no significant changes to accident scenarios. We found no changes to system dependencies and no vulnerabilities that were introduced by the EPU. There were very limited impacts that could, in fact, be quantified primarily in the initiating event area and also in the operator response times. The examples of effects that would, of course, come into play is the higher stored energy and decay heat load, operating the increased number of feedwater and condensate pumps, and more valves being needed for both overpressure protection and depressurization. Now go to the next slide. MEMBER POWERS: You said you found no new accidents introduced by this uprated -- MR. BURCHILL: That's correct. MEMBER POWERS: It seems to me I received some material which I -- naturally I can't put my hands on immediately that says that the turbine runback does introduce some -- a new accident. MR. BURCHILL: It's not a new accident class, however. I mean, because we look at the impacts of what the turbine runback would produce, and we also look at the impacts of the failure of the turbine runback when called upon. And they are equivalent to scenarios that are already in the PRA. Now, this slide is more detailed than will fit in five minutes, but I want to point out that we did look at all of the technical elements of the PRA, particularly, as I said, the initiating event frequency, success criteria, system changes, and operator response times. We used sensitivity studies to evaluate these, and it also provided a guide for updating the PRA for our next cycle of update. This slide summarizes the key quantitative results from the full power internal events PRA. And you can see that there are three basic areas. One is the area of the initiating event frequency. There is an impact based on the fact that we're running one more condensate pump and one more feedwater pump, and the very first line shows that there is a contribution there. This contribution is actually conservatively stated here, because we didn't take credit in this case for the recirc pump runback feature. That was not designed at the time that we had this evaluation completed. So that evaluation, if we were to take that into account, would essentially be a zero impact. The next five are in the operator action category, and in each case the impact is a slightly decreased time for the operator action. The actions we're talking about here are generally in the 20- to 30-minute timeframe, and the decrease is on the order of four to five minutes in those cases. So we evaluated those analytically. We took those impacts and determined what the new human error probabilities would be. MEMBER WALLIS: But all of these numbers are 20 percent. Presumably there's some calculation? It's strange they all come out to be the same. MR. BURCHILL: Most of them are times that are either 20 minutes down to 16 or 25 down to 20. MEMBER WALLIS: So they're all the same 20 percent. MR. BURCHILL: Yes. MEMBER WALLIS: So this is also -- this must be proportional to the power uprate or -- MR. BURCHILL: Well, we assumed conservatively, and I'll use that word with care, that we -- that there was a linear relationship between the power increase and the time reduction. Beyond that, we cranked it through the normal evaluation techniques for ATPs. The last one is the change in the depressurization success criteria. This was probably the largest individual change in success criteria area. Where previously one valve would be sufficient for depressurization, in the case of the uprated power two valves were required. And this obviously introduces a change to both the success criteria. It also introduces some new failure probabilities, and, in particular, changes our evaluation of the common cause failure effect. The next slide summarizes overall the quantitative results. Again, I point out, as was pointed out earlier, the plants are similar, but they do have differences in equipment and that's the principal reason for the differences in base values. The first group of numbers is the base, CDF, and LERF. The second group of numbers that are expressed in percent are the impact of the EPU. The absolute value impact, while it's the combination of a number of individual contributions, is essentially the same for both plants. It's about 2.4 times 10-7 per year differential on CDF. MEMBER ROSEN: This is just with -- looking at internal events. MR. BURCHILL: That is correct, sir. MEMBER ROSEN: Not fire or anything else. MR. BURCHILL: That's correct. So the difference in the five to 10 percent that you see here is entirely due to the difference in base value. The LERF numbers may look to some of you who are familiar with this to be fairly high in comparison to the CDF numbers. Generally, for a MARK-1 containment, one would expect a LERF on the order of 10 to 20 percent of CDF. These numbers are considerably higher simply because of the conservative methodology that we used to calculate LERF. It's a methodology endorsed by the NRC staff in Reg. Guide 1.174, and it has served our needs for our applications to date. Now, this is not a risk-informed application, but -- so, as such, there are no specific regulatory acceptance criteria. We did benchmark the results against what are published in Reg. Guide 1.174. What we found was that the delta CDF is in the very small risk change region, and the delta LERF is in the small risk change region. The delta CDF is deep within the small risk change region, the very small risk change region, by about a factor of four. The delta LERF is just barely into the small risk change region. And if one takes into account what we believe is the degree of conservatism in that calculation, it, too, would be in the very small risk change region. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Just a question I have. What is the ATWS contribution to the -- to your CDF, 2.6 and 10-6. What's the -- MR. BURCHILL: If you add up all of the scenarios that go to ATWS, it's about in 10 percent of the scenarios. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Ten percent of 2.6 and 10-6. MR. BURCHILL: Right. Okay. If I go to the last slide, these are the qualitative risk evaluations that were performed, and I want to quickly point out that we did use some quantification in these. We do have a fire PRA model for both plants. That was developed in support of the revised IPEEE submittal a couple of years ago. We did examine the top 10 scenarios in both PRAs, and those represent about 90 percent of the CDF. We found only minimal impact, primarily on operator action times that were long term. So, effectively, there was a negligible impact. For seismic, as has been mentioned, we only have a seismic margin analysis on both plants. We did a qualitative evaluation of the results that were previously reported in that analysis, principally with respect to whether any of the fragilities would be changed or impacted by the increased power. We found no significant impact. We did, in response to the staff's question, as has been mentioned, do one event-specific event tree to quantify the impact of this dam failure scenario that we talked about. And you're absolutely correct, there is no specific acceptance criteria. However, if we do map that scenario onto the Reg. Guide 1.174, while the base value calculated was 10-5 per year, the delta was 10-8 per year. So that actually falls well below -- you know, well into the very small impact range, even though the base is higher. On the shutdown, that's all qualitative. And, again, we evaluated our defense-in-depth actions that we take during shutdown. We found that the only thing that was impacted was long-term operator actions, and also a success criteria for alternative decay heat removal. But this is out in the 30-day ballpark, so some of the fallback positions on alternative decay heat removal would not be available until after about 35 days compared to about 38 days pre-EPU. And, of course, we do have a configuration risk management program during shutdown to assure that any impacts are managed. With respect to flooding, we do not have flooding in our current internal events PRA. We are installing it at this time. But the IPEEE studies show -- I'm sorry, the IPE studies show that flooding contributed only about one percent. So we looked at that and did not see any impact with respect to either new initiating events or increased initiating event frequencies. So our conclusion from each of these other risk sources and operating modes is that the impact is acceptable. I'd be happy to answer questions. Otherwise, I will turn it over to Tim Hanley again. MEMBER ROSEN: In all of the plant modifications, you're not stringing into a cable? MR. HAEGER: There is one DC cable that we are stringing to improve the voltage at one of the reactor panels. As far as other cable for some of the mods, I think there has got to be some cable for that, I assume. Ed, I'm looking to you for confirmation. MR. BURCHILL: And I presume the question is based on impact on fire risk. MEMBER ROSEN: That's right. That's where I'm going. MR. BURCHILL: I understand. Right. I think in our examination of the top 10 scenarios I do not know if we looked explicitly at this new cable, but I would assume that the impact would be fairly small. MEMBER POWERS: I would assume that if you strung new cable you'd have to go through and do another screening on your fire areas. MR. BURCHILL: That would be true. But I would be surprised if this were being strung in an entirely different location than is currently being used. MEMBER POWERS: Yes, I was -- MR. BURCHILL: For a similar function. MEMBER POWERS: Well, I was thinking of you -- MR. HAEGER: Actually, the cable I was referring to is just a redundant, parallel cable to reduce the voltage drop. MEMBER POWERS: It changes the combustible loadings in the room at the very minimum, and it also then increases the cable tray loading. I mean, there has to be some reanalysis that has to be done. MR. BURCHILL: If we were to go in to fully quantify that, that would be true. Any other questions? MEMBER WALLIS: There is a -- is your friend here going to speak or -- MR. CONNELL: I can't tell if you have heard enough or not, but what I was going to say was on the cable -- and all of the modifications we always look at that, that's one of the checked off features. The major cable pulls for these modifications were the ones that -- 125 volt DC that Al had mentioned, and also for the pre-filters that we've added in the condensate demin area, and that is examined. Of course, in that area it's -- that's all non-BOP equipment down in that area. But it does impact the fire loading in the area, and it is considered. MR. BURCHILL: Yes. The fire loading impact on the risk would be extremely minimal. If they were really routed in different locations, that would be where you would -- MEMBER POWERS: Might have to do another associated circuits analysis. MR. BURCHILL: I'm sorry? MEMBER POWERS: Have to do another associated circuits analysis. MR. BURCHILL: That would be done under the appendix. Well, it's -- this isn't an Appendix R plant, but it -- MEMBER ROSEN: There's a discussion in the staff's SER -- draft SER about the need to update the PRAs sooner than the normal cycle because of the extensive amount of modifications, both operational and hardware. Is that something you're going to do? MR. BURCHILL: The plan at this moment is not to make an explicit update because of the results of these sensitivity studies. If we need to make an update, we have the basis to do that. What we would do is only update about six critical parameters in the PRA and then roll that into our online risk monitor. The current plan is to actually incorporate those at our next update cycle, which would put them into place in May of next year. MEMBER ROSEN: May of next year. MR. BURCHILL: Yes. MEMBER ROSEN: Rather than two years as stated in the draft SER. MR. BURCHILL: I don't know what the draft SER says about our update cycle, but it would be May. That's our next deadline for periodic update. MEMBER ROSEN: May of 2002. MR. BURCHILL: Correct. MEMBER WALLIS: Are we ready to move on or -- MR. BURCHILL: I'll turn it over to Tim Hanley, then, who will talk about the training and testing. MR. HANLEY: This is Tim Hanley again. I'm going to cover the training and testing that we're -- we have done and are going to do during our power uprate. We did extensive classroom training for the operators covering all of the aspects of EPUs, modifications, procedure changes, uprate operating experience. We did a lot of simulator training, started with a walkthrough of the simulator coming in at full EPU conditions, what the plant will look like for the operators the first time they come to take the shift under EPU conditions, did some normal operation scenarios, swamping pumps, reducing recirc flow, moving control rods, and then did dynamic scenarios that were selected to highlight the differences and also the similarities between the operator actions for these transients and accidents. They included recirc flow controller failure, loss of feedwater heating. We did do a turbine trip/no bypass ATWS and did an MSIV closure with a loop LOCA. And, really, the operator's response to that was that the -- it really doesn't change a whole lot working through the symptom-based EOPs that -- you know, they're monitoring parameters and taking actions based on what those parameters are, and their actions really haven't changed significantly. For the testing, we're going to -- MEMBER LEITCH: Tim, did I understand you to say that the simulator has already been modified? MR. HANLEY: All of this training has been completed at Dresden. At Quad Cities, our uprate outage is not until February. We're in the process during this week and next week of updating the simulator at Quad. We'll be doing our simulator training, the final training cycle of this year, and the one before our February EPU outage. But we are following the same model as Dresden. MEMBER LEITCH: So the down time on the simulator is not appreciable. It's only a matter of a couple of weeks? MR. HANLEY: That's correct. MEMBER LEITCH: Yes, okay. MR. HANLEY: That's correct. And that was planned into our training cycle before we began the year. For our testing, we'll be following the ELTR-1 testing for the incremental testing. We'll actually be starting at 90 percent of our current rate of power, getting a set of data there, going up to a constant flow control line at 100 percent power, increasing power once a day in a three percent interval, gathering the data, comparing it to the acceptance criteria, before we move on the next day. We do have a dedicated test team led by an SRO at each site, and we are sharing resources between the two sites, so we capture any lessons learned from Dresden as we go to Quad Cities. We are a two-system control system where particularly testing is the pressure control system and the feedwater level control system. We're changing where the pressure control system will control pressure, so -- because we'll have a lower turbine throttle pressure than we currently do. So it will be controlling at a different band. And then three-element control will obviously have different inputs for feed flow and steam flow, if we want to do explicit testing on the stability of those systems and their response to changes in those parameters. We do have -- since we're increasing the flow significantly through the feedwater and steam piping, we'll be installing vibration monitoring, both inside and outside of the drywell, and monitoring vibration data on both of those systems. The acceptance criteria was established from the ASME stress analysis limits, and that's the basis of determining acceptability of the vibrations we see on those lines. Specifically asked about earlier was modification testing, particularly on the recirc runback. We are doing -- we'll do unique modification tests for each of the mods that we're doing for EPU. For the recirc runback, there's really a series of modifications that were put in as a reliability -- plant reliability because we're using the extra condensate feed pump. One of those is the recirc runback. We'll be testing the recirc runback, verifying the speed is the speed that the runback is what we expect. We'll be testing the entire logic train by a series of overlapping tests. We have some pressure instruments that -- for the feed pump low suction pressure that will be verified in the setpoints. And we'll verify the setpoints of the SCRAM once we reduce the SCRAM setpoint from eight inches to zero inches. We do not plan on doing a feed pump trip at full power and watch the recirc pumps run back. The basis for that was we -- it's not a safety issue. We are not installing this mod. We don't take credit for it in any safety analysis. It's strictly to maintain the plant online in case you lose a feed pump or a recirc pump. And in an effort to not cycle these large motors and pumps unnecessarily, we don't intend to do a dynamic test of that entire system at full power. MEMBER LEITCH: Can we talk just a second about the SCRAM setpoint, level setpoint? You're reducing that by -- MR. HANLEY: Eight inches. MEMBER LEITCH: -- from eight inches to zero? MR. HANLEY: To zero, that's correct. MEMBER LEITCH: And that only -- that reduction only occurs when there's a trip signal into one of the condensate pumps. Is that correct? MR. HANLEY: No, no. That's a -- strictly an RPS setpoint change. Yes, the RPS setpoint is at plus eight inches right now. We've got, as part of our EPU submittal, to reduce that down to zero. MEMBER LEITCH: And that will be in all of the time. That is -- MR. HANLEY: That's correct. It doesn't set down -- it'll always be zero. MEMBER LEITCH: Okay. I misunderstood. Thank you. MEMBER ROSEN: Well, there is the law of perverse consequences, which says that if you don't test something that then surely something will be a problem. You're balancing off two -- two competing issues -- one, the need to -- the desire to not cycle these large motors and pumps versus the desire to fully test the system which may have some unknown failure mode. And it's always a judgment call, isn't it, at the end of the day. MR. HANLEY: And that's right. That -- you've got to balance, you know, the long-term reliability of the equipment, not only just the motors but also the seals on the pumps get rattled when you trip them. The recirc pumps will be running back, which can have negative effects on the seals on the long term. But, really, test -- tripping a feed pump from full power really does only test one facet of it. That just verifies that it worked under those conditions. The overlapping testing that we'll do of the complete logic train is what we're relying on to shake out any unexpected consequences. Does this runback come in when it's not supposed to? So it's those facets, and that's why we have a unique mod test for the modification, to ensure that there aren't any unexpected consequences out of it. Currently, right now our procedures will tell the operators, if you lose a feed pump and a standby is not available, what they do is reduce recirc pump speed to -- MEMBER ROSEN: But they do that manually. MR. HANLEY: They do it manually. So the action really isn't changing. We're just having an automatic system that'll do it. MEMBER ROSEN: And it's the automatic system that won't be tested. MR. HANLEY: Well, we will be testing the automatic, but we won't be doing it at full power. We'll test the recirc pumps' scoop to speed runback is what we have designed it to be, and that it comes in when you get a feed pump trip and the other inputs, which is 20 inches reactor water level. We will be testing all of those things. Really, the only thing we're not going to be testing is, does that keep you from hitting zero inches and getting a SCRAM in? Because we won't be doing it from full power. We'll be doing it in, like I said, incremental steps as part of the outage or part of the startup testing. MEMBER WALLIS: Can we move on, Steve? Can we move on? Are you satisfied? MEMBER ROSEN: Yes. MEMBER WALLIS: Do you have a bottom line to show us? MR. HANLEY: Yes. I'm going to turn it over to John Nosko for our conclusion. MR. NOSKO: Thank you, Tim, and our thanks again to the Committee for listening to the presentation. Just to quickly summarize, our application for the extended power uprate has followed the standard approach for extended uprates using a constant reactor pressure. We've conducted extensive analyses using accepted methodology, conservative inputs. We have found no significant impacts on the plant response or system integrity. The changes in plant risk we characterize as minimal. And our conclusion, as you can see, is that plant operation is acceptable at EPU conditions. And with that, we thank you for your time. MEMBER WALLIS: Thank you. MEMBER LEITCH: I had just a couple of questions. One relates to the basis of the tech spec changes. And in the Dresden tech specs, there is a sentence that presently exists where it says, "No credit is taken in the safety analysis for the isolation condenser system operation." The proposed change is that sentence is stricken, which implies that now credit is taken for the isolation condenser operation, is that correct? Which is -- it says the isolation condenser system is not a safety-engineered feature system, not an engineered safety feature system, and no credit is taken for the safety analysis, or IC system operation. And it proposes striking that sentence. MR. POST: This is Jason Post. We do not take credit for the isolation condenser. As we did the common plan and looked at the common features of the plants as we did the analysis, the isolation condenser was not used in the safety analysis for LOCA and ATWS and those types of analysis. MR. HAEGER: Yes, I think the sentence is struck because in the loss of feedwater we did use the isolation condenser as modeled in there to -- to respond to that event. And, Mark, maybe you can amplify it further. But I think we were just uncomfortable with that statement in there in regards to the transient analysis. MR. KLUGE: This is Mark Kluge from Exelon. Al is correct. The use of the isolation condenser and the loss of feed transient is discussed in the current FSAR. What Jason is referring to is that the safety analysis for that event runs out only until the parameters of interest have turned around. And in that timeframe, the isolation condenser is not credited to mitigate that transient. It's only used as a -- in terms of long-term decay heat removal once the transient itself has recovered to the point it will. MEMBER LEITCH: So to paraphrase that, am I hearing that this is mainly to -- in cleaning up the tech spec basis rather than a -- MR. KLUGE: It would make the tech spec basis consistent with the FSAR. MEMBER LEITCH: Okay. And I guess a similar question related to a statement here that talks about relief valves. It says these valves are sized assuming a turbine trip, a coincident SCRAM, and a failure of the turbine bypass system. And the proposed changes would strike that sentence. Wouldn't that still be the case? MR. KLUGE: No. Again, this was the original sizing criteria for the relief valves as discussed in the FSAR. For the EPU condition, that sizing was meant to prevent lifting any of the safety valves. For the EPU condition, although all the transient and accident analysis results are acceptable and meet their acceptance criteria, there is a potential that under absolutely limiting conditions we could lift a safety valve. So, again, we're changing the bases to be consistent with how the FSAR will read in this case after EPU. MEMBER LEITCH: Okay. I understand. Thank you. MEMBER WALLIS: Are there any more questions? Can we move on to the staff's presentation? We thank you again. We have run a little late. I'm sorry, Mr. Chairman. Doing the best we can. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I'm sure this is not your best. MEMBER WALLIS: It's not the first time. I just assume that we can make adjustments to the people we're going to see over lunch break. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Perhaps the staff can -- MEMBER WALLIS: John, are you ready to go? MR. ZWOLINSKI: A few logistics. MEMBER WALLIS: Are you ready now? John, are you ready? MR. ZWOLINSKI: Yes, sir. MEMBER WALLIS: Please begin. MR. ZWOLINSKI: Thank you, sir, very much. Good morning or good afternoon. I'm John Zwolinski. I'm the Director of the Division of Licensing Project Management, NRR. We're here to present our review of the extended power uprate on Dresden and Quad Cities. I wanted to take just a couple of minutes and beg your indulgence. I note the time is running on. Before we start our presentation on Dresden and Quad Cities, I'd like to reflect for just a couple of minutes on Duane Arnold. Your letters obviously caught the attention of not just myself, the staff, but my senior management. We've issued the Duane Arnold amendment, and this is the safety evaluation for that amendment. I'm going to send this over in the near term. I recognize people's schedules and it may be difficult for you to take the time to actually take a look at this. But this is a foundation for us as we go forward, that indeed we took your comments, concerns in your letter, and in so many words I think we've incorporated those in this product. I would even go so far as to be happy to line in and line out if that would help the Committee to see the significant changes the staff made. I'd like to emphasize that the staff has performed a comprehensive review for Dresden and Quad Cities, much along the lines of what we did with Duane Arnold. We've been very sensitive to -- to assure that we understand what the staff really did and characterize that accurately, whether we performed independent analysis, the rigor of that analysis, what exactly did we do to confirm that the licensee's application warrants acceptance. I'd like to emphasize that in the approval of the Duane Arnold power -- extended power uprate not only did I personally spend a lot of time ensuring this product met management expectations, I had Tad Marsh, my Acting Deputy, independently go through this product in great detail to meet not just the expectations of our management team but those that we were challenged by the Committee. We made a detailed presentation to the Subcommittee on Thermal Hydraulic Phenomena a couple of weeks ago. I believe it was October 26th. A review of the application was performed, as I said, in a manner similar to Duane Arnold. However, our review also covered unique features associated with Quad Cities and Dresden. I'd like to remind the Committee that our review methodology that we used on Duane Arnold and continues to evolve is predicated on the lessons learned from Maine Yankee. All areas affected by the power uprate have been reviewed and evaluated by our staff. The staff has critically examined the methodologies and their application for this power uprate. We have concluded that all analytical codes and methodologies used for licensing analysis are acceptable for this application. Although we reviewed information in many areas, we intend to focus our presentation today on areas we believe to be the most important to the power uprate. In that regard, unless there is anything on the Duane Arnold issue, I'd like to move forward with the presentation on Quad Cities and Dresden. Specifically, with me, Larry Rossbach, the Lead Project Manager for Dresden and Quad Cities power uprate reviews. Larry is our NRR Project Manager for Dresden plant. Also at the table is Stu Bailey, Project Manager for Quad Cities. Larry will give an overview of the review process used for the application and the order of presentations. He will also introduce the other presenters at the table. Noting the time, we'll move as quickly as we can. I am sensitive to be responsive to any questions or concerns that the Committee may have. Larry? MR. ROSSBACH: Thanks, John. Larry Rossbach, NRR Project Manager for Dresden. I just want to briefly summarize our review approach. The staff used as guidelines in our review the General Electric topical reports covering generic guidelines and generic evaluations for BWR extended power uprates referred to as ELTR-1 and ELTR-2. These licensing topical reports have previously been accepted by NRC as acceptable guidelines for power uprate applications. Staff also relied on the standard review plan and the safety evaluation for Monticello Nuclear Generating Plant power uprate as a guide for the scope and the depth of our review. The staff's -- MEMBER WALLIS: The standard review plan is not a standard review plan for uprates. It's some other kind of standard review plan. MR. ROSSBACH: It is. It's a general standard review plan -- MEMBER WALLIS: Right. MR. ROSSBACH: -- that we would use, right, for any of our reviews. The Dresden and Quad Cities power uprate reviews were done in parallel with the Duane Arnold review, which this Committee reviewed about a month ago. In many cases, we used the same reviewers. Where needed, the staff requested additional information to complete our review. Staff also completed three audits associated with our review. One of these was done by the Reactor Assistance Branch. They audited the global nuclear fuels analyses. This was done at the Wilmington, North Carolina facility. Our Probabilistic Assessment Branch staff audited the licensee's risk assessment review at Exelon's Midwest offices. And the plant systems reviewer audited the analysis done in his area at the Dresden site. We prepared short summaries of review in several areas -- the reactor systems area, plant systems review, material degradation issues, and risk assessment review. So with that, I'll turn it over to the first presenter, Ed Kendrick, who will discuss the reactor systems review. MR. KENDRICK: I'm Ed Kendrick of the Reactor Systems Branch of NRR. During the previous subcommittee, Ralph Caruso, our Section Chief, presented details of our analysis of the reactor and fuel systems performance. I want to cover a few things. The first -- a review scope -- we want to point out the review scope, what I would call generic reviews, that since 1991 all of the new fuel designs from GE have been audited for compliance with the approved fuel design criteria, each -- from the initial nine by nine to the current GE 14. And the maximum extended load line limit analysis has been reviewed and approved for a number of BWR plants, so these -- these areas are essentially covered generically. And although it's the first application of these for Dresden and Quad, there has been extensive review before this application came in. The specific review scope for Dresden and Quad Cities covered the review and evaluation of the record of performance sections of the EPU safety analysis reports submitted by the licensee to GE, licensing topical reports. We also had an onsite review at GE Wilmington. The purpose of this one was to ensure continued compliance with the approved analytical methods and codes, the procedures, and we also evaluated the specific Dresden and Quad Cities reload core safety analyses. I'd point out that changes to the tech spec safety limit minimum of critical power ratio were submitted separately and were reviewed separately. And that's why you don't see it in the EPU SER. MEMBER POWERS: Explain to me under fuel evaluations how it is that you know that the fuel -- these new GE fuels will tolerate the power inputs associated with ATWS oscillations. MR. KENDRICK: Okay. The fuel design is audited. We actually have done some calculations of the GE 14 fuel. The capabilities of the bundle to generate the power and stay within all required thermal limits has been confirmed. The ATWS scenario, the bundle, has actually been optimized for stability. It is more stable than the previous nine by nine and ten by tens. And this satisfies the criteria for the ATWS rule. If there's no more detailed questions on that, I think we'll answer any specifics -- MEMBER POWERS: Well, specifically, what we asked the applicant earlier today was how much power was it going to be putting in in the form of these oscillations as he tried to recover. He indicated something on the order of 70 to 80 calories per gram. We asked him, why does he think that the fuel will stand up to that. He indicated that that was within the criteria that you sat. That is an accurate statement, I believe. The criteria is 180, but the experimental data have come to question the adequacy of that. MR. KENDRICK: Right. The -- in fact, that's being addressed under the extended burnup program. The -- MEMBER POWERS: Does the extended burnup program have GE 14 fuel? MR. KENDRICK: Not GE 14, but the -- the question is primarily that of cladding performance, not fuel performance. We look at the fuel design, the fuel that is capable. The cladding that's used for this bundle design is less sensitive to corrosion and spallation, which have been the key initiators for the RIA with the low enthalpies that have been observed. MEMBER POWERS: So they are testing this particular cladding? MR. KENDRICK: I don't know if this cladding will be tested. But for the GE 14, the cladding material of that type will be tested. So this is an ongoing program, and, you know, coolant chemistry, cladding treatments, all of these are -- you know, are being used to address this. An overview of the -- review of emphasis considered that there was no increase in the reactor dome pressure or in the core flow, but that the EPU is achieved with a flatter radial power distribution and higher average bundle powers. Again, it has come into question, what does the flatter power distribution do? It's a matter of concern. We look at this when we do the onsite reviews. We look at the actual calculations for the -- the initial calculations for the core performance. To do that, we examine their equilibrium bounding core analyses. And then the question was, okay, how do you get there? Normally, the first transition cycle may be the most challenging, so we were able to review the initial -- the transition cycle calculations. Indeed, in some areas, you were closer to the limits. We're still within all of the thermal limits. MEMBER WALLIS: I asked Exelon earlier about this business of the radial peaking factor, which they said was the ratio of bundle power of a bundle to the average power. MR. KENDRICK: Right. MEMBER WALLIS: And they said this hadn't gone up. We talked about 1.4, and so on. And then I asked him if this -- it was also true that the maximum bundle power itself would not be changed, and they said yes. But it seems to me that the -- if the higher average goes up and the ratio of maximum average is the same, then the maximum must also go up. MR. KENDRICK: The peak bundle power essentially does not change. You have more bundles that are operating closer to that peak. MEMBER WALLIS: So the peak doesn't change but the average changes. In that case, the average goes up. Then, in that case the radial peaking factor must go down if it's the ratio. MR. KENDRICK: Right. MEMBER WALLIS: When they were talking about it going up. I don't quite understand the -- MR. KENDRICK: Well, they were showing the bundles above the core average. There are more of them that are operating -- MEMBER WALLIS: And they couldn't find the 1.4. MR. KENDRICK: Well, but it has been 1.5 or something to have been -- to be consistent with the logic that I'm trying to pursue here. Well, the -- there are more bundles that would be -- could operate, as they indicated, at 40 percent above the core average. MEMBER WALLIS: I know. I understand that. But the question is: how can you have -- increase the higher average bundle power and have the same average to maximum ratio and not increase the maximum? MR. KENDRICK: A lot of the analyses are done where the maximum bundle is forced to be on the limits, somewhat artificial but -- but you come up with a control rod pattern and an operating strategy so that you put as many bundles as you can on limits. MEMBER WALLIS: So if we did all of the right arithmetic, all of these statements would turn out to be consistent eventually? MR. KENDRICK: Yes. The core average -- relative power distribution and -- the average core power is going up by 17 percent in absolute terms. MEMBER WALLIS: All right. So in that case there, the ratio of maximum to average will presumably have to come down in order to stay at the same maximum by quite a bit. MR. KENDRICK: Right. MEMBER WALLIS: And that was not evident from the Exelon presentation. MR. KENDRICK: Okay. MEMBER WALLIS: But you are assured -- you can assure me that the maximum bundle power is still the same as it was before in -- MR. KENDRICK: We're still within the kilowatt per foot limits that we were before. MEMBER WALLIS: You're within the limits. Has it increased? MR. KENDRICK: It has increased slightly. MEMBER WALLIS: Slightly. MR. KENDRICK: But, again, there is still -- they're within the fleet. There are other reactors that are operating at higher powers, absolute powers. MEMBER WALLIS: Well, that's another question, though. Okay. So, anyway, it's within the limits. MR. KENDRICK: Yes. Within all of the thermal limits. MEMBER WALLIS: Okay. Thank you. MEMBER KRESS: I was concerned that the flatter profile would increase the carryover for ECCS injection. Did you guys look at that? MR. KENDRICK: We looked at that. We heard the -- essentially the same presentation that you heard, and it seems reasonable. We haven't -- the latest thing that is also new to us, too, and we haven't evaluated that, that will be in the SER -- MEMBER KRESS: Okay. MR. KENDRICK: -- the final SER. So we did look at the -- all of the safety performance for both this equilibrium core and for the initial core. As discussed during the subcommittee, we checked that the capability of the slick system, Boron injection system, to perform the design function at the maximum system pressure was very -- we determined that for Dresden-2 everything was okay. For other units, some modifications may have to be made to the relief valve. Our basic conclusion was that after our review of the report and our own site reviews, the licensee's submittal with the GE power uprate SER and with their response to our RAIs and with their onsite review, they demonstrated that Dresden and Quad can operate safely at the EPU conditions during steady state, AOO, and accident conditions. The design basis analyses were done with approved methodologies, and we've verified that none of the assumptions in those approved methodologies have been challenged. Cycle-specific analysis performed for Dresden demonstrates that you can achieve a core and approach the equilibrium core, for which much of the analysis was done. And the EPU meets all applicable NRC regulations. MEMBER WALLIS: But not only can be operated but will be operated. MR. KENDRICK: It will be operated because if -- in the, say, unlikely event that they couldn't achieve the power due to something down the line, the core will still be protected. And we convinced ourselves that all of the safety flections and that the thermal limits would be met. Any questions on how we conducted our reviews? MEMBER WALLIS: Are you concerned about the 1600 degrees limit being met exactly? MR. KENDRICK: Yes. As Ralph Caruso indicated during the subcommittee meeting, we challenged this and effectively asked if they had to go through a number of iterations, and were told that they didn't, but if they did it's the acceptance criteria. And as I indicated, the acceptance criteria was established with a number of conservatisms which -- MEMBER WALLIS: I guess they gave what I'm not sure is the right answer. I mean, they said that they didn't want to go through another calculation because they've already -- I think they implied that it might show a different answer which would not be so favorable. I would have thought that if you are pretty close to a limit that's probably the reason why you should go and redo the calculation. MR. KENDRICK: I think we reviewed their inputs to their -- the calculation, and they were all -- all of the input values had been verified for the licensee, the QA is verified, and we couldn't see a reason that they would have to repeat the calculation. MEMBER WALLIS: But the fact that you considered whether or not -- you asked them whether or not they had iterated several times indicates that it is possible to tweak the number by iterating. MR. KENDRICK: As with almost all calculations where you have acceptance criteria, and you do have some latitude in using tech spec values versus measured values, there are ways that they could have come under the criteria. And we did check a number of inputs to make sure that they hadn't made too many assumptions that we didn't agree with. MEMBER WALLIS: But you didn't ask them to make another input and see what happened? MR. KENDRICK: No, we didn't ask them to make another run in this case. I might mention that when we do these onsite reviews, we have full access to all of the calculation files, all of the input files, to the design people, the independent verifiers, the management -- technical managers, and to the QA and licensing people. MEMBER ROSEN: Can we go on to the plant systems review, then? Okay? Ralph Architzel. MR. KENDRICK: Thank you. MR. ARCHITZEL: Good morning. I'm Ralph Architzel with the Plant Systems Branch. I was the lead reviewer in this case. We did have other reviewers in the Plant Systems Branch, including Steve Jones for the spent fuel pool, Rob Elliot looked at some of the strainer delta P calculations, and Ron Young in the petroleum and HVAC areas. We do have a -- as Larry mentioned, we did the telephone conferences and RAIs and additional -- we did perform -- I did perform one audit at the site during the performance of this review. The audit was focused on the ultimate heat sink and also reviewing some of the NPSH calculations. Plant Systems Branch does have a wide area of responsibility, as you see on these next charts. I'm not going to go over these. I'll try and save some time. But I do want to let you know there was a large -- large number of areas that the Plant Systems Branch does review, and we've been asked to talk about three of those areas during this meeting, if there's no questions. Those areas were the containment response, the net positive suction head, and the ultimate heat sink for Dresden only. Two of these items, in addition to looking at the EPU effects, we also examined -- there was existing licensing basis issues that in addition to just concentrating on the EPU effect we had to consider existing licensing basis considerations during the course of our review. Going up to the containment response -- Mark Kluge from Exelon has already gone over this also -- but basically the analysis methods used conformed with the ELTR-1, Appendix G, topical guidelines. The licensee used M3CPT for short-term response. They used LAM, which was noted in the ELTR, which is a change, for mass and energy releases. And they used superhex for the long-term containment response. And some of these are code changes from what was their previous licensing case. They're using different codes at this time. The containment pressure demonstrated a small pressure increase due to the EPU, but you should note that the analysis did result in reduced pressures from the licensing basis. So this actually results in a reduced containment pressure from a licensing basis standpoint, this EPU. The wetwell pressure peaks higher than previous. Regarding the suppression pool temperature response, there was, as noted before, approximately an eight- or nine-degree increase in the suppression pool temperature. Additionally, the analysis methods were another 10-degree increases, about a 20-degree increase in the suppression pool temperature as a result of these EPU and associated code changes. This did impact the NPSH, but the temperatures remained below the structural limits. Regarding local temperatures in the suppression pool, they demonstrated there was no stream entrainment in the ECCS suctions, and that addresses one of the GE requirements for local temperature requirements for the suppression pool. Containment airspace temperature response -- the peak temperatures do remain below design, as noted earlier. The steam line break is the limiting case and it -- before, and now it comes fairly close to the limit, and it's terminated when the sprays are turned on at 10 minutes. The EPU, in effect, was very small, and the containment dynamic loads remain bounded. That's all I had for containment system response. MEMBER POWERS: When you say the containment dynamic loads remain bounded, explain to me a little more what you mean by that. MR. ARCHITZEL: What I mean is the licensee went in and looked at the -- the analysis that's done for the MARK-1 long-term program, and all of the different condensation, oscillation, etcetera, and the pool swell, and looked at the load definitions there and made statements to us, they did those analyses. Those will be calculations at the site that I did not look at that GE would have done. And they made sure that those MARK-1 containment program results were still within the analysis of the test results and the bounding load definitions for structures inside like the TORUS and the -- MEMBER POWERS: And so you just took -- you just took on faith that they had done those correctly. MR. ARCHITZEL: As far as the long-term program bounding, yes. I did not look at the GE analysis for the -- for the dynamic loads. MEMBER LEITCH: Concerning the containment airspace temperature response, all four of these units have deactivated the head spray line, have they? I guess -- I don't -- there used to be head spray. MR. ARCHITZEL: Do you mean inside the reactor? MEMBER LEITCH: Yes, that wouldn't -- MR. ARCHITZEL: I was talking about the containment. MEMBER LEITCH: I was thinking back to an earlier issue. MR. ARCHITZEL: That would be a reactor system. I think the -- MEMBER POWERS: Are you speaking of the drywell spray? MEMBER LEITCH: No, head spray I was talking about. MR. ARCHITZEL: I'm not familiar with that. I'd have to get back to you. MEMBER LEITCH: Okay. It's -- MEMBER POWERS: Well, are the drywell sprays intact? MR. ARCHITZEL: I did not -- I assume the drywell spray is still there and that's why the pressure turned at the 10-minute points. There were no changes noted on the drywell sprays. Going on to the net positive suction issue, as noted earlier, the EPU does result in a higher suppression pool temperature sooner in the transient. ELTR-1 noted that this would be a requirement for some GE BWRs, and both Dresden and Quad Cities do need more credit for NPSH than they had previously requested. Dresden had previously been approved and Quad Cities had an application in. The licensee used conservative assumptions to -- different than the LOCA peak pressure temperature assumptions to determine what the temperatures and pressures would be for NPSH. A big factor in this EPU, the existing licensing basis, was the strainer differential pressure calculations and accommodating the new strainers. And the differential pressures they had result in a significant pressure drop increase that they had to accommodate with this EPU. And that was incorporated. The procedures and training had been given to the operators to recognize cavitation and when to throttle back flow and take credit for that at the 10-minute point and other points during a transient in their emergency procedures. And, therefore, they've requested -- and the staff plans to approve -- overpressure credit in a step-wise fashion to the accident end. And there's a -- we could go and look at a curve, and I've got that if anybody is interested on how that's approved through the -- MEMBER WALLIS: You agreed with their presentation, that they showed this bar graph where what they need is so much and what's available is so much, and it's always enough. MR. ARCHITZEL: That's not -- I would not agree precisely with those margins. I mean, they go right to the limit in a step-wise fashion. There's times when there's no margin. There's times when they cavitate. But can I show the backup here for a second on this -- on the Dresden backup? I'm not totally -- I mean, do you have the backup? MEMBER WALLIS: It sounds as if your evaluation was a bit more thorough than their presentation. You looked at all of the conditions. They looked at some of them. MR. ARCHITZEL: Just give me one second, because it's easy to show. MEMBER WALLIS: I'm not sure if I need to see all of the details, but you looked at the whole site while they just looked at a few points. MR. ARCHITZEL: It's in the application. Basically, if you look at -- this point here was -- the point I'm trying to make is just that this is in their application, and you could present it differently, but this point was one of the margins presented. You do step down, so it is an average margin as you go through with time. But you do hit the actual available pressure curve with their application and with what we're granting. So I didn't want to totally agree with it, but you can present data different ways, and -- MEMBER WALLIS: So, essentially, your review was more thorough than their presentation as -- MR. ARCHITZEL: More thorough than their presentation, but -- MEMBER WALLIS: I understand what you're saying here, but that doesn't matter. I think we have to move on. MR. ARCHITZEL: The last item I have to talk about is the Dresden ultimate heat sink, and the EPU does affect the quantity and makeup required due to the increased decay heat for the ultimate heat sink. The isolation condenser is used for hot shutdown for the 30-day duration in the event of a dam failure. The isolation -- in several steps. The initial shell inventory is credited for a 20-minute duration. EPU only affects related to the shell inventory, affects the minimum cooldown rate which will be reduced. But, still, the 20-minute duration is not challenged. It's that you may have less of a cooldown during that initial 20 minutes. In the short term, the isolation condenser from makeup -- it's relied on from diverse onsite and non-safety-related sources. This is before and after EPU. There are a variety of onsite sources available -- tanks, cleaned storage tank, and Unit 1 intake canal. Again, these individually still can make the 20-minute -- the two-hour criteria that's available. In the long term, after two hours, it requires them two hours to establish makeup from the ultimate heat sink, this is -- again, there's no time impact associated with this, getting the two hours established from the ultimate heat sink. And they have procedures in place and tested to get that online. The available inventory -- and there are some diverse non-safety-related paths they're relying on. Part of the reason for the ultimate heat sink still taking some time to resolve is that there was existing licensing issues associated with what they credited at what time. The available ultimate heat sink inventory in the intake canal only has been now credited, and that will be lasting four days under current conditions. We're at 5.5 under the previous power condition, so there is that -- that aspect of the change. The licensee is crediting portable low head/high volume pumps to replenish the ultimate heat sink from the river or they could also replenish it from the discharge canal, but -- if there was water in the discharge canal. And this is a previous credit that had been addressed in the SEP program to obtain these portable low head pumps, and the staff is finalizing its review there and anticipates approval of this methodology. MEMBER WALLIS: You're not worried about the state of the river after the dam has failed? I mean, there may be no river, it may be another place. It may be -- MR. ARCHITZEL: Well, that's a limiting case. And there is some concern there; however, they still -- once they get it into the intake canal, you still have some settling available. You still have the intake rates. In addition, there is a lot of inventory in the other canals. You'd have to take a lot of non- safety failures. If you're -- do not have the water, like, in the intake canal or the hot or cold canal, there's a lot of -- in the lake that's available. So in a real sense, there are a lot of other sources available, but with a seismic event they'd be gone. So -- MEMBER ROSEN: But all of that was in the current licensing basis, right? MEMBER WALLIS: Apparently it was, yes. MEMBER ROSEN: We're not talking about a change to the EPU. MR. ARCHITZEL: They have something that would transition in the licensing basis that basically we recognize an informed license at this time. There has been changes in the ultimate heat sink through time. MEMBER WALLIS: Are there any other questions at this point? I was wondering about the materials degradation. MR. ARCHITZEL: The EPU impact is a timing impact, but there are -- there is a need to define, clearly, the licensing basis. MEMBER WALLIS: Materials degradation issues -- could we just maybe read these and ask if Dr. Shack has any questions. Are you satisfied, Bill, with what -- MEMBER SHACK: The only thing that surprises me is just how high the wear rates are in the feedwater line. I mean, at 20 mils a year -- MEMBER POWERS: And we're never changing the line. MEMBER SHACK: -- that's a healthy wear rate. MEMBER WALLIS: Unhealthy wear rate. MEMBER SHACK: The increase is fairly modest. (Laughter.) But the baseline is surprisingly high for a line that you really didn't want to change. MEMBER POWERS: The license renewal folks will need to look at that one, I suppose. MEMBER SHACK: Yes. I would think the license renewal people would -- MEMBER WALLIS: Do you have any questions on the presentation that -- MEMBER POWERS: The applicant indicated that he had no fatigue issues arising despite the higher flows. His staff also find that to be the case. MEMBER WALLIS: I think the staff is essentially agreeing with the applicant on these issues, isn't it? MEMBER POWERS: You found no instances of -- where fatigue was a concern? MR. NOLEY: This is Gonoma Noley from Clinical Branch. We agree with the conclusion the applicant had regarding the fatigue usage factor for the safety and non-safety systems for the steam dryers that were stresses -- maximum stresses from normal and upset for bending a membrane, still below the endurance limit for the standard seal. MEMBER POWERS: Did we have any instances where the CUF became close to one? MR. NOLEY: I can't hear you. MEMBER POWERS: Did we have any instances where the CUF became close to one? MR. NOLEY: No. You don't need to compute the CUF if you are below the endurance limits. MEMBER POWERS: This time I didn't hear you. (Laughter.) MR. NOLEY: You don't need to compute the cumulative uses factor if you are below the endurance limits for the material. MEMBER WALLIS: So maybe we could accept that you accept the applicant's view of materials degradation issues, and the Committee has no further questions on that matter? Is that a fair statement? I'm trying to move us along. I don't think this is a matter that we are worried too much about. I thought we might move along. I'm sorry not to give you a chance to give your presentation. MR. ROSSBACH: Donny Harrison will present the PRA review. MEMBER WALLIS: Maybe we can move along faster this one, too? CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Let me ask a question. You don't need to -- the numbers for core damage frequency in LERF that the licensee presented are fairly low, a few 10-6 a year. And the licensee told us that their PRA had been reviewed by the BWR owners group. Did you review it? MR. HARRISON: No, I did not. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Not you personally. I mean -- MR. HARRISON: No. I conducted the review for the PRA Branch, and we did not look at -- we did not perform a detailed review of the PRA model or the system models. What we did do is look at the results, look at the impacts that they provided as part of the EPU, and looked at it for reasonableness. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: So you don't really know whether the numbers they gave us are valid or reasonable, and the delta CDF and delta LERF are reasonable? And the reason why you don't really care is because it's not part of the petition, is it? This is not a risk-informed -- MR. HARRISON: This is not risk-informed. They provide risk information -- I'm sorry. I didn't introduce myself. I'm Donny Harrison. I'm in the PRA Branch. They provide it because the topical report requests that they provide it. We look at it strictly to gain insights into the plant as far as what the impacts of the EPU are. We don't, for this type of application, go and look at the actual PRA and determine if it's acceptable. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Okay. So there was a series of operator actions in one of the viewgraphs of the licensee -- MR. HARRISON: Right. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: -- where basically what was happening was the available time was reduced by about 20 percent. MR. HARRISON: Right. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: And then, what we saw was that the impact on CDF was one percent or so. MR. HARRISON: Right. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Now, did you review that part? What model did they use to make the connection between the probability of human error and the available time? Is that -- MR. HARRISON: No. We didn't look at -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: What model did they use? Do you remember? MR. HARRISON: We didn't go in and look at the actual reliability analysis method. I do remember from some slides that I saw probably back in July that there's a variety of different methods they used. But one of them was their -- it's an old method. I don't recall off the top of my head what else, but there are performance shaping factors they use to determine that some things are cause-based and some things are time limited, and that's -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Now, you said that you -- basically, that although the PRA here is to give you insights -- MR. HARRISON: As far as -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: -- I am perplexed by that word -- "insights." What does that mean? I mean, if we don't really get into the models and try to understand what they're doing -- MR. HARRISON: What we're trying to gain a perspective on is the impact from the power uprate itself. And so what we're looking for is to basically ask questions using the information that comes from the various pieces of the submittal, and pursue those to see if there's anything that would be a surprise. For example, on the ultimate heat sink, we went and asked a number of questions about their seismic modeling, because that was identified as a vulnerability. Well, it was a hole, if you will, in the seismic margin analysis out of the IPEEE. And so we pursued that. And to answer Dr. Kress' earlier question, even though there's not a specific criteria or a guideline in Reg. Guide 1.174, what we were looking for was this in an unacceptable condition. And so we were looking at this particular scenario because it wasn't anywhere where we could actually tell what the risk was associated with it. So we look for things that stand out, and then we pursue those to see what the impact was. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Yes. But you say in your viewgraph that the staff, in its review, used, what, the safety evaluation of the IPEs and their IPEEEs. MR. HARRISON: Right. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: And as I recall, one of the findings there was that the human error probability for the initiation of standby liquid control was particularly abused in the IPEEEs. Now, does that insight from there give you an insight here? MR. HARRISON: I don't recall that particular piece but -- on Dresden. What I do recall is that there were documentation questions on their reliability analysis that came out of -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: The Dresden reliability analysis or the IPEEE? MR. HARRISON: Out of the IPEEE -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: IPE. MR. HARRISON: -- IPE, yes. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: IPE. MR. HARRISON: We're both confused. Out of the IPE, I think there were some -- there was -- the level of documentation -- that was back in the early to mid '90s. Dr. Burchill has come on board in the mid '90s, late '90s. And partly why we did a site visit was to look at how do they maintain -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I didn't mean that Dresden abused it. It was a generic -- MR. HARRISON: It was a generic -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Yes. MR. HARRISON: Okay. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Yes. MR. HARRISON: I'm sorry. I thought you were -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: No, no, no. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: But the fact is if you look at the CDF for this plant, it's one-tenth of similar BWR-3, MARK-1 containment plan or less. And so if you take CDF increase to be 10 percent, 10 percent of a very small number -- MEMBER ROSEN: Is very small. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: -- is very small. MR. HARRISON: This is the internal event CDF you're referring to. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: I understand that. MR. HARRISON: Right. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: I'm comparing to similar plans of similar designs that typically I've seen with -- for the same CDF to be a factor of 10 or more. So, you know, we had a claim that there was, I believe, a minor -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Very small. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: -- increase -- yes, minimal changes in plant risk. Well, that's based very much on what's in it, and -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: So they could do it using 50.59, right? VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: And if this small number is driven, for example, by optimistic operator actions, then one is concerned because the ATWS event is dominated by operator action, so far as -- do you see where I'm going? And so it would be nice to have insights in this line of thinking, but -- MR. HARRISON: And this was a question that partially came up as part of Duane Arnold as well. Especially for the early initiation of slick, which is typically four to six minutes into the accident, that's the time that it's usually calculated. For Dresden, they changed their -- the model that they were using to determine that time, so it -- I think it -- it was at six minutes. Let's stay at six minutes with the methodology change. So for them, they didn't change their human error probabilities. But that doesn't answer your question, which is, is the base model acceptable? What we rely on for that -- again, this is not risk-informed, so we looked at the results of the BWR owners group review. We asked some questions of the licensee. They provide either simple calculations back to us or they provide some additional results. And we make a judgment call on the acceptability of that for this application -- again, with the application of -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Yes. I have a couple of questions here. One is, is the BWR owners review the same as NEI's certification process? MR. HARRISON: I think the BWR owners group was the base upon which the NEI process -- MEMBER ROSEN: George, the BWR owners group pioneered the certification process which is now embedded in the standard, the ASME standard and the NEI. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: But it's primarily NEI, though. Now, the way I understand that process, how it works, is that they don't really declare this is good or bad. They tell you, you know, for this kind of application, this is what you should do. MR. HARRISON: Right. They give you a ranking. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: So it would be of interest to see here whether that review said that -- or concluded that what they did was appropriate for estimating human error probabilities when you change the time available by 20 percent. You know, the overall PRA may be very good, but that particular point, you know, might be a weakness, for example. And it's a weakness of the state of the art, actually. I don't think it's something that we do very well. But the other thing that I'm just curious -- maybe I don't understand the regulation -- this is not a risk-informed application. MR. HARRISON: Right. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Yet we are looking at 1.174. So what would you have done if the delta CDF were above the 1.174 acceptable limits? It would say, you know -- MR. HARRISON: It would put us into -- and, again, I'll come back to the example on the seismic failure of the dam. If there's an area where we're not sure where we are, or if we think that the number is, say, somewhere in the 10-3 range, 10-4 range, we would pursue that under the -- we have a risk regulatory information summary process that would say, is this something that would rebut the presumption of adequate protection? And if it was something like that, then we would pursue even further with the licensee to either refine their analysis, provide additional detail to show that they weren't an outlier. They may come back -- I mean, if they just barely got into, say, the higher region in Reg. Guide 1.174, they may be able to argue that it's a conservative analysis, it's a screening approach, and try to argue back. But if they are clearly in that area, we would pursue through the -- through that process. We would notify the -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: But what happens I think in this case is that the limit of 1.174 is not really adequate protection limit. MR. HARRISON: Right. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: So -- MR. HARRISON: I'm just using it as a guideline. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: -- you are concerned about adequate protection, so what may happen is that you approve the petition with a delta CDF or delta LERF above the 1.174 limit, but still we provide the adequate protection to the public health and safety. I mean, that could happen. MR. HARRISON: Right. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Could it not? MR. RUBIN: If I could add, Dr. Apostolakis -- Mark Rubin from PRA staff -- yes, you're absolutely correct, of course. The staff -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Of course. I like that. (Laughter.) Whatever you say now is okay. (Laughter.) MR. RUBIN: Maybe I've said enough. (Laughter.) The issue of pursuing risk information where it's not a risk-informed approach was discussed with the Committee previously when the Commission letter was sent up. And the intent was a slightly different twist from what we're seeing here -- was to deal with situations where no risk insights or information were provided at all, yet the staff thought that there might be a potential, even though the regulations were met, for some undue risk to creep in. Here we have situations where licensees are providing some or quite a bit of risk information, yet they're not risk-informed. Some of those mean the predominant or a major element of the justification is not focused on the risk. Even though they did provide information and it's not risk-informed, we're still looking at the 1.174 guidelines as a good benchmark to give a feeling of where they are. Clearly, if they were above 1.174, there's a considerable margin between that and adequate protection. But as we discussed when we came before the Committee on the non-risk-informed risk issues, tripping the 1.174 guidelines would be the point where we might start questioning adequate protection, and then we'd be looking into it with a great more effort. Here, we do not, you know, come close to that point. MEMBER POWERS: It seems to me that one of the issues that arises in connection with this looking at the risk information is the staff had a concern that they may be introducing a new accident with their runback. And, I mean, the licensee contends that, well, that's a class of accidents that he already recognized in his PRA, and I assume you looked at that and agreed with that conclusion. MR. HARRISON: On the particulars, what often happens is we take the licensee submittal, and I tend to look at responses to other questions that other staff members ask in other branches. And often times that raises a question in my mind as to how it's being dealt with. That's how we came across the question on the main -- on the auxiliary transformer and the reserve auxiliary transformer and pursued those with the licensee. On the recirc runback, the licensee is putting that in to offset the potential for increasing turbine trips, because now they're running all of their pumps. We then asked if you're going to put in a circuit that runs back to the pumps, what's the potential for a spurious runback that now trips you? And we were provided calculations and assured that that was a small number. We don't necessarily -- I don't look at it to say, is this a new accident or is it not a new accident? I look at it more as, is there a scenario that wasn't -- that could occur that hasn't been analyzed? And, if so, what is the magnitude of that? MEMBER POWERS: See, this is your opportunity to get in good graces with the Chairman to say, "This is what I mean by insights." (Laughter.) MEMBER WALLIS: So, George, are we ready to move on? CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I am -- I have no more questions. I almost said I'm happy, but I -- (Laughter.) -- have no more questions. I like your last bullet, though. I really do. I think it was carefully drafted. MR. HARRISON: Thank you. I wrote it. (Laughter.) CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Very carefully drafted. MEMBER WALLIS: Do you have a bottom line, John, that -- I don't see a bottom line here. Are you recommending, or are you proposing to approve this application? MR. ZWOLINSKI: Yes, sir. I had some closing remarks. MEMBER WALLIS: Right. Please. MR. ZWOLINSKI: Well, one, I'd like to, obviously, thank the Committee for the opportunity to present our review of the Dresden and Quad Cities extended power uprate. We consider our completion of the Duane Arnold extended power uprate, as well as the Quad Cities and Dresden, to be a major accomplishment for the staff. I'd like to again emphasize that the NRR staff has undertaken an extensive review of these applications. All areas affected by the power uprate have been reviewed and evaluated by the staff. Staff has critically examined the methodologies and their application to this power uprate request. We have concluded that all analytical codes and methodology used in the licensing analysis are acceptable for this application. The results of the deterministic analyses have demonstrated that the proposed increases in power level for the Dresden and Quad Cities units are acceptable and meet regulatory requirements. Thus, the bottom line to the staff's efforts in its review of this application is that we would propose to approve the licensee's request in going forward. I'd like to also mention that we feel that extended power uprates will be submitted to staff for quite some time, and, as such, we are proposing to undertake a lessons learned of our activities, conduct a workshop with the industry. We're going to take data and input such as that received from this Committee and others, and attempt to improve our overall review process and streamline the process to the extent practical. You may recall that we are spending a lot of effort in doing these reviews, on the order of 2500 to 3000 hours. Are we reviewing the right issues, the right areas, to the right scope and depth? And we're challenging ourselves in this lessons learned activity as we go forward. Other plants have docketed, and those reviews are underway. Can we be more focused in our review effort? And we're challenging ourselves to work more effectively and efficiently, while we maintain safety. So with this, this concludes our presentation, and I'd like to -- like to say that I remain very sensitive to assure that high quality products are issued by the agency. I believe we've met that threshold on Duane Arnold. We'll meet that threshold with Quad Cities and Dresden. MEMBER POWERS: You did not, in your closing remarks, speak to the issue of the large transient test. MR. ZWOLINSKI: I'd be happy to provide the Committee with the status of where that's at, or ask Tad Marsh, my Deputy -- MR. MARSH: We have formulated an opinion regarding the large transient tests, and we are undergoing a senior management review of that opinion. We recognize there are pluses and minuses associated with this test, as you were pointing out. One has to make a decision regarding all of the benefits and all of the detriments that may be involved. So we anticipate that decision either at the end of this week or early next week. MEMBER POWERS: Do you have any reservations about the ability of this Oden Code to adequately predict the plant response? MR. MARSH: No, we do not. MEMBER WALLIS: So what about the open items? They will be resolved before you will issue the amendment or -- MR. ZWOLINSKI: Yes, sir. Yes, all open items will be resolved prior to issuance of this amendment. MEMBER WALLIS: Are there any other -- MEMBER POWERS: Well, I'm -- I guess, Tad, you gave me the wonderfully political answer that -- MR. MARSH: Yes. MEMBER POWERS: -- senior management is looking at this. You are not willing to share with us the bottom line? Are we going to test or not? MR. MARSH: Not at this point, because it's -- it's still before our senior management. And we -- just to be perfectly honest with you, there are good technical arguments both ways with respect to this issue. The staff has given its best argument, and we're trying to weigh all of those various arguments. And we recognize -- MEMBER POWERS: And there's a physical -- there's a philosophical -- we're going to accept the ELTR-1 and 2. When it says don't do things, we ought to say -- accept it when it's going to do -- when it says do do things. That's the other -- MR. MARSH: That's certainly true. MEMBER POWERS: But on the other hand, ELTR-1 I guess is being modified by changes in opinion. MR. MARSH: The latest proposal in from GE is that they do not do these large transient tests, and that is under staff review as well. MEMBER POWERS: Does that open up all the rest of the methodology for reexamination? MR. MARSH: I don't believe so. No, I believe that this is a narrow issue with respect to -- to the testing, these large transient tests and whether these particular tests are needed to assure construction, completion, adequacy, testing of an operator action times. I don't believe it opens up any broader issues than that. MR. ZWOLINSKI: Dr. Powers, we've gotten into the pros and cons, challenged our staff, challenged the management team, and we are on a balance scale. And we're in constant dialogue with our senior management to resolve this particular issue. We're somewhat embarrassed that it has not been brought to closure at this time, but it would certainly be brought to closure before this amendment is issued. So I feel we have the next week or two to bring -- MR. MARSH: If the Committee would prefer, we'd be glad to come with -- to you with our decision in whatever way you'd like. There can be -- in the safety evaluation or a presentation, whatever you'd prefer. MEMBER WALLIS: I think that's something for the Committee to discuss. MEMBER POWERS: I guess I agree with Professor Wallis that we need to look at the totality of this and how crucial this transient test is -- MEMBER WALLIS: Right. MEMBER POWERS: -- in our thinking. MEMBER WALLIS: Right. MR. MARSH: As we are as well with respect to -- MEMBER ROSEN: I, for one, would like to discuss it with the other members. MEMBER WALLIS: Are we ready to move on? Unfortunately, these uprates lead to lower operator reaction times. We always seem to get longer reaction times when we -- (Laughter.) -- as a Committee. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: So your error probability goes down. MEMBER WALLIS: Our error probability hopefully goes down, yes. MEMBER POWERS: Professor Wallis, you beat yourself up too much. You should blame the staff for inadequately arranging the agenda. MEMBER WALLIS: No, the buck stops here. I'm sorry. (Laughter.) Thank you very much, John, and the staff, for your presentations. MR. ZWOLINSKI: Thank you. MEMBER WALLIS: I will return this meeting to the Chairman. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Thank you, Professor Wallis. We will recess until 2:15. Remember that we have to interview some prospective candidates. (Whereupon, at 1:05 p.m., the proceedings in the foregoing matter went off the record.) A-F-T-E-R-N-O-O-N S-E-S-S-I-O-N (2:17 p.m.) CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: We are back in session. The next item is the NRC Safety Research Program. Dr. Bonaca is the member responsible this time. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Well, we had a discussion yesterday afternoon and we defined an agenda, so I'll just leave it now to Mr. King, I guess, to lead. Oh, no, okay. MR. ZIMMERMAN: Well, good afternoon. I'm going to introduce the team. We appreciate the opportunity to be meeting with you today to describe some of the accomplishment that we've had that we view as very important accomplishments. The initiatives that we have under way and some of the challenges that we have underway, and as always we look forward to your feedback and questions as we, as we discuss the topics. Let me introduce first those individuals that will be making presentations. Following discussions by myself, Jim Johnson, who is a Special Assistant to the Office Director, Ashok Thadani, who would like to be here and passes on his regrets. He's on foreign travel. Jim will follow my discussion. That will be followed by Tom King, who is the Director of the Division of System Analysis and Regulatory Effectiveness. Mike Mayfield, who is the Director of the Division of Engineering Technology, will follow, and I'm sure that there will be, during the interaction and discussion, Scott Newberry, new to Research. He joined Research - MEMBER POWERS: But new to the Committee. MR. ZIMMERMAN: About four months? About four months ago, is the Director of the Division of Risk Analysis and Applications. I've been with the Office of Research since the latter part of March of this year. And with that, we'll go ahead and begin. On the first slide titled outline, and I'm going to move through these slides at a pretty good pace. Make sure you won't hesitate to slow me down when you want to and speed me up similarly. MEMBER POWERS: Well, maybe, maybe you should go through this and you can give us an idea how and if, and if concerns over, should we say, security issues and liquid plants might impact the ability to carry out other research programs. MR. ZIMMERMAN: That's a good question and it's very, it's very timely because that's basically the discussion that's been going on a lot just today. There's a lot of information being passed back and forth this afternoon. So I'll definitely touch upon that. This slide really addresses what we're going to be discussing over the next couple of hours. I want to spend a little bit of time on our recent accomplishments. Talk, obviously, about the good report that you provide to us, advance reactors discussion. What we're looking at doing is swapping the order and doing the refocusing and reinvigorating item after the discussion on the ACRS Report. I'm only, I've got a hard commitment at 3:30, and I wanted to make sure, as much as I'd like to be here for everything, I wanted to be here for the reinvigorating if I had to make that decision along those lines. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: So you just prioritized? MR. ZIMMERMAN: Yes. I have nothing against Tom's presentation. I have no doubt that it will be, it will be very good. MEMBER POWERS: So confident in fact you don't need to be here, right? (Laughter.) MR. ZIMMERMAN: And then we wanted to wrap up on new challenges, some of the areas that Mike will talk about in the materials area. And we're interested in getting your thoughts as well, obviously, as we look at anticipatory research, some items that you feel that are appropriate for considerations as we look into the preparation for the outgoing fiscal years. Okay, on Slide 2, recent accomplishments. Jim is going to get into this, but I wanted to spend a few moments on this particular slide at a high level. And one of the things that we're trying to do and it's not really, it's not a new initiative. It may have been talked about before this committee in the past, but it's very important for our office to be able to clearly articulate what it's accomplished in layman's terms so that we can explain to internal and external stakeholders the work that we do and what we've accomplished with the resources that we have, both our staff and our dollars. We have significant initiative underway in our various documents, in our briefings, to make sure that we are working hard in making those accomplishments known. And it's not the issuance of a new reg document by itself, it's how that new reg is going to be used and then finding out is it really being used the way it was intended. It's, that's a very important initiative. And again, Jim will talk about it and I'm sure we'll have some dialogue on it. MEMBER POWERS: I guess I'm a little bit surprised you didn't, maybe you thought it was premature to highlight the, well I guess, you have a spent fuel storage up there, but the risk analysis of the spent fuel pool at decommissioning plants I thought was a substantial research contribution in there. MR. ZIMMERMAN: And I would agree. And there's others, the IP, IPEEE, we're completing the IPEEE review and we feel that that's been a very significant endeavor. It's not meant to be an exhaustive list, there are others. And I agree, Dana, with the one that you've mentioned. I'm not looking at getting into each of these. If there's any here that peak you interest, that you want to discuss, we went through these in some detail during our recent, recent NSRC Annual Conference that we had. Again, with a, with the concept of wanting to be able to make sure that our stakeholders understand the work that we've done. And I realize that there are, these are not new issues to you, you've been heavily involved in them. And as Dana, the Designer, said, you can see they may not be up here as well. MEMBER POWERS: And I think it's important to get a, I mean I agree with Roy that communicating what's been accomplished is very important. And to the extent that we can contribute to that in the research report, we really ought to do that. And so it will probably be useful to have a list that at least approach comprehensiveness. MR. ZIMMERMAN: In some common threads that you had in your report, the expert panel from former Commissioner Rogers had in his report, it addressed this issue of communication. The purpose of theirs was a little different, so they spent a little bit more time on it. But that thread was in your report, as you know, to us as well. And it is one that is a significant one, as I mentioned before. So unless there's anything particular on this slide, I won't go into any of the individual -- MEMBER FORD: I've got a question, however. MR. ZIMMERMAN: Okay. MEMBER FORD: You've listed two things, PRA and aging research. As two separate items, and at the, I haven't seen any efforts to combine them, to put a time component into PRA. There was a talk given at the research conference two weeks ago, was it? Or whenever it was. It was almost like a no giveaway. It was a, well, it may, it may be funded, it may not be funded. And yet I would have thought that this was a fairly high-level leap. Is it going to be funded? And is it a high-priority item? MR. NEWBERRY: Yes. Scott Newberry. Yes, there is a good amount of funding in the next fiscal year's efforts to build upon work that was done in this past fiscal year. Working, marrying the activity in my division with Mike's. So there was a, I think I'd call it a feasibility study looking at aging in the feed water system. To really get into the physics of aging, aging and incorporating it into a risk model. And the hope now is to move into items that are a little bit more complicated. I think we're thinking about looking at aging. Well, if the materials are cable, I think this fiscal year is what I think you're considering, yeah. MEMBER POWERS: It's cable, I think. MR. NEWBERRY: Yes, it will be funded, is the answer. MEMBER FORD: You've listed down 5046 as an accomplishment. Is that really an accomplishment or is that work that's still underway? MR. NEWBERRY: Yes/no. Accomplishment in terms of the feasibility study building upon the framework to indicate, yes we thing that 5046 can be risk informed. Certainly work underway to do the technical work, and we're in the middle of that. MEMBER POWERS: Yes, so I think we have to treat that one a little more carefully. MR. ZIMMERMAN: Okay, moving on. These are just some additional areas that, we already spoke about the risk in form, the consolidation of thermal hydraulic codes, the work that's being done is steam generation plan. Again, it's, as you put together a list, it's where you want to stop and these are some other ones that obviously are very -- MEMBER WALLIS: Well, these thermal hydraulic codes were being consolidated when I came on this committee, and that's about four years ago. And I think it was probably the five year plan, maybe. So, there must be about this, this babe must be about to be born. MR. KING: We're hopeful with this next fiscal year that the baby will be born. And we'll have a working version. MEMBER POWERS: I have to say that one of the things that I was, have been very impressed by is the use that you're being able, your making of computational fluid dynamics and attacking some particularly tough issues in mixing flows and countercurrent flows. So impressed that I, I told Commissioner Diaz he ought to get a briefing on it. That, not that you had the answer yet, but that the tool is being integrated into your capabilities to respond to the Licensing Branch when they have these tough thermal hydraulic questions. I don't think you should be reluctant to highlight. I think that's, that's a testimony to what you've been able to do. MEMBER WALLIS: It's an accomplishment, it's been done. MR. ZIMMERMAN: It's another example of getting the message out. And I'm not sure if we've briefed Commissioner Diaz yet. I know we have briefed Carl Pepperella(phonetic). We are looking at, again, explaining more of what we're doing so people have a good -- MEMBER POWERS: I think you, I think Commissioner Diaz would just be very interested in what you're doing and, not that you have final answers yet, but that you're attacking them with that tool. Because, you know what I mean, he has a thermal hydraulics bent himself and he's interested in these front-line -- MEMBER KRESS: For example, I think this jet cutting of steam generator tubes, I think you used that -- MEMBER POWERS: Yeah, but you know we didn't believe those results, Tom. MEMBER KRESS: I know, I know, but that was a place where you can highlight the use of that CFD. Plus on this steam generator mixing issue. MR. ROSEN: Roy, you know I've been, well I'm like the new guy on the block here. And for all those years I looked at what the NRC was doing with research and wondered about it. And I would like you to comment on, overall, do you take a prospective strategic point of view, looking at all the pieces, and say where is the risk to the public's health and safety? And make sure that you're putting the puzzle together in a resource constrained environment in a way that does, in fact, put the money, the public's money on the things that, where there maybe aspects of unknown risk. Do you have some sort of top down process that does that? MR. ZIMMERMAN: We do that a prioritization process. It's an algorithm that does have weighting factors into it. It focuses on all of our four performance goals, but it's weighted toward maintaining safety. So we do have that. The key is that through the course of the year we know that reactive work is going to come, it's the nature of the job. That will occur. And we have to have the process for how we add on new work that needs to be done and shed other work or postpone other work. And bringing that into play, from the, along with the original planning that was done, and integrating it is really the key that you can do that in real time. We have to have a ranking so that when the new work comes, you have a way of doing it. And the other piece you have to bring into play is the fungibility. That the individuals that may have to do this new work, may not be the same people that, you know, that you were originally planning on shedding this other work to do it. We've got to bring in the reality of the fungibility of the individuals, whether they be our staff or a Contractor's. But I guess the more directing us there is, yes we do have a process for ranking our work. MEMBER FORD: On that issue, do you have a metric for your success? I remember at your, at the presentation to the Commissioners, following Dana's report, there was some of the beating of the chests about your decreasing funds over the last however many years. One way around it is to show by metric what you're contributing to improving the safety. Do you have such a metric? And do you use it to get more money? MR. ZIMMERMAN: We have, well there are, in terms of getting more money, I mean set aside September 11th -- MEMBER FORD: Yeah. MR. ZIMMERMAN: -- we compete with other offices on, you know, on basically a level playing field to be able to explain how we have, have prioritized our work. And again, we need to get better and I think we are getting better. I'm relatively new on the block in research, obviously. But I think that, it's an area that we still need to get at. We have such expertise in our office, that it is obvious to the person who's doing the work the benefit of what they're doing. I mean it's a little bit of the forest and trees, and they understand it and may not immediately understand why it's being challenged or questioned. In fact, human nature kicks in and you get one or, you know you're -- MEMBER FORD: You just get defensive. MR. ZIMMERMAN: -- you just don't want to be challenged because you have a defensive reaction to it. It's just human nature. But we need to do that to ourselves to be able to break down what is the deliverable? What is ultimately going to come out that an objective audience is going to look at? And is it going to agree with us on it's own merits if this is work that's worth doing. Whether it is for maintaining safety or reducing the necessary burden or any of the four performance goals. And we're not quite where we need to be on that, but we're getting better at it. MEMBER WALLIS: I think your answer is you don't have a metric. You have a sort of qualitative argument that we have these objectives and we met them, but that's not the same thing as having a measure. MR. ZIMMERMAN: Our metric at the highest level for your performance plan is that we're going to complete 40 tasks. MEMBER WALLIS: Umm hmm. MR. ZIMMERMAN: That doesn't communicate very well. Right? That's not the metric that we want. So we're working to say that's not good communication. What is a better communication vehicle? And what we're doing is we're identifying the top priority items that we can define. We're putting timeliness goals on those, and we're saying that we're going to meet the timeliness of these top ten things that we're working on in our office. That's the change that we've made from saying we're going to do 40, 40 things. MEMBER WALLIS: Well, if you had something like there's a risk uncertainty reduction worth or something, I mean that's some kind of a thing which you can measure. You could say, yes, when we do this research, this -- MEMBER POWERS: I just have to interject and say I have watched, over the last 20 years, at least three organizations, one national laboratory and two private organizations, go through various attempts to find a metric. And you cannot. And it never works. And there's no point in doing it. What Roy is talking about where you say, look, here's how we fit into the overall scheme of things and here's what we're doing in accomplishing -- it's what you need to do here. There's not a number you can attach to these things and come back and say, uh uh, my number is up two tenths or down three tenths and what not. No single member is going to communicate all that they do. MEMBER KRESS: I'd like to, I'd like to second that comment -- MEMBER FORD: I'd like to argue that one. If you look around this country and the world in fact, unless you haven't that trick you will have. MEMBER POWERS: Now I have watched Dupont Central Research go through this, I've watched Eastman Kodak go through this, and it never works. MEMBER FORD: Eastman Kodak is about to go down the drain. (Laughter.) MEMBER POWERS: Not probably because of the research program. (Laughter.) MR. ROSEN: Well, maybe because they put their money on the wrong thing. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Let me just say one thing, I would like to interject. Maybe I was remiss at the beginning of the meeting not to define further what the purpose of the presentation was. (Laughter.) VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: And I apologize for, I just jumped out from introducing to this and then I just, okay, so I assumed, and I was wrong, that everybody understood. What happened is that we every year write research report. And we had a plan to write a very focused report this year. Focused probably on new reactors and providing some feedback to research regarding their closure or recommendation from the 1990, from the 2001 report. And we met with Research yesterday. They told us that they were talking about many more things than just simply the reactors. And so the purpose of this meeting, really, is to hear the message they have to give us on all these different areas, and then at the end of this meeting to regroup as a committee and decide whether or not our focus is going to be different the report. We still intend to write a more concise report than last year, because last year was a comprehensive one. It addresses many areas of research and I believe that there isn't something we can decided about that. MEMBER POWERS: I think we can just focus on cutting out the heavy section of steel research and that would be fine. (Laughter.) VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: So, no, but I just wanted to, I wanted to just, just make sure that we as a committee, you know, follow this path. I mean we are all trying to get to the end of this meeting and understand how, you know, how come this report finally decision on what this research report should contain for this year. The intent being, again, that it should be focused on some lesser items than last year. Touch some new issues, and certainly new reactors is a new issue that we spent quite a bit of time already this year looking at it. MR. ZIMMERMAN: Okay, I'll move on. And I think some of the discussion that we had will come up during the reinvigorating discussion again. In moving to the background slide, we had the benefit, this past spring, to have your report, which was very broad and thorough in scope. We had the expert panel report which was very good. We also have the National Lab Report coming together. So we had great, great input coming in to assist us. And there was common threads that existed between those, between your report and the others. And I just wanted to spend a moment on those as we start to gravitate into your report. One of them, that we already talked about, was the communication and the need for that. Another one was the need to maintain core competencies. And we fully agree with that. You had indicated in the report the importance of identifying those areas that we felt were very important that we maintain those core competencies. Areas that either contract expertise didn't exist, or if it did exist, we really, the feeling was it needed to be in-house as well. And we fully agree with that and we have done that and identified where those areas are. You also talked about preparing for future challenges. Advance reactors, risk control framework and the like. And we are fully on board and supportive and agree with those. And again, it was consistent with what we saw in other reports. The issue on PRA about improving the standard on PRA and the robustness and vastness of the use of the PRA, we agreed with as well. So there was a lot of commonality and common threads. The ACRS report, as you know, was briefed in May. The SRM quickly followed and then in July we provided our response to the SRM, which is really aimed at looking at what areas, research fill, we should continue with work activities where ACRS had recommended sunsetting was a specific area of the SRM. We provided our response back on July 20th. We neglected to send a copy of that response to the ACRS, and I wanted to formally apologize for not having done that. We should have done that at that time. And we're going to talk about some of those individual items as we go forward. We were able to take your input and use it to inform our budget process to some degree for fiscal year '03. Some of the work was already in our '02 budget, so there was already alignment. Some of the areas were, again, we were in agreement. We were able to get them into our '03 budget, but the timing was such that we didn't have a whole lot of time to do it. We did what we were able to and we will continue to do that as we start to work on the, on the '04 budget process as well. The question came up before about what is the impact of September 11th, on this? We're going to need to wait and see, but I don't think we're going to have to wait too much longer. One of the things that's going on right now is that we are very actively working with OMB about what our needs are and they're reviewing our other work and it goes back again to setting our priorities. And if we have to, if we don't get all the funding that we're looking for or making our best case, if it turns out that we need to do what we call an add shed process as a result of that, not just within this office but how it affects other offices, we'll be prepared to do that. Okay, again we really appreciated the time and effort that went into the report that John gave. It was very broad and encompassing and it was a great assist to us. There were a number of areas. Obviously you had recommended additional research. Examples like high burn up fuel are examples where we have got those areas into the '02 budget. Recommendations for closure, we're going to talk about those in a couple of minutes. Let's keep going. I think I've already talked about those items. Move on to Slide 7. Again, we've expanded the testing program on high burn up and various types of planting material. We're looking at what can be done with PHEBUS for severe accident conditions. Those are areas that now are funded for '02. On the last bullet we are doing the pebblebed preapplication review and supporting NRR on the AP-1000 preapplication review. So there's a number of areas where the issues you've raised we're fully engaged in. On Slide 8, we get into the four areas where it was recommended that we bring work activities to closure. On the Control Room Design Review and the vessel lower head failure research we're in agreement. Those items are being brought to, brought to closure. We are sunsetting those activities. On Slide 9, I think it's a little bit more of a mixed bag, and I think on these two I'd be looking to see if Tom can talk a little bit about the common cause failure aspects and then Scott on the ATHEANA Program. MR. NEWBERRY: I'll take them both, okay. Now without going into too much detail, these were two areas that the committee recommended sunsetting and we're proceeding to that in what I guess I'd call an orderly way. I just signed paperwork this morning on the common cause, where we were, we have wrapped up the methodology work and would only complete this fiscal year remaining inside reports from data that is being put together. And so the program will essentially be sunset this fiscal year, consistent with your recommendation, I think. Of course we would continue to gather operating experience data from plants. And should there be common cause information there, we would continue to gather that at some level. And Pat Baranowsky(phonetic) and Steve Mays have initiated a program to be much more efficient there in terms of creating a web-based program. I think eventually we'll get over there and talk to you about. That's, I think, very exciting, moving away from hard copied paper reports, new regs, something that would be available on-line should we be able to make it publicly available, which is another issue. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: What's ICDE? MR. NEWBERRY: It stands for, that's an NEA, you know, an international common cause data exchange activity, where we meet periodically with international counterparts to exchange data, and discuss use and insights from the data. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Are you getting any useful information from our international partners? I mean are the open enough to tell you what's going on in their plans? MR. NEWBERRY: I can give you a general answer without specifics, and Steve Mays is sitting back there shaking his head yes, absolutely. I haven't been briefed on the very recent meeting up in Ottawa where we, Pat was up there. But I think the answer is yes, George, but I can't go into detail. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: That's worth spending whatever it's -- MR. KING: It's very inexpensive. It's like 15, 13k a year is our membership fee and a couple of meetings, but we get the data from all the participants. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Right. So even though your budgets are going down, 13k -- all right fine. MR. NEWBERRY: Okay. I think we're scheduled to eventually get over here and talk to you not only about, you know, about our human reliability plan. I believe the committee has it. We're working to get a meeting up. I think we were planning sooner, but I think we're going to have to, that's one of the impact items from 9/11. The staff that I have working in that area -- MEMBER POWERS: Yeah, let me emphasize to you that that meeting should be held when you're ready. MR. NEWBERRY: Okay. MEMBER POWERS: And not on some schedule. Because it's more important that you be ready for the meeting, than it is to have it in some particular date or something like that. MR. NEWBERRY: Okay, thank you. But just commenting on that particular item, we plan to proceed with sunsetting the developmental activities associated with ATHEANA moving more into its application and quantification. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Let me understand that though, I don't understand it. You will proceed with the application of something that has not been developed? But you will stop its development? MR. NEWBERRY: It's my understanding that we will use what has been developed to date. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: To do what? MR. NEWBERRY: To assist us in -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: In more development? MR. NEWBERRY: No, to assist us in the pressurized thermal shock, steam generator tube rupture, and other risk studies or assessments we're doing to support, you know, regulatory applications. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: But you don't plan to stop the development of human reliability methods? MR. NEWBERRY: No, no, no. Well -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I mean that would be something that would be a separate effort, after ATHEANA? MR. NEWBERRY: I'm really not prepared, George, to go into the details on that. But I do know right now that the basic thrust of our efforts is to move away from investing much more in the methodological development of ATHEANA itself. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: So when we say that, I'm wondering what we mean. I mean ATHEANA as it stands today in terms of its objectives and the people who are doing it and so on, you plan to sunset that and then do something about human reliability again, right? Maybe with a new project or a new people, new ideas, or using a number of ideas from ATHEANA? Because our report never said that, you know, that the whole thing is useless. I mean we just said, look, you were supposed to develop a quantification method. It's been a while now and you haven't. MR. NEWBERRY: Right, we're going to move ahead with the quantification and its support in these other applications. I think that's all I'm prepared to get into. I haven't got into it myself in the time I've been on the job, frankly. MEMBER POWERS: We have a plan that they've sent us. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Yeah, I've seen that. MEMBER POWERS: I mean ordinarily we would have, be following this meeting up with a subcommittee meeting and they've got the major players playing too many roles right now. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: So is the quantification, let's say we follow the plan that Dana mentioned and all of a sudden we have a flash of brilliance and in six months we have a great quantification method. Would that be part of ATHEANA or you will call it something else? MR. NEWBERRY: I don't know. You'll have to come talk about that. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Okay, the memo that was not sent to us says that the staff believes that the ATHEANA distinction between the likelihood of the aeroforce in context and the condition or probability of the unsafe act, given the aeroforce in context, is appropriate for any human reliability analysis method. The six were developed and proved estimates of the likelihood of safe acts. And then it goes on to defend that concept. We never said anything about that. MR. NEWBERRY: And my understanding from what you're reading, there are reasons why it wasn't sent to you. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Because of that. MR. NEWBERRY: I can't answer all those questions. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Anyway, it's a little more defensive. MR. ZIMMERMAN: Well, it looks like this is a topic that needs additional dialogue. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I guess when we review the human reliability plan, this then will come up. MEMBER POWERS: Yeah, I think we've, we let them get their plan together and come talk to us. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: The thing is that we also have to tell something about the plan, what to put in the research report. MEMBER POWERS: Well, I think, I think we just have to reserve comment until we've had a chance to let them explain this plan to us thoroughly. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Well, we may even have the subcommittee meeting before there is a research report. MEMBER POWERS: Well, I think it's important that we not try to jam that, that subcommittee meeting in on top of everything else that the principles are playing. I mean I think that's just -- MR. NEWBERRY: I think it's fair to tell you right now that the people doing this work have stopped working on it. They are being deferred virtually 100 percent to other activities. MEMBER POWERS: I think we've got a little ways, I mean I think we've got a while. And my feeling about it is that they formulate plan, I may not understand everything that's in that plan, but I think I can. It's just a matter of getting together with them. There's no point in getting together with them until they've had a chance to prepare a good discussion on it. Because it will be a good discussion. I mean good in the sense that it will be interesting to everybody. And I think if that runs afoul of our schedule that we just say, well, we're not going to talk about that right now. You've just got to be fair, because you can't ask these guys, they're already working 14 hours days. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I think we're understanding of that. It's just that I thought we were going to, I mean these are the only two topics in fact where you disagree with us. So, these two, right? MR. NEWBERRY: Well, my reading on it -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Well, you disagreed by your mission with another one. Because if I go to your last slide, Roy, Number 10. And then I go to the Research Report, Volume 4, we had about a page on decision making methods, and you are completely silent, so far at least. Is it something that you don't plan to pursue and you disagreed with us? MR. JOHNSON: There is a small scale in- house effort underway right now. But it's all done in-house and I would presume that when we've established the elements of a, of a program, then it will go much broader. Right now we're just looking at how one would take uncertain information and use it in the decision making as opposed to looking at any formal decision methods now in terms of laying out -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: So you are disagreeing with us? MR. ZIMMERMAN: I don't think it's a matter -- you'll see it Jim, it says it differently than this. To me it's not so much that we disagree, it's that in the, in the hierarchy of what we prioritized this item came in in a place that we have a modest effort underway now. It's not, it's not tabled, it's not that nothing is going to be. We are going to invest time and effort into it, it just may not be on a robust a scale or time period that maybe desired. MEMBER POWERS: I think, if I recall the wording, it was not drop everything and look into decision methods. Think about, is there something to be done here? I mean it sounds like you're responding at the same level of urgency as the wording in the report. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Have you read the letter of the committee on the revised oversight process? MR. JOHNSON: Say again? CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Did you read the letter of the committee on the revised oversight process? MR. JOHNSON: No, I did not. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Maybe you should. Because this is not just bringing in methods, because real computations, the oversight process is a major activity of the Commission and the committee makes a few comments there that certain things would have been done better if these methods were already in place. MR. JOHNSON: Okay. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: We're not talking about bringing an academic approach here to things. When you say green, white, yellow and red, some guys for a few decades have been worried about these things. And they have come up with some ways of handling them. And that's part of this recommendation. That position that you leave last month, the revised oversight process. MEMBER KRESS: I see, a couple of weeks ago. MR. ZIMMERMAN: Okay, I think we're ready to move on. It sounds like the last slide, Slide 10, are again things that we've really already touched on so I would suggest that we start the discussion on the reinvigorating initiative that we have in place, if that's okay with the committee. MR. JOHNSON: Okay, again my name is Jim Johnson. And NRC had its first agency action review meeting this past June on the 26th through the 28th of June this year. Chairman Meserve made some remarks at that meeting, and as a part of his remarks he identified ten, the ten most significant challenges facing the agency. And among those challenges that he identified, one of them was refocusing and reinvigorating the role of research to the agency demands. Advance reactives was a second one, as well as risk-informed regulations. These were three of the ten challenges that the Chairman identified. Shortly after that, the Office of Research had an off-site retreat and this reinvigorating challenge was further discussed. And it was the consensus of the senior managers of the Office of Research that we would develop a paper that would describe a plan of action to deal with the challenge, this particular challenge that the Chairman identified. And what you see on this very first viewgraph is just three of the topics that would be included in that report. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Did the Chairman tell you why he feels that the Office of Research needs to be refocused and reinvigorated? These re prefixes, did he explain them? Are you unfocused now? MR. JOHNSON: I don't think he provided a great deal of explanation. This is, plus I wasn't at the meeting. This is what I gleaned from conversations and what I've seen written. And the only recorded message we had was in the minutes of the EDO to the Commission where these challenges were stated. We have inquired about additional meaning to them, but we are just operating now with our understanding of what the Chairman had intended by these challenges. MEMBER WALLIS: You need to have a measure of, a metric for vigor to be invigorated. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: And a metric of focus. So you don't have an SRM, right? MEMBER POWERS: It's not a mystery what the concern over the focus is. I mean I think if we, we look at other of Commissioner Meserve's speeches that he has been concerned about the lack of anticipatory research. MR. ZIMMERMAN: I think there's a few things that drive it from the Commission level. There's the issue of the percentage of anticipatory research. There's the alignment issues that we've been working with NRR on in terms of the user need process. I think both offices are working constructively on that, but it's a challenging area to work on the balance between user need and anticipatory research and some of the, some of the intricacies of that process are being re-evaluated in a significant way right now. And they really revamped the way that process and that interface works. But that issue is one that the Commission became aware of. That the two offices were trying to work through that. That the two offices were trying to work through issues of independence, and what does independence mean as it applies to research. And there's continuing dialogues to try to deal with specific cases so that we can achieve a more harmonious working relationship when some of these issues manifest themselves. Some of these issues, again, came to the Commissions attention because they were prolonged dialogues on these topics. You sprinkle in the fact that the research budget has been going down, so their budgets have as well. So it's not to say that research is alone, but the fact that the budget was going down, there's some demoralization that occurs for individuals that have seen that change and an inability to get work done on things that they feel need to get done. So there was a lot of this all coming together in my mind that this mosaic led to this issue that we need to add clarity to some of these areas that are confusion about these points of intersection and the interface between how offices will work together. The role of research, whether it's independent, whether it's supportive of NMSS and NRR. The percentage on anticipatory work. And that's my thoughts on where, what's behind this. MR. JOHNSON: And this should definitely be described as a work in progress and it will probably evolve over time. Although we've identified these three topics for the report, they too may change as we get more in to it. MEMBER FORD: What is the time they're needed? When do you have to complete this vision process? CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Didn't we have that last year? Didn't we have a vision? MR. JOHNSON: There is a vision statement? CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Why are we revisiting it? We didn't like that vision? MR. JOHNSON: Oh, no, no, no. We are not saying we are going to write another vision. We are talking about a report that -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Oh, put everything together. MR. JOHNSON: -- this is a topic of the report. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Okay, okay. MR. ZIMMERMAN: It ties together. It goes back to the earlier discussion about are we working on the right things. But one of the things that we need to do is just re-baseline ourselves, make sure that we're where we ought to be. If we look at our, at our vision and our mission, does that align with the work that we're doing? Are we working on the right thing so we get back to basics and reground ourselves. So we wanted to, as a group, make sure that we were aligned, that the mission, the vision, the foundation building blocks were all in alignment, that they are right, we don't have any issues, and then we can go from there. That's what we were trying to do at this retreat, is put them in front of us, stare at them, talk about them. If we're not in alignment, which would have surprised us at that level. But if we weren't, sit and talk it out. That's what the retreat was for, is start there and then go from that point. MEMBER FORD: When is this white paper to be finished? MR. JOHNSON: We are aiming to have a draft of it ready by the end of the year, end of the calendar year. Then we'll iterate on it, you know, for a period of time. MR. ZIMMERMAN: As you'll see, as Jim goes through you will see the different pieces of what makes this up. There's a whole smattering of pieces that we're working on to accomplish this. MR. JOHNSON: Okay. And although we do have this vision and mission statement, in fact this is SECY 99281. But we have received some, some comments on this document suggesting that it ought to be revisited and some corrections made. The other topic would be to provide some historical perspective. Again, this is just a document that would talk about the strengths and the accomplishments of the Office of Research. And then the final point would be the reinvigoration process. And the remaining viewgraphs that we have here are to address this reinvigoration process. And we would start with the communication. We believe that communication is an important part of any reinvigoration process. And it's clear to know, when we talk about communication it's such a broad and general area, and so we have to be fairly specific and know what problems we are trying to address. We have to know who our stakeholders are. And we generally characterize them as both internal and external. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: This is a subject that keeps coming up, as you know. What came to mind now is that, you know, for years people out there know that if they pick up a National Laboratory Report, all the references are NUREG. You pick up an industry study, you don't see any NUREGs. Well, maybe now things are a little different. Maybe you can ask these people why that is so? But you will get very useful -- is it because they are not aware of the work that is being done? Is it because they don't like it or they disapprove? I don't know. But several of us have complained in different forums in the last, whatever, 20 years. You know, the National Lab guys always cite NUREG reports, the industry always cites its own reports. And there doesn't seem to be -- MR. JOHNSON: We are aware of that and at the NSRC Conference this year we had a special session on communications, where we invited external stakeholders in and to speak to those subjects. And basically the bottom line is, is that we ought to, you know, involve our external stakeholders early on in the process. That was the general consensus of those on the panel, be involved in the actual planning. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Do you still have restrictions sending people to national conferences, for example? And presenting papers? MR. JOHNSON: There's no restriction that I'm aware of. MR. MAYFIELD: There's the obvious, you can only send so many people so many times. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Oh, I understand that. MR. MAYFIELD: Yeah, but beyond that, and in fact in the statements of work that we send to the laboratories there is a piece that goes in there that says we encourage publication and peer review journals. So there is encouragement to both the DOE Laboratories as well as our other commercial companies to publish. Publish in peer review journals, to attend conferences. We do hold the, sort of reserve the right to say which ones they're going to go to and how much we spend on it, but we do encourage it very actively. And encourage our staff to participate also. MR. ZIMMERMAN: This initiative is a real back to basics, Management 101. It's the things we were talking about before, about being able to explain in plain English the things that we do internally and externally. But it's also how do we communicate within our own organization? How do we do our own staff meetings? Do we get the word out and give time for people to digest it and ask questions if they don't understand it? Or is it a one-way dialogue rather than a two-way dialogue. The whole art of communication and asking for feedback and wanting feedback so it's viewed that you want the feedback, not that you're asking but you don't want it. You know, it's building that trust through the organization. Reinvigoration is going to take all of this stuff. It's having meetings with set agendas that are understood what is success for the meeting. Where the meetings start on time and end on time. And it's a whole, again it's a mosaic of a lot of different things because when we don't do those things and it become habitual, you start to lose the staff. And we're trying to move in the opposite direction. So it's more attention to some of these areas is what we're -- MEMBER POWERS: I think it always bears repeating. We have a superb staff in Research. I mean relative to most government agencies, you've got the cream of the crop here. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I suspect a part of the reason communication is not very good at its various guises, is the lack of time on the part of people. People just don't have time to read, to go, to listen to other people. I mean if you're under tremendous pressure to do something by next Tuesday, the last thing you're going to think about is, you know, going to a conference or talking to somebody or listening to somebody else. And I think that's something that you can't do much about. MR. ZIMMERMAN: You've got to find that happy medium. The staff, when surveyed, there was a survey done by an SCS candidate, the last SCS candidate development group. You might have seen that report. It was a very good report about communications. And they surveyed from different offices. And one of the things that they said about, about our office, is they're not getting enough information from the management team. They can get it from reading inside NRC, but they are not getting enough through our own staff meetings. Obviously that's clearly not what we want to have. So, again, you line all these things up under reinvigorating, they all have a little piece. They're all little stressors in there. And we need to work on them collectively. You've got to get your arms around them and then you've got to wrestle them to the ground. MR. JOHNSON: And I think the bottom line is you need strategies to deal both with the internal and the external stakeholders. And that was part of the exercise with the Rogers Committee. We had a lot of external stakeholders there, communication was a big issue and at the NSRC we invited external stakeholders there to try and get suggestions and to develop strategies to deal with them as well. MR. ROSEN: That's part of the answer to George's question. You know, George, you asked why does the industry never reference NRC work and -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: And vice versa. MR. ROSEN: -- yeah, vice versa. Well, I think it all goes back to this question of getting external stakeholder comment and integration into your planning process. Clearly there are going to be things that the industry wants to do that the NRC is not going to have an interest in, and that's fine. And clearly there are going to be things the NRC wants to do, in the nature of confirmatory work, that the industry would rather you didn't do probably. And that's fine too. But there's going to be a big middle ground, a vast area of congruence which, if identified, will lead to the kind of referencing that you want. Because the work was planned jointly and administered and maybe even funded jointly under the guidelines that I've seen that I think make sense. And in that sense, going back and reinvigorating and refocusing that process to make it more of a joint effort with industry. Nobody is as smart as all of us, and to have that really work would make a lot more sense. MR. JOHNSON: Well, we are participating in a CSNI working group, which has been set up to try and identify the impediments of regulators working with the industry. And both the NRC and EPRI will have representatives on there. So that's another attempt to try and, you know, bring them to bare on this. MR. ROSEN: And maybe another comment on, as long as I've interrupted the flow here. Internally, Roy, when you're talking about this need to listen and talk to your own staff and management, will lead to a very positive result. One, that is that when we do, when you do decide, using your priority scheme, to have certain things not be funded anymore, this add shed process. When you get to shed, the people who's work is being shed will be able to trace the decision back to the original vision and priority structure, rather than just some ad hominem attack on them. MR. ZIMMERMAN: Right, it's not arbitrary in the way the decisions are made. MR. ROSEN: It's not arbitrary, it's not about you, it's not about your skill level. It's all about the mission of the organization and the agency. MR. ZIMMERMAN: Right. MEMBER POWERS: You have your work shed, you blame it on somebody. MR. ROSEN: I don't think so. I think if you, if you understand the reasons for it and are integrated and have a common, the kind of trust that I think Roy is trying to build, and, between the management and the staff, that you'll find something else to do that's more valuable and you'll come back the next day invigorated, to work on something that's more mainstream. MR. NEWBERRY: Just to chime in there. One of the activities that came out of our retreat relating to this is to relook at our prioritization process. Because there is some lessons learned that we have coming out of last year's budget cycle, and we're going to -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: What process is that? MR. NEWBERRY: The prioritization process that we use to rank our work. It is -- MR. ZIMMERMAN: It's against the four performance goals. MR. NEWBERRY: It's against the four performance goals. Very much so, very much so. And there, there a number of views on how to improve it. And we're going to try to take those views and -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: -- what you're ignoring. MR. NEWBERRY: Formal decision making. MR. ZIMMERMAN: That's right. MEMBER FORD: Just for my information, what are these four performance goals? What are they? MR. JOHNSON: Maintain safety, public confidence, effectiveness and efficiency -- MEMBER FORD: Oh, this is the NRC performance goals? It's not the research performance goals? MR. ZIMMERMAN: Agency performance goals. That applies to all 12 offices. Depending on what office, you may find most of your work in one area like another area. For program offices it tends to be split pretty well across the four performance goals. MEMBER FORD: But there's not a separate subset of goals which are quite specific to research? MR. ZIMMERMAN: No. There's vision that talks about the independence and maintaining core competencies and -- MEMBER FORD: Yeah, but those aren't, that's not a specific goal, is it? It's a broad goal, but if you asked an individual researcher to measure his performance against that, could he do it? MR. ZIMMERMAN: Well, what we're trying to do is get our staff to be able to explain their work with regard to the four performance goals. MEMBER FORD: Okay. MR. ZIMMERMAN: And it would, and we're all learning, all the offices are learning. It's not like one office has found the answer, we're all getting a little better at it. But the answer isn't just say that, well, the work I did helped maintained safety or it improved public confidence. You take it, it's harder to do that. What was it that maintained safety? What was it that improved public confidence? And to the extent that you can do it in a numerical way that is irrefutable, that's what you're trying to do. MEMBER FORD: You're going back to metrics again, aren't you? MEMBER WALLIS: You are. MEMBER FORD: It seems to me though that the decisions are different. I mean as an agency, when we make decisions that affect the licensees, then these four goals are of course very important. You want to maintain safety, you want the public to understand your decisions, the licensees to understand your decisions and so on. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: When you make decisions regarding, you know, research projects, then that's a different decision now. I don't see how maintaining safety is important to this. So you probably need another set of goals that will of course be consistent with the agency-wide goals, but for example you might want to say provide better information for, or not better, vital information for better decision making. Then the question comes up, what's better decision making? Well, maybe reducing the uncertainties or building a model where none exists. Then you become a little more specific regarding what the office is doing. MEMBER FORD: One of the things that puzzles me -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Maintaining safety is irrelevant. MEMBER FORD: On this very issue, one of the things that puzzled me, looking at this team generated action plan, for instance. To me, I could see some very clear technical objectives. Though, at the end of the day it wasn't at all clear to me how those results were going to be transitioned to the staff. And when you talk to the staff, what are you expecting from research, there is a kind of pained silence. So there's a -- MR. ZIMMERMAN: I think that's the process that we need to get to so you see -- MEMBER FORD: But that's the one vital link that you're missing. MR. ZIMMERMAN: Right. MEMBER FORD: Because then your value is clearly seen by the staff. MR. ZIMMERMAN: Right. I got a little lost when you were talking about how it doesn't apply to maintain safety. What I think I got from what you said, because this is a challenging topic. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: It certainly is. MR. ZIMMERMAN: This is not easy. Under the, under the different four goals there are strategies of how you get to there. What do you do? And risk informing is an example of how you, a strategy to work to maintain safety. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Right. MR. ZIMMERMAN: Also it helps with decision making. What you're describing in terms of formal decision making fits in under effectiveness and efficiency to be able to feed out to help make those decisions. If you make inefficient decisions -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: You are absolutely right. But I mean one of the first things you learn there, if you follow that route, is that different decision problems require different methods, different objective have different objectives and so on. So when we talk about the top goals of the agency, of course you want to maintain safety. I'm not saying you don't. But I don't see how a goal like that would affect your decision on funding a particular research activity. I mean, you know, everything we do is relevant to safety. MEMBER WALLIS: It's very important that everybody else is pursuing these goals, you've got to fit in with it. You've got to -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: You're fitting into it, but it's not, it's so high level as to be useless. That's what I'm saying. MR. ZIMMERMAN: I'm not sure if this is helping or hurting. I'll give you sort of audience example. The vessel-head cracking was not something that was in the budget, it wasn't planned for that. It came up, it's reactive work, something had to give. If we're going to pick up the work that this office did, something had to be shed. It didn't take very much, going through an add-shed, to say that that activity directly relates to safety. That was one of the higher priority work items that we did in support of NRR to take a look at the work that was being done to support the issue that's in the bulletin. So, if we communicate amongst ourselves we clearly brought out the maintain safety aspect of the work that Mike and others did in that area. And that was a basis for people getting pulled off of other things to go to work on that. MEMBER FORD: That's a beautiful example. That's a beautiful example, and it's a pleasure to see that interaction between Jack Strosswriter(phonetic) and you guys. And it's very positive. Now why aren't there ten or 20, I mean you're giving one, but can you cite ten, 20 such examples this year? I mean that's the sort of volume for that budget you've got. And that's the sort of volume that you're really looking for. MR. ZIMMERMAN: We're going, we're going around to that, I think, to that first chart of recent accomplishments. You know, the recent accomplishments, another one that is significant had to do with the high burn up with regard to cask loadings. And moving away from the overly conservative assumptions associated with clean fuel and spent fuel. And when that work was done, that provided the basis to take casks off the streets, off the highways that have the potential for providing exposure to individual that are in proximity to highway accidents, there are fewer casks. There's fewer chances of a problem. And there's quantifiable savings for the industry, for the taxpayer, as a result of that activity. That work came out of this office. And it's probably over a billion dollars of savings as a result of that work. So when you reinvigorate, when, when, if what I say is true and the facts support it to an objective audience, then that should put spring in the step or invigorate if our own staff should feel proud that they did that. And we ought to be proud in sharing it internally and externally. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: In this case, Roy, wouldn't you say that you met a goal of reducing the risk for the health and safety of the public? That's what you just said. MR. ZIMMERMAN: On that particular area? CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Yeah, on that particular area. MR. ZIMMERMAN: We reduced exposure to workers, individuals by that. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Okay. MR. ZIMMERMAN: Did it maintain safety? The work that we did that did the review verified that there was still sufficient margin. We maintained safety by ensuring that. It had a bigger vector on reducing the necessary regulatory burden. Now am I going to hire enrichments to be loaded, it allotted more fuel per cask, it allotted variations and flexibility and cask design. And again, and it got casks off the road. So when you look at how it feeds the four performance goals, the vector on maintaining safety in my mind is smaller than the vector on reducing unnecessary regulatory burden. I improved realism. I'm not sure if this is helping or hurting. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: No, I think it's helping. It is very helpful, yeah. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: I would like to just, again, sorry about that if I'm focused on the research report. But I took the task of putting it together. (Laughter.) VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: You know we received here a recommendation counter to what we discussed with Mr. Vidani(phonetic) a couple of months ago, that the report would be focused on advanced reactor reviews or new challenges and materials and anticipatory research. And we haven't, we need to touch on any one of these subjects. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Where is this from? VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: It is the last page of the presentation. So I would like to just make sure that before the next 50 minutes are over that we -- MR. JOHNSON: Okay, we'll take just a few minutes to get through the remaining charts here. Let's flip to the next one. It just says that we want to enhance our environment for innovation. And I think in order to do that we've got to be concerned about the scope of our work. And we ought to, we want to emphasize anticipatory work and we want intellectual and technical leaders. We need strategies for, to make sure that those kind of things are in place. The infrastructure, you've heard a great deal about that in the past. Chairman Meserve, at his keynote address at the NSRC, spent a great deal talking about the infrastructure and its importance. The next viewgraph -- MR. ROSEN: You skipped over innovation very carefully, very quickly, and that's a whole week's worth of discussion, of course. MR. JOHNSON: Right. MR. ROSEN: And clearly some of the things you talked about earlier, Roy, which is the building of trust allows people to fail. It gives them a chance to innovate, but not all innovations are successful. If you require 100 percent success, then you're not going to get much innovation. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Can you really do that when your budget keeps going down? MR. ROSEN: Well, I think you can but I -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Can you afford to have people try crazy ideas and fail? MR. ROSEN: Well, crazy -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: You can't. MR. ROSEN: -- crazy are not so good, but I think reasoned risk in an environment where the management is will to accept the outcome along with the proponent, you know, this is a good, an idea that may or may not work. But if it doesn't we haven't lost a whole lot, and if it does there's a tremendous upside. And management buys in on the front end in a trusting environment with that, you may get some innovation. But if you're requiring, you know, if this doesn't work we know who to hang kind of approach, well then for sure everybody pulls back into their shell and you won't get any innovation. MEMBER FORD: Could I ask a question? This is so fascinating, I'm sorry to be interrupting. I'm sorry. Have you thought about talking to people who's business it is to maintain and create an innovative R and D environment? Dana pointed out that, you know, he knows that some have failed. Others have won. MR. JOHNSON: Right. MEMBER FORD: And why not go to them? I can think of one organization you go to, hence my old one, but they know how to do it. So why don't we go and ask them how to do it? MR. JOHNSON: Well, we -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: See, that's related to a comment that I wanted to make. I think this discussion is taking off on a scungent that is unrealistic. We're going to start again talking about very high level desiderata or we need intellectual leaders. The question is if you put intellectual leaders up there, immediately you should ask, can that be accomplished within the environment this agency is working? And I think not. I really think you can't have innovation and you can't have -- well, no. Intellectual technical, you have your technical leaders here, but you can't grow them. MR. ROSEN: Why is that not a problem, George? Why are you willing to accept that? CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: They have so much work to do that is, needs to be done. They don't have all the resources. They keep telling us they prioritize, and at the same time we talk about innovation and the right to fail? How do we do that? MEMBER FORD: Do you think that is unusual? You think that this situation is unusual? MEMBER WALLIS: George, you have so much that you have to do and you can still be an intellectual leader, I hope. (Laughter.) MEMBER POWERS: No, he believes in decision theory. There is no hope for him. (Laughter.) CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: They asked Dr. Watson, Nobel Prize winner in DNA, how does one do good work? And he said one does good work when one is underemployed and has time to try crazy ideas and fail and start again. Then the Reporter came back and said, but now you are directing this laboratory in New Jersey, I think. He said, yeah. I'm not doing any good work anymore. (Laughter.) CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: And I think there is a hell of a lot of truth in that. I, what I'm saying is we've been doing this now for four years. The research report and in other forums and so on. We're talking about innovation. It's like this fun thing that major corporations advertise that they want people with initiative and then they kill them away if they have any. Can we really achieve these things within the realities of the agency. I mean we can all talk about intellectual leadership and innovation, and I really don't think we can have much innovation now. You guys don't give any plans anymore, do you? You guys are not all, what was the mechanism, what is the mechanism for getting a good idea that is innovative with a high probability of failure? What is the mechanism that will come to Scott and Scott will evaluate it and say, let's fund it. Right now, what is that mechanism? MR. JOHNSON: Well, we've asked all of our National Labs. We'll ask this committee. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: To do what? MR. JOHNSON: We'll ask our staff for ideas for -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: For innovative ideas? MEMBER POWERS: I think this is an easy answer to him. MR. JOHNSON: Yes. MEMBER POWERS: There is innovation in this agency and the research program and I can think of three areas that come immediately to mind. I think of, to work Joey Muscara proposed as part of the steam generator program to look at stress corrosion cracking mechanisms. I can think of the stuff that they're doing in developing fire risk assessment, where they're literally developing the technologies for doing fire risk assessments. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I don't think that's innovative. MEMBER POWERS: I think the stuff that they're doing on, with CFD that we just mentioned before is an innovation. Perhaps not an innovation in Graham's world, but in the regulatory world that's a big innovation. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Why is it innovative, Nathan? I mean Dana. We know we need a methodology to assess risk and they're doing it. Why is that innovative. MEMBER POWERS: Mr. Apostolakis, I assert my right to have the floor here. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: You do have the floor. MEMBER POWERS: The, we know that innovation is a local phenomena, it's not a global phenomena. And just because they don't win Nobel Prizes here, in fact I think if somebody won the Nobel Prize they would probably congratulate him and then fire him. Because he was obviously not working on the main mission. (Laughter.) CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I hope -- MEMBER POWERS: But they are doing innovation and I think there's no question about it. MEMBER WALLIS: I think you have innovation on all kinds of levels. MEMBER POWERS: Sure. MEMBER WALLIS: When reviewing, say, a thermal hydraulic code, it's being done a certain way by a licensee or a vendor and they've put together this thing. And you look at it and say, gee whiz, I'm not sure I believe that. I can think of a different way to balance momentum and I can compare my result with theirs. That is innovative. They are doing something which is new and you're bringing this insight to bear on something, rather than just accepting somebody else's deal. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I think you should put in your previous slide under external communication, ACRS. We have a big problem with communication. (Laughter.) MR. ROSEN: I think the problem seems rather limited to you, George. (Laughter.) CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: No, when somebody tells me I need to do this, and then I'm thinking about it how to do it in a good way, for me that's not innovation. I'm just doing a good job and what I was asked to do. That's not innovation. MR. ROSEN: Well, a lot of it -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Well, but anyway I don't know, That doesn't help Dr. Bonaca, so let's not spend that much time on this. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Also, you members who will contribute in a prolific way to this -- MR. JOHNSON: Let's move to the -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I'm criticizing the system, by the way, not the people. I said, what are the conditions? MR. JOHNSON: Okay, if we move to the next slide, where again we're still on refocus and re- evaluation process. We believe that it is important to emphasize in-house work and we've put on the table the possibility of re-baselining NUREG-1150 that does not necessarily mean that we would do five plants. But it would be a mechanism to involve a lot of our staff as opposed to contracting the bulk of the work out. We also need to increase cooperative work, as we've mentioned, mentioned that earlier. MEMBER POWERS: When you speak of cooperative work, I see the words and what immediately springs to mind is what I thought was an outstanding job that you've done in organizing this PTS activity where you brought three of the branches together with as diverse a technical focus of any three that I think you could have brought together. Thermal hydraulics, the blacksmiths, and the risk guessers, and brought them together to work on a focus task. And that is one of the areas that I would call creative management in, and I think that's one that you ought to be really proud of. MR. ZIMMERMAN: We appreciated the write up and the report about that too. MEMBER POWERS: Yeah, it's, I mean that really was, I think that's the wave of the future in research. Is getting these multiple disciplinary activities to work on a focused attack on a problem that you can resolve when you bring those three disciplines, well, two disciplines and the blacksmiths together. (Laughter.) CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: What do you mean by re-baseline NUREG-1150, Jim? MR. JOHNSON: Updating it with the most recent information. We've spent millions of dollars on severe accident research and it's not reflected in NUREG-1150. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: And how would that help the agency in its mission? MR. JOHNSON: Well, it would update the base of information that is currently being used. NUREG-1150 is referenced in so many different places in various regulatory applications. So it would provide more up-to-date data. And in addition to that, it would involve a large number of our research staff who may not have had hands-on experience in doing PRA-type analysis. MR. ZIMMERMAN: No decision has been made on this. It's, again, from a creativity standpoint, it's an item that was brought up that looks like it has merit for consideration. And that's why it's on the slide. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I'm just wondering, I mean we have now the IPs and the IPEEEs. Is stream relying on NUREG-1150 as much as in the old days? Or is there something innovative that we can do with the IPs and the IPEEEs. And maybe with NUREG-1150 and come up with something else. I don't know. MEMBER KRESS: My view that George is, in NUREG-1150 is the one place where they did a comprehensive uncertainty analysis. It includes both epistemic and, you know, aleatoric. When you go now and do a PRA and factor uncertainty into that, you don't get the full thing that you got out of NUREG- 1150. And it gives you a meter from which to gauge the uncertainty that you calculate from the PRA and I think it will be valuable in your risk informed thinking when you incorporate uncertainties into that. Because you need this to, as a meter to gauge what the full uncertainty might be, given what you calculated by the PRA. Because they're not the same thing. And I think that's the place where it might be very easy. MEMBER POWERS: I think they have just about mined the IPEs for what they're worth. Because remember the IPEs have a specific, very specific sort of objectives that really are quite different than the role that risk is being played in now. And you can't interrogate that the way you can 1150. I mean I think the insides document, which is one, by the way, one of my favorite documents. The IP insides document I think is, was a real tour de force there, but it's utility relies in believing in the ensemble approximation for reactor uncertainties. That is I can look at a whole collection of plants and from that understanding something about the uncertainties. And that's just never been demonstrated. MR. JOHNSON: Now see these last three slides is just a continuation of this same theme. We've already talking about the mission and vision statement. There are two things that concern us with, with the current statement. That s the use of the word independence, and the vision statement is rather long. The next viewgraph talks about staff morale and identifies some potential things that can be done to improve staff morale. The last slide addresses RES performance, and talks about things like accountability and timeliness and making sure that you have quality products. And this is not intended to be a comprehensive list of all the things that we need to do to reinvigorate, but this is just a starting point for us to consider and to kick around a little bit. Thank you, that's all I have. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I think this white paper will be very useful, especially you're doing every little thing you mentioned, or big thing, you do what you have on Page 7. You give a specific way or example of how to achieve that. So you enhance Branch Chiefs involvement in management issues. For example, the budget. Now that tells me about your way of doing it. The regional wire was a little cold earlier about other stuff like enhanceability for information. I don't know what that means. If you give me examples of how to do it, then more power to you. MR. JOHNSON: Yeah, we wouldn't put examples in the paper unless there is a mechanism or a strategy for doing it. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Okay, that would be great. MR. JOHNSON: We can't ultimately do that if it's actually, it's going to succeed. You've got to bring it to light, and the only way you're going to do that was to put examples. MR. ZIMMERMAN: Okay, I think we're set to move on to the advanced reactor part of the discussion. I apologize that I need to leave. I very much enjoyed the discussion, thank you very much. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Is Mike going to speak after you? MR. MAYFIELD: I think what I've got to say can be done in about 30 seconds, so maybe as we come back I can go through this. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Okay. MR. KING: How much time did you want to take? CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Well, we have another meeting, right? We have other, do you want to take a few hours, around 4:15? MR. KING: Yeah, where are we on this agenda? CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: 4:15. We have to be done by 4:15. MR. KING: Okay, what I'm going to do is provide an overview of everything that's going on in research and advance reactors. And I've got to point out at the beginning that this is work in progress. Some of it is yet to be determined because some of it hasn't really shown up at our doorstep yet. We're projecting it will. A lot of it is still subject to budget discussions that are underway right now, both priorities and the funding levels. And we can talk a little bit about that. We really expected, expect the details, I think, of the kinds of things you wanted to deal with in your report. Technical issues on the pebble bed, new licensing frame work, you know, in concept what could that look like and so forth. Research plan for HTGR research. All of that stuff, in terms of having detailed discussions with you, is we won't be ready probably until early next year. And we'll talk about the schedules. So if you're looking today for some meat to dig into and some positions to wrestle with, they're not ready yet. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: As I mentioned yesterday, it's difficult for us to write a report on your research program when the program still is not defined. I mean when we discussed this with Schrock at the time he envisioned that we would have that progress made now. That you would have already some definition for example of surrogate, safety goals that can be used for plants other than, you know, water reactors. And evidently we have no data, so anyway let's see what you have and then we'll make a decision. See, that's why you have to make a decision on what is important enough to contain they year, given the constraints and the fact that we have a deadline of March 29th, I believe, for the report. MR. KING: Okay, I'm not sure what Schrock had in mind when he talked to you earlier, but all our schedules have always been to really start detailed technical discussions with you probably in January. Both on pebblebed, on research plan for HTGRs and other things that might follow that. So let me just quickly, you know, the RES role and responsibility in the advance reactor I think is pretty simple. I think research really is charged with preparing the agencies and the technical infrastructure to deal with these future activities coming down the road in the case of advanced reactors to facilitate licensing reviews of future plants. How we do that is one, we've got the lead for preapplication reviews of non-LWRs and innovative LWR designs, like the IRIS design that's coming down the road. We've got the lead to develop or adapt analytical tools that we think we might need if we want to do some independent safety assessment on these future designs. And to develop the technical basis for whatever guidance or confirmatory data we think we might want to have available just to either check what applicants are telling us or to bring ourselves up to speed so the staff can do a better review and deal with some of these issues ourselves. We can ask better questions, we can be more knowledgeable. What are we involved in? Today we're involved in two things that are ongoing. The pebblebed preapplication review, which started back at the end of April. We've been having monthly meetings with Exelon. And we're in support of NRR on the AP- 1000 preapplication review. We're looking at the scaling issues associated with scaling up from 600 to 1,000 megawatts electric. What we expect shortly is another request for preapplication review on another HTGR, the general atomic design called the gas turbine modular helium reactor. We have a kick off meeting scheduled for December 3rd, where they're going to come in and tell us what it is they want and when they want it. We have, expect a similar request to get started on the IRIS preapplication review, that's an innovative LWR. Our understanding is the initial focus of that will be with what thermal hydraulic testing program is needed to actually confirm the design. We expect to begin shortly, as soon as the budget stuff is settled, initiate development of some thermal hydraulic and severe accident code capabilities to deal with HTGRs, to deal with AP-1000 and IRIS. And we'll talk a little bit more about that later. We're looking at what confirmatory or exploratory research, experimental-type programs we want to, we want to conduct. Whether it's on high- temperature materials, graphite or some, you know, AP- 1000 thermal hydraulic confirmatory tests. A full range of things that we think would be useful to do, the problem is do we have the resources to do it? And we're also thinking about the technical basis for future plant licensing framework. And we'll talk about that some more. Those are what I call near future, and a lot of that would get underway this fiscal year. Maybe some of it would be next fiscal year, but a lot of it this fiscal year. Longer term, maybe several years down the road, there's DOE's Generation IV program. Going on right now we're pretty much just observers in that, but there are, at some point down the road, they would start some interactions with us on licensing issues. DOE had a program on, it used to be called accelerated transmutation of waste. I think the accelerator part has sort of gone down the drain, but they still have a transmutational waste program. And it's my understanding they're thinking now of liquid metal reactors. They're program planning calls for coming into NRC on licensing issues with those in the next few years. And there may be other things. Who knows what else will come down the road. So there's a whole laundry list of stuff that -- VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: I have a question on that. And the question is you said essentially they are waiting until these concepts may be more advanced and there is some kind of licensing interaction taking place for you to start involvement. MR. KING: You're talking about Generation IV now? VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Yeah. MR. KING: Yeah. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: And you know one of the, I think one of the main impediments to your ability to develop a new, let me call it a new regulatory framework for, say the pebblebed reactor, is that the pebblebed is referred to us, there's no time to develop a new frame work. MR. KING: Right. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Okay, if you wait for Generation IV reactors until they have a concept on the table, you are never going to be able to have a new regulatory framework from scratch. So wouldn't it be important, if you really wanted to develop that, to start now? MR. KING: Yes, I agree with you. And don't misread my comments. I wasn't suggesting we wait for Generation IV. I'm just suggesting -- VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: No, but you mention that, you know, this is, they'll come maybe in three or four years and then we'll be talking about a new licensing environment, but that will be too late. MR. KING: I agree. The ideal thing is to get started now so that when these designs are ready to come in, the new framework is in place. I agree with you. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Otherwise they'll go to propose it to you, what they want to do, and it maybe acceptable, like you know in case of the pebblebed they may have a viable approach. There are some good ideas there, but still there is nothing new about the process. MR. KING: Yeah. I mean pebblebed doesn't want to wait for a new framework, so they developed a process that shoehorns their design into the current set of regulations. You're going to hear about that tomorrow. MR. ROSEN: I'm chairing a Generation IV subcommittee on liquid metal reactors and John Flack is here, he's your liaison with the Generation IV effort. And I think what the staff will have in front of themselves, in front of yourselves very soon, like in the first quarter of next year, a pretty good look at where Generation IV is likely to go. And the issue is the one Mario talks about. And it's really there. It's a kind of a chicken and the egg situation, where you don't, you need to kick off with some work with the Generation IV people. And the right, the question is the timing. When are you really going to do it? When are you really going to bring them in? And then ask them for their views and bring some focus to this in terms of what NRC does. MR. KING: We have some work underway through a NERI, well DOE NERI program that involves MIT and Sandy and some others looking at a, you know, a risk based, a risk informed approach. And the staff has interest in that. And what we've committed to do right now is provide a paper to the Commission in June of '02, with our recommendation on whether or not to proceed and develop such a frame work. Our view is in that paper we would have done enough thinking to sort of layout the concept so the Commission has an idea of what they are being asked to approve. So that's our, that's our schedule for this year. Now we expect the NEI is preparing a white paper on their views on this whole thing. They now say it's February before we're going to get that. The NERI program, I'm not sure exactly what the schedule is for that or the end product. And the staff, again there is a budget issue. How much resources are we going to get to work on that this year, which hasn't been settled. MR. ROSEN: I've been very concerned in that role, in my role in Gen IV, that the DOE would not coordinate well enough with the staff and there would come a time when it was too late to move and the, and NRR would say before we move an inch on this, we need x, y and z, and there wouldn't be any time anymore. That's the problem that Mario has pointed out. And I think we need to head that off, and the people to head it off are you by saying, by taking a proactive stance with DOE on Gen IV. MR. KING: I agree with you. I think -- MR. ROSEN: So you need, if you want to talk about graphite, for example graphite moderated reactors, there's some materials research you need, you need to be funding on graphite right now, for example. MR. KING: Well, I think just to be able to review an HTGR, there's probably a number of things we ought to be thinking about doing right now. And on top of that, to have a new licensing framework which in our view ought to technology neutral. You ought to start with some high level criteria and work down into some principles and some guidelines or what, you know, goals, whatever we want to call it. To some degree, when you get down to some level it's all technology neutral. And then clearly when a design comes in, say, that's an HTGR, you have to look at specific HTGR issues. But there ought to be a way to set that up so that you don't have to go through everything in the regulations today and say does it apply, not apply, and explain why. Yeah, John? MR. FLACK: Yeah, John Flack with Research. In fact, I was just off the phone with Rob Faslouce(phonetic) about an hour and a half ago talking about the working groups and the possibility of us getting engaged at the working group level to already to start to understand what the regulatory issues might be. So I think this is going to start to happen, it's just, we're just at the very beginning stages of it. But I agree. I think there's more that we can do with the ongoing effort of Gen IV. In fact, this is what the GOE, the Gen IV work, right. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: But it seems to me that, I mean if you at some point, there is a pressing need to integrate the deterministic process and the risk informed process. You know, right now we're still struggling and even option three will never take us there. I mean there is some initiative to, but you would want to have a new licensing process that incorporates risk information as an integral part of the approach. And right now, I mean we're still struggling and the Exelon approach really is not doing that yet. MR. NEWBERRY: I think, just let me underline our emphatic agreement with this point. And also noting that we are already experiencing significant budget pressures here between, and this was a discussion an hour ago, between supporting -- VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Yeah. MR. NEWBERRY: -- decision making and actual views versus trying to get out ahead on the framework issue. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: That would qualify as an innovative case work. MR. ROSEN: So now the budget issue is right there with the DOE program, it's a wonderful situation because there you can say to DOE, now it's time for some DOE money to come in flowing. It shouldn't be just agency money. It's a DOE program which intends to support a new generation of reactors for deployment by 2030, okay. It's 2002, it's time to start spending a little money. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: And I don't think, you're absolutely right. And I don't think that the development of the concept is going to be resource intensive for prospective of a lot of money for labs and so on. There's going to be more trying to tap the industry and tap everybody else and come up with a concept that the industry can be committed to that integrates in fact this perspective that I know we just can't put together. I mean the deterministic approach and the risk informed one. So, but until you have some progress made there, we'll be always prevented by some, somebody putting a new proposal in for to do it. But you know what, I mean let's be realistic. Intellectually, yes, this is a very challenging and interesting thing to do. But from a practical point of view, I think it scares people. I mean especially potential licensees, you know. But to go with a new regulatory system now, what are we doing? I mean we're going to have all sorts of issues come up. At least the one we have now has been tried. And if we can change it a little bit, so I am very sympathetic with their, with their views. So I have a question about doing, I mean beginning a discussion on how to do it, how much we should, that's exactly what should be done, I think, in the development of framework. They might be radically different if -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Look, am I going to disagree with you? No. I'm just telling you that I feel that, you know, when these people come and they want to use as much of the existing system as possible, even though I get upset perhaps that I don't see much innovation, well, I understand though that their problem is really to get a license. MR. KING: Well, if we go forward with this new framework, I think you're right. That's clearly an innovative approach. That's a clean sheet of paper approach. What? CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Therefore, it will not be funded. Remember my words. (Laughter.) CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: The system will not be funded. Go ahead. Have you heard of Cassandra? VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Good, that's exactly what I was thinking about, Cassandra. Who is she? CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: The mother of Hector. MR. KING: In a broad sense, the types of issues -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Yes, she was a broad. MR. KING: -- to deal with in our work and research are the things that come out of preapplication reviews, which are technical issues on designs, as well as some policy issues. And as I said, I think the bulk of the effort is going to be developed, or work put toward infrastructure development. It includes the framework. Part of that is also looking at what skills and capabilities do we need? And along with that comes the resource issue, and that's what's still being worked on right now. Okay, technical issues. As I said, we started with PBMR back in late April. We have gotten to the point where they have a number of technical issues. This is not a complete list, I just tried to list some of the bigger ones here. The review is still in progress, in fact I got a conference call with Exelon this afternoon to talk about when they're going to give us some information that we need to do our job. But I think clearly the big issues that we see are fuel performance and qualification. That involves a whole host of things. You know, what needs to be done in terms to demonstrate the fuel, how much do you want to test, under what conditions, is accelerated testing okay or not okay. There's a whole host of questions. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: So, let's come back again to Dr. Bonaca's program. In terms of the research plan, you at some point plan to prioritize these or do work on all of these or what? I mean this is not a meeting on the -- MR. KING: This is, we're talking about the PBMR preapplication review. We -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: These have to, okay. MR. KING: -- we intend in the preapplication review to try and provide some feedback to Exelon on these issues in terms of, let's just take fuel for example. They are going to come in and propose a fuel test program to demonstrate their fuel performs as advertised. We would like to give them some feedback and say, yes, that's okay, no it's not okay, you don't include this or that. Right now we're wrestling with are you going to give us enough information so we can even make a call like that or give some preliminary feedback. And as you march through these issues, on the pebblebed we intend to try and give as much feedback as we can at the preapplication stage, so when they prepare an application it's something, you know they know what to put in it and we know what to expect. Now, the flip side of this is it, what do we need to develop so when an application does come in, we can actually review it and have some confidence in the decisions we make. And that's where it gets to, do we want to develop a helium version of TRAC, a helium version of Melcor? Do we want to do some independent testing of graphite, high temperature materials, fuels? Same thing on AP-1000. Do we want to do some independent thermal hydraulic testing with this scaled up design. So those are the questions we're wrestling with right now. The details, trying to give Exelon feedback on some of these issues and the things they're telling us, that part is funded, that part is underway. We intended to start meeting with the committee probably around February, on the pebblebed issues, and go through them in detail in terms of here's the issue as we see it. Here's our position. Here's the feedback we think you ought to give Exelon and get the committee to weigh in on that, so when we prepare a paper, which right now is scheduled for June, to go to the Commission to identify what our positions are, that we've got the committee's feedback on that. So that's our plan on the pebblebed. AP- 1000, NRR has the lead on that. I don't know exactly what their scheduled is for interacting with the committee, but our piece is to look at the passive ECCS performance on this scaled up design. MEMBER POWERS: It's interesting when the subject of AP-1000 comes up, nearly everyone comments on the heightened containment. MR. ROSEN: Could you talk a little louder, Dana. MEMBER POWERS: The heightened containment, otherwise known as level arm with a tank of water on the top. Is no containment part of this for research here? MR. KING: The whole issue of containment and severe accident behavior in the scaled up design right now is part of what's called the Phase 3 review. We're in Phase 2, which is looking at the thermal hydraulic testing needs. Exactly what role research is going to play in that is, again, it needs to be worked out. It's not that it's not going to be looked at, it just hasn't been looked at yet. Okay, potential policy issues. Just quickly on the pebblebed. Again, this is not an exhaustive list, but some of the bigger ones, you know, certainly containment versus confinement, their desire to have a much reduced emergency planning zone. The issue you're going to hear about tomorrow on the licensing approach using frequency criteria and sort of a, their version of a farmer curve to define safety classification of equipment and the acceptance criteria for the various design basis accidents, leading ultimately, the Commission probably needs to weigh in on that. You'll hear our preliminary views on that tomorrow. The whole role of the regulator in fuel fabrication now on an HTGR, where some people say, well, the guy at the controls of the fuel fabrication plan has more to do with safety than the guy at the controls of the reactor itself. How do we, I mean how do we regulate that? Are we going to regulate the process now? Are we going to sample the product? Overseas fabrication, there's a whole bunch of things that are wrapped up in that. Again, these are things -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Much like the software liability issue, huh? MEMBER KRESS: It's a lot like that. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: It's the same thing, process versus product. That's a problem we had four years ago here. MR. KING: And then the bottom issue is the general one, the frame work issue, which we tend now to go to the Commission in June and get a policy reading on do we proceed with that or not. Wrapped up in the infrastructure question is, and we're looking at the resources that are available and where do we put them, is sort of the broader issues of how much independent capability should we have? I mean you look at Lightwater reactors and where we stand today. And millions of dollars on fuels research, severe accident research, thermal hydraulic research. All of that is PRAs information. All of that provides a foundation on which we make decisions today. We don't have much of that for gas reactors or liquid metal reactors. How much do we want to develop? How much do we need? And that sort of is going to feed into then how much money and what activities should research be doing to develop infrastructure. The issue of cooperative research. We had our workshop on HTGR safety and research issues. We're trying to follow up on that and see where it might make sense to plug into some of these international HTGR research programs. Does it make sense to plug into with licensees maybe and share costs of doing some of this. If we can agree on the information that's needed, why not share costs to get it. There's issues like that. MR. ROSEN: Tom, one of the things that Generation IV long ago concluded is that the U.S. government can't afford to do this alone. MR. KING: Yeah. MR. ROSEN: So Generation IV is an international effort. So I mean I think it would be surprising for me to hear ultimately that this country decided to make four Generation IV reactors. The regulation of them is a domestic issue. I'm not sure that would be a viable result. What I'm saying is I think if you're going to design and fund and test and build these things internationally, you also have to regulate them in some sort, with some sort of heavy international involvement. MR. KING: That's clearly another policy issue. MR. ROSEN: It's a difficult question because in the way regulation is done in different countries. MR. KING: Yes, yes. MR. ROSEN: But you can't even define a research program unless you, unless you think about the regulators around the world's attitudes towards given designs. MR. KING: I'm not sure, you can't design a research program, I think clearly an international research program is better than just a going it alone program. But right, each country may have different views on what's important and what the needs are and how do you work that out so you can agree on something? MR. ROSEN: Well, you have to make sure you don't, you put it together in a sense, in a way that's, that doesn't leave a lot of big holes and doesn't do to much duplication. MR. KING: Right, right. Okay. I think Slide 8, we talked about, the future plant licensing framework. There is interest out there, and there's also interest on the research staff to work on that. Key considerations that we would want to do some thinking on before we ever went to the Commission and made a recommendation would be, and what's the scope of what's going to be covered by this new framework. Is it public protection, worker protection, environment protection, property protection? How would you structure this thing? Starting with some top level goals on risk, on safeguards, on maybe some other things. Maybe put some principles in that apply to every, every future design, defense and depth, ALARA, cost benefit, performance monitoring, good engineering practices. I don't know, you can come up with a list of things that you might think would qualify as a principle. And then to implement those principles, what kind of criteria and requirements would you come up with. You would certainly need some risks metrics and criteria. Clearly the CDF and LERF maybe okay for today's LWRs, but that's, LERF particularly was based upon NUREG-1150, which is today's LWRs and I'm not even sure apply to something like IRIS. Do we want to develop some technology neutral general design criteria? Do we want to reference various, either international or national codes and standards, I think apply to everybody. Are there processes -- MEMBER WALLIS: I'm sitting here listening and it seems to me that what you're laying out here is almost as much work as designing the reactor itself. Why is it such a huge task? MR. KING: Why is this such a huge task? MEMBER WALLIS: Yes, it seems to be a huge task. MR. KING: Because there's a lot of things to think about. When you're going back and starting with a clean sheet of paper -- MEMBER WALLIS: Well, suppose I just said forget it, take the, get the regulations and -- MR. KING: Just take today's and -- MEMBER WALLIS: -- and see how far you can go with that. MR. KING: That's what's being done today. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: And when they say that, we should be very understanding. MR. KING: I personally, it can be done. I think the amount of discussion and opinions that we're going to have to deal with are going to be quite large. But I think it's a certainly doable project. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: I don't think it would be, it would utilize a lot of elements of what has been done before. MR. KING: Yeah, I think there are more general design criteria. A lot of them are technology neutral and written pretty well. You pull them out and you use them. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: The ingredients are the same pretty much. The question is how do you put them together. MR. KING: And I think if you can agree upon the basic attributes that ought to be in here, then you can frame, you know, what's the best way to describe those to put some criteria or guidance in dealing with those. There's another part that goes with this, if you can lay all that out, you then have to figure out what are the acceptable methods and data that can be used to demonstrate compliance with these things. So there's the flip side to that. MR. ROSEN: There is one still in place in the universe where things will still be the same. And that's the Commission Safety Goal Policy Statement, right? VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: No. MR. ROSEN: A tenth of one percent. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: That's LWL. MR. ROSEN: Why wouldn't you say that no, that the new technology we put in place should not be any, should not harm, should not contribute risk greater than a tenth of one percent. MEMBER KRESS: One reason is your comment that they are going to be, for a while they're not asking just for this country, they're asking for various places. There's no reason other countries ought to have the same safety codes. MR. ROSEN: You think that other countries could have tighter goals or looser goals? MEMBER KRESS: Yeah, it's a matter of risk management. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Or different methods. MR. ROSEN: Well, yeah, now I understand your point and I think it's a good one. And I think the question though is then can we all have the same reactors. We went, in the Generation IV program, the idea was to share the costs and build reactors that are safe, proliferation resistant, etcetera, etcetera, but they would be designed and it would be not just one reactor. There would be several different kinds. But the idea that they would have different ultimate safety goals is one that hasn't been raised before, I don't think. At least in polite discussion. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Well, we have come up with a number of high level goals. But the other thing is that we had a workshop at MIT about a year ago. Not on that particular Generation IV design, but somebody said, boy, we're going to have a thousand of those. MR. ROSEN: Right. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: A thousand? And goals would be the same? How can that be? I think when the Commission developed the goals they had in mind, you know, more or less of what the situation was at the time, with 105, 109 units. Here is a guru on goals behind you, Steve, so if I build 1,000 reactors tomorrow, Joe, should I keep the goals the same? I must, at 4:15 we recess. There is other people coming -- MR. ROSEN: -- which is a key issue is a level of safety, which is exactly what you're talking about? CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Yeah, yeah. MR. KING: And that can be, you know, different QHOs or it can be, are we now going to talk about environmental protection or property protection. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: That's right. DID is what? MR. KING: Defensive data. See, now they have a code for it so you -- (All talking at once.) MR. KING: Okay, the last two slides, well the last, next to the last slide is schedule. I won't go through it in detail, but you can see that's our schedule for both the PBMR and the research plan. And we tried to put in the rough time frame of when we'd like to come back and start talking the details with the committee. And the last slide is just, we've been thinking about what research we need with AP-1000, IRIS and HTGRs in mind. There are a number of candidate ideas we have. Again, the resource issue has to be settled and the priority issue has to be settled before we can settle this. That's it. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Thank you. You have 30 seconds. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: So this is the first installment and then we're going to have an extra two hours? I was hoping, no. Okay, we have now a brief presentation from you? MR. MAYFIELD: I'll keep this very brief, and the point of the new challenges is we are working and have been for some time, but we're redoubling some efforts to try and get ahead of some of the degradation issues. Over the last year we've seen that more than a year, cracks in piping that we never anticipated seeing. We're seeing cracks in CRDM housings that we never anticipated seeing. We're seeing some degradation in steam generator tubes that goes a bit beyond what we've seen. So we're looking in the materials research program to try and get on the leading edge for a change. Not that I really think we'll get there in the next year or so, but looking out in the longer term, how, what kind of work can we, can and should we start in the next year or to two years that hopefully would get us in a position to be able to deal with emerging issues, new challenges. Not that we would guess precisely what they are, but that we'd have enough information to try and deal with them. That sort of takes us to the last bullet that was on Roy's Slide 10, in terms of the anticipatory research. We've been challenging ourselves to look ahead and try and identify areas where new degradation, new damage mechanisms for the materials issue and same kinds of things in the other areas. We are reaching out to the staff in a fairly formal way this year asking for their ideas well in advance of the budget formulation to try and give people enough time to think about this and to put forward their best ideas in a way that gives them a fair chance when we sat down to put together the budget and decide what issues we're going to put forward. We are also interested in input from this committee, as well as, I think next year we're looking to reach out, again formally, to a much broader audience or the external stakeholders. So that's sort of where we were going with the idea of the new challenges. And we know they are out there. Materials just is a good example of it, but we're interested in gaining some insights and suggestions for areas that don't necessarily have an immediate application, but where they have, there's some reason to believe that it's an area that we need to explore. MEMBER POWERS: You're focused on the existing fleet of reactors in this call for -- MR. MAYFIELD: Right now it's on the existing fleet of reactors, but it's, as we go along, as that -- MEMBER POWERS: As Tom's work expands, you expand it. Right now you're looking at that. MR. MAYFIELD: Yes, so that was all we really wanted to say. MEMBER POWERS: I think, by the way, this reaching out to your staff early in this process is just a heck of a good idea. MR. MAYFIELD: We'll see how it works. MEMBER POWERS: Yeah, well, it's one of those things that -- MR. MAYFIELD: We've got a lot of smart people. MEMBER POWERS: Yeah, it may not work too well now until you persuade them that you're actually going to listen to them. I mean sometimes you guys put them through contingency exercises that may change their view just a tad. (Laughter.) MR. KING: Okay, that's it, Mario. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: Okay, well I thank you very much for your patience. Clearly we were discussing right now that at some point this committee needs to reflect on what we've heard today, and then make a decision, you know, what we should have as a content for the report. I mean these are not likely subjects. In fact, that's possibly the scope. And so hopefully we can get half an hour of time before -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: We will find more than a half an hour. Remember that we, we're going through Saturday noon or something, so we'll find the time, don't worry. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: And what I would like to do is clearly we leave this meeting with some commitment from some members to contribute some talk-- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Sure. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: -- on these areas, so that I can begin to put them together. So with that, I'll give you back the -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Thank you, Chairman. We'll recess until 4:33. (Whereupon, the foregoing matter went off the record at 4:14 p.m. and went back on the record at 4:35 p.m.) CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: The meeting is back in session. Next item proposed update to 10CFR, Part 52. Cognizant member is Dr. Shack. Bill. MEMBER SHACK: This is just a briefing on a proposed update to 10CFR, Part 52, which is a licensing alternative for advance reactors. The staff is proposing some changes in the rule and we're just going to get an update on those proposed changes. MEMBER POWERS: Do we have a petition? MEMBER SHACK: There are two petitions, in fact, I think. Yup, speaking of petition. MR. WILSON: Thank you, Mr. Chairman, I'm Jerry Wilson and I'm with the new reactor -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Can you raise the screen a little bit. Raise up? MR. WILSON: Yes, let's see if I can move this up. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I think that's the one, isn't it? Don't worry about it, don't worry about it. MR. WILSON: He knows what to do. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Very good. MEMBER KRESS: And would you get that spot off there? (Laughter.) CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Okay, Mr. Wilson. MR. WILSON: By way of background, I've been working on the development and implementation of Part 52 since 1987. Now when the Commission issued Part 52, in 1989, they stated that this was the most important change in the NRC's licensing process in over 30 years. At that time we created three new licensing processes, but we had no experience in using them, so right from the beginning we planned to come back at a future date, after we had some experience, and do this update rule making. Now what has happened since then? Well, let's do background here. Shortly after Part 52 was issued, the Department of Energy sponsored a 30 site permit demonstration program that was participated in by NRC and industry representatives. And the conclusion of that effort was that there are no regulatory impediments to achieving an early site permit. Also we received five applications for design certification and granted three of them. And the committee was involved in the review of those applications. The, I believe the NRC demonstrated flexibility in the implementation of those requirements and showed that that process can work. And finally for approximately ten years the staff interacted with stakeholders on certain implementation issues associated with the combined license review process. We issued a SECY paper in April of last year on that, and the Commission approved those issues in its SRM on September of 2000. So with that we believe that Part 52 is ready to be used, but as we said, intended to do a rule making. So we prepared a rule making plan that the Commission approved in January of '99. And with that approval, the Commission encouraged us to have early interaction with stakeholders. So I posted on our rule making website and noticed this rule making in June of 1999, and then sent letters to stakeholders that identified a number of issues that we were considering for this rule making and invited comments. In response to that we only received one comment that was from the Nuclear Energy Institute and they submitted that in April of this year. Now in August the Commission issued an SRM and it suggested the staff share draft rule language before issuance of proposed rules for certain rule makings. One of which was Part 52. And so in September of this year, we posted draft rule language on Part 52, on our rule making website. We also issued a Federal Register Notice notifying the public that this language is available. And finally issued a letter to the advisory committee providing the draft language for their consideration. Now with regard to the rule, as I said earlier, the NRC believes that the rule is ready to be used, and has stated that in a recently issued SECY paper on our readiness assessment. Because of that and because of the experience in using the rule, we believe there's no need for any significant changes to the rule to be used in future applications. The other point I want to make on that is at the time we were developing Part 52, the staff was also involved in some advance reactor reviews. And we had those designs in mind at the same time, and so we believe that these licensing processes in Part 52 can be used as they are today. But having said that, I also believe that there are some changes that can be made. Things of clarifications and corrections. I thought I'd walk through a few examples here. So if you'll see in the draft rule language that I provided the committee, we have made some minor changes in Parts 21, 72 and 140, to make it clear that those regulations apply to applicants under Part 52. And the provision in Section 52.17, which deals with the content of your application for an early site permit, we want to make it clear that when you submit an early site permit you are not describing just one particular design that you may want to build on that plant, maybe a range of designs. And so we've envisioned that an applicant would submit enveloping or bounding characteristics that would deal with the types of releases and other factors for different types of designs. And another item we made in the combined license process is clarifying findings relative to ITAAC. There's two sections in the regulations where it talks about findings and we're trying to clarify it that in 52.99, that's where we discuss inspections and notifications at ITAAC are complete, but that in 53.103, where the Commission is making its decision on authorization to operate, that's where the Commission's finding on whether or not ITAAC or the net is made. So these are some examples of the types of clarifications that you'll see in the draft rule language. Now also we have what I would consider corrections to the rule. One is dealing with Appendices M, N, O and Q. When the Commission created Part 52, they directed the staff to move those other licensing processes to Part 52, and we did that. But through some administrative problems that wasn't deleted from Part 50, so we're correcting that in this rule making. Also we want to make it clear that an applicant for a combined license that's using a custom design, is not referencing a certified design, would provide a plant-specific PRA. And along those lines also an applicant for a combined license, if you're familiar with the design certification requirements, there's a requirement on testing for new design features. And we want to make it clear that that would apply to someone coming in for a custom design that it's not referencing a certified design. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I have a question on that. MR. WILSON: Certainly. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: The language that is being proposed says, and for the members it's one hundred and page 12, if you want to follow that, over Tab 5. It says -- MR. MARKLEY: That would be Page 7 of yours, Jerry. MR. WILSON: Thank you. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Oh, I'm sorry, yeah, yours is seven. We always inflate the number of pages. MR. ROSEN: You said 112, George? CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Twelve, 112, Tab 5. You're looking at the wrong tab. MR. ROSEN: I'm looking at Tab 5. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: It doesn't work. MEMBER KRESS: I don't know where the hundred comes from. MR. ROSEN: Tab 5, no, 112? MEMBER KRESS: There's no 112, just 12. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: It's getting late. Okay, the language is the following. Item 4, the second area from the top. An application referencing a certified design must include the plan-specific PRA that uses a design-specific PRA and is updated to account for site-specific design information and any design changes. So I'm trying to understand what this means now. It means that the Reviewer of the plant- specific PRA cannot question the design-specific PRA that was used in the certification? Because that was part of the certified design? Is that how this would work? Did you find it on Page 7? Item 4, second paragraph. MR. WILSON: Okay, I'm with you now, all right. The idea in general, and then I'm going to give you a clarification. In general, is that information reviewed and resolved or to use the word certified in the design certification process, if you reference that design that information comes forward. And since it's resolved, yes you wouldn't re-review that information. However, in the case of PRA it's a special circumstance. And during the time that we were working on the actual language that is in what we call the design control document, the industry requested that a lot of the details in the PRA not come forward into the certified design information. And so in this particular case there actually is rather limited information that would come forward and fit into that category that you're describing of not re-reviewed. Now what we are talking about here though is that we would expect that you would take what is in the certified design information for the PRA. You would add in the site-specific design features, such as the ultimate heat sink, and you would also modify it to reflect any design changes that the combined license applicant may have requested to that certified design. And so that was the idea of this rule language. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: All right. I understand that, but I guess I'm a little uncomfortable with this. For example, let's take, I mean I was on the committee when we approved, certified the 8600 PR design, plus you know, the PRA package. And they did, you know, certain things that were probably state-of-the-art at the time. It's been now a number of years. One that comes to mind is this software liability issue, they did a few things. Let's say somebody now comes with an 8600 application in the year 2006, and it comes to you for a review in the year 2010. That would be a full 12 years or so, 14 years after the original design was certified, and we know, I mean the state-of-the-art advances, of course. Now perhaps at that time we are doing things better in certain areas. Software liability and other areas. Is your reviewer bound to accept what Westinghouse did in 1995? Even though the state-of-the-art has advanced? MR. WILSON: In general, yes. And as I said in the case of the PRA there was very little of the PRA other than the basic assumptions that came forward into this certified design information. So certainly we would expect that we are not requiring that they redo the PRA and redo it up to the latest standards. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: But is it, is there anyway you can find the language for this paragraph that allows for some updating of the design-specific PRA without really penalizing the applicant. I mean I appreciate that the whole point of certification was to, for the applicant to know what they're going to find when they come to us. But to freeze something, like a PRA, I think is unhealthy. MR. WILSON: Well, it doesn't preclude them updating it. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I know it doesn't. MR. WILSON: It's just that we're not requiring that update at this point in time. MR. ROSEN: That's what George's problem is. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Yeah, that's my problem. MR. ROSEN: He wants you to require it. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: If you put the language there that will give the reviewer flexibility to, you know, to work with the latest technology. I mean we do that in everything else. MEMBER SHACK: Well, you tell them to use the addition of the code that they built the plant to. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: They what? MEMBER KRESS: He's just agreeing with you. MEMBER POWERS: Yeah, if somebody builds to a particular addition to the code, the government would be against that addition to the code. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Well, I appreciate that but I mean -- MR. MARKLEY: PRA is different. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: It's evolving all the time. I mean we know that, that's why it's risk conformed and not risk based. Let me use that argument now -- MEMBER POWERS: George, let's consider people in both worlds. I mean they can approve the data, they understand new things, you don't make them go back. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: We don't. MEMBER POWERS: Well, sometimes we do, sometimes. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Yeah. MEMBER KRESS: I think George is right. If we've got new ways to do things with a PRA, new information and we should allow new information to be used. MEMBER POWERS: Allow is different than require. MEMBER KRESS: I really would not like to require, because NRC needs to have the best information it can. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: This is a regulatory decision here. I mean you can't say I will close my eyes to new information because the law says I have to go with what was valid 15 years ago. MR. ROSEN: But it's not like it's an undue burden on the licensee. He can make his mind up not to build a plant if the rule requires an updated PRA based with new human error models. He might say that's too hard, I won't build the plant. MEMBER POWERS: That's a non, a non- starter. I make this thing incredibly onerous and if you get it and want to build a plant, that's okay. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: No, that's your decision. Well, how about if you say -- MR. ROSEN: That's extreme interpretation of what I'm saying. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: -- that uses an updated design-specific PRA. I mean, but of course that's open-ended too. I understand you have to -- MR. WILSON: Let me add a little more to this. MR. ROSEN: I think here's the answer. It should be tied to the ASME and ANS standards. Because it's a consensus process. MEMBER KRESS: Put the word state-of-the- art PRA. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Oh, my God, no. MR. ROSEN: State-of-the-art is beyond the standard. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Yeah, sure. MR. ROSEN: But there is a standard. (A lot of people talking at once.) MR. WILSON: I want to add a little more to the discussion. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Of course. MR. WILSON: Internally in the staff we have been discussing this and I have been working with our folks in the responsible branch on this very issue of updating and you probably heard the staff talk about things like living PRA. And in my discussions with them, the staff is considering these issues of updating, but they decided that if they require that or if they propose to have such a requirement, they wanted to do it separate from the particular rule making. So what I'm trying to do now is just be sure we have a PRA that covers the design and defer for now that issue of having someone update what was done during the design certification stage. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Where else would it go? MR. WILSON: Well, it would be a requirement that would be directed at PRAs in general. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: No, because, separate rule? No. The think is, you know, with the license renewal thing, because the rule says do it this way, people are doing it this way. And every time we raise a question about risk, they say, ah, but 5054 doesn't say anything about that. And it was done, you know, sometime ago. So I suspect if you put it somewhere else, the same thing is going to happen. The rule itself doesn't say that, so I'm not going to do it. And you end up making regulatory decisions using very old information, possibly. It could valid, I mean I'm not saying that this will happen, but in some areas it might. MR. ROSEN: Well, we've argued, George, about voluntary versus discretionary in the case of the current licensees, and I think it's time for future reactor licensees to not to make is so voluntary. And so I support the idea that we make it required. And the, you know, then the staff can figure out what they mean by a valid, up-to-date, state-of-the-art, plant-specific PRA. MEMBER KRESS: Well, those are words I want in there. MR. ROSEN: Valid, up-to-date, state-of- the-art, plant-specific. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: No, I'm willing to let the stuff come up with the appropriate language so that we don't appear like we want to start everything again from scratch. But I think the idea is that. That we want to be up-to-date. MR. WILSON: I'll go back and talk to our PRA folks. MEMBER POWERS: And find a good reason not to do that, right? (Laughter.) CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: You see then the rule, one last point. The rule is a bit inconsistent and maybe that's a good argument for doing it. On the previous page, you say if the application does not reference a certified design, the application must contain a plant-specific PRA. And of course it is understood that it will be, you know, according to the state-of-the-art. So if you are not referencing a certified design, you do it one way. If you are, you do it in a slightly different way. Which may not be slightly different, it may be significantly different. MR. WILSON: But you can make those kinds of discussions about design approvals and design certifications in general. I mean once the agency certifies a design, approves a design and said we're going to hold with that approval, we're not going to revisit it and we don't expect the applicant to come in with changes, then we're always in that situation of down the road when they reference back to that design, it's, that was state-of-the-art at that point in time. MR. ROSEN: Look, a license is a contract between the staff and the licensee. You specify the guy who is about to give something up, which is a license, which is the Commission who is about to give up a license, specifies its requirements for the person who wants it. And the requirements should be just what I said. A valid, plant-specific, up-to- date, state-of-the-art PRA. MR. WILSON: But as part of that we also do regulatory analysis and we have to show house benefit for new requirements. MR. ROSEN: It would be, it would be out of touch for the Commission not to require that they have a policy statement. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: New requirements I think regarding the facilities themselves. MR. ROSEN: For new plant? For new designs? Just remember when you talk about old plants, then you are in back fit space. Everybody is thinking back fit space. But if this is a new plant, where a new contract is being cut with the proposed Contractor, the licensee, and so the Commission could set its requirements. And I recommend that's what its requirements ought to be. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: How about if you put, for example, an application referencing a certified design must include a plant-specific PRA that uses the design specific PRA, as a appropriate, and is updated to account for the site-specific design information. VICE CHAIRMAN BONACA: As appropriate? CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Is appropriate. MEMBER SIEBER: That doesn't require it. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: No, but it gives some freedom to the reviewer to say this particular part is not appropriate anymore. No matter how you put it, it's going to be abused. MR. ROSEN: Actually, George, the law of inverse codification takes over here. The less codified it is, and less specific it is, the more flexibility the staff has to ratchet, to different things and to get inconsistent. The better thing to do is to make it specific in the rule that the licensee needs to come up with a valid, up-to-date, state-of- the-art, plant-specific PRA, period, if they want a license. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Well, I would, if you want to go that way, I would take Number 2 and Number 4. One is referring to the existence of a certified design, the other to a case where you don't have a certified design. Drop them and replace them by one that says an obligation must include the plant- specific PRA, period. MEMBER SHACK: Rule Number 1 is no regulation can ever require a state-of-the-art. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I didn't say state- of-the-art, I said plant-specific. MR. ROSEN: No, Rule Number 1 is that anybody, state-of-the-art is whatever it is today. And then since it's up-to-date, you have to improve it as the years go on. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: No, but what's wrong with just -- MR. ROSEN: There's nothing wrong with improving it, that's what we've been doing for years. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: What's wrong with requesting a plant-specific PRA, and then leave it for other lesser documents to elaborate on the guidance, the regulatory guidance which are easier to change. If you put it here it's cast in stone. MR. ROSEN: That's good. MEMBER SIEBER: If you buy a certified design, if you buy a certified design and make no design changes to it, why wouldn't the PRA for that certified design be adequate? MR. ROSEN: Well, because -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: A lot of it will be. But a lot of the stuff that is done, you know, by our waiting because we didn't know what to do at the time. MEMBER KRESS: Somebody comes up with a new sequence in shut down mode and fire -- MR. ROSEN: And the nature of PRA is that it evolves with the data, with the data from the plant that it's based on. The data for unreliability and unavailability at first is nothing but an estimate. But the second, the first time you update it, it is based on the data from that plant, and so on. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I still remember the discussion with -- MR. ROSEN: PRA involves the more closely modeled the performance of the plant. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I still remember the discussion we had in this committee when we were debating the approval of AP-600, the AP-600 design when it came to the software reliability issue. I mean everybody agreed that nobody knows what to do with it. Westinghouse said we use some failure rates from this source, then we multiply them by ten and we looked at the result. And then we did something else. We did it, and then we said, well, all right, what else can you do? Now in the year 2015, maybe that would not be good enough. That's what I'm saying. Because at that time at least people were pleased at least to see some effort to see what's the impact on the result because they knew that there is nothing out there to help you do it. So would then the applicant be able to say, well, I'm sorry but that's part of the certified design so it's still good enough. MR. ROSEN: And I'm going to update it with current data from reliability -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Yeah. MR. ROSEN: -- reliability from my plant. And we'll do it. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I would just ask for a plant-specific PRA, in the new rule and let the regulatory guides elaborate on the details. Because they are easy to change, right? You can use language and also, as we all know, a regulatory guidance unacceptable approach. So no one is coming up with another one. But the rule is a rule. I've learned my lesson from license renewal, I'll tell you that. Every time we raise an issue, oh, no, no, no, the rule doesn't say that. Well, that's the way it works and that's the way we're going to do it. Anyway, that's a comment. I mean that's why you're here, right, to get some comments. MR. WILSON: Right, thank you. And moving along -- MR. ROSEN: You understand, I'm slightly to the right of the Chairman. (Laughter.) MR. WILSON: You're on my left. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Both literally and figuratively. MR. WILSON: I think in terms of rottenness, I think we're -- MEMBER KRESS: That's right, this is Attila the Hun. (Laughter.) MEMBER POWERS: Recognize that the left wing over here may have something to say. MEMBER SHACK: Time to move on, George? CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Fine with me. I'm surprised you haven't said anything. (Laughter.) MEMBER SHACK: I wanted to see how long the rope would string. There's no limit, obviously. (Laughter.) CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I'm done, I'm done. MEMBER SHACK: This is a bungee cord. (Laughter.) MR. WILSON: All right, so I gave some examples of clarifications and corrections and their role and there's also some burden reductions. We have a provision now that in the event that you apply for a design certification we also require you to apply for a design approval. That had to do with the fact we had no experience in doing design certification reviews. Now that we have that experience, we don't believe that requirement is needed and we're proposing to delete them. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I'd also like to bring the attention of the committee to hundred and page six where they use, in the second paragraph, a need for power in connection with inter ilia issuance of early site approvals. The use of latin is very welcome by the Chair. I think especially Dr. Powers should pay attention to that. MEMBER POWERS: If this was the only mistake the Chair had made, then Dr. Powers would be shocked. Since it's not -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I like it. When I saw it I said this is a good rule. Is this a Part 52, okay. MR. WILSON: Now I was also asked to discuss how Part 52 might be used in a future application for the pebblebed design, which the committee has heard about. Now by way of background, Office of Research is doing a preapplication review for the pebblebed design. There's been a SECY paper describing that that was issued in April of this year. And subsequent to that, in May Exelon submitted a letter with a number of regulatory issues that they would like to see some changes on that would facilitate their future application. These are things like anti-trust, annual fees, decommissioning, financial requirements. Also in May 25th, Exelon submitted a licensing plan for the pebblebed where the proposed a sequence of first, requesting an early site permit, then a combined license to build the plant, and then finally a design certification. And in that letter they also proposed seeking a single license for multiple reactors. Staff issued preliminary reviews on that licensing plan in August of this year, and we stated that their proposed sequence is acceptable but raised some concerns about the issuance of a single license and timing of testing. Now the staff is preparing a SECY paper on these issues and also these other aspects of the single license and testing issues. And I'm anticipating that paper is going to be issued shortly. Now in looking at these various licensing options relative to the pebblebed, with regard to early site permit, Exelon stated they anticipate submitting an application in mid-2002. I see the staff using the early site permit process as it's written with no major obstacles. Now when the combined license comes in, and at the moment we're expecting that in late 2003, although that date, I understand, may slip. But once again, we would use the process as it is written, but we envision, that because it's a gas-cooled reactor there 's going to be a need for some exemptions and licensing conditions in areas that the current regulations don't cover. But I would say though that most of our regulations will apply to the gas-cooled reactors. Now if they follow up after issuance of the COL with the design certification application, one of the things the staff may do is codify any design specific requirements that come from that combined license review in the design certification rule making. So we'll have some design specific requirements in that situation. Now the staff has prepared a SECY paper that's discussing this process and determining what the appropriate license conditions will be. That preparation, that paper, the staff is going to come and discuss with the committee tomorrow, so I won't get into any discussion on that. So in conclusion, staff believes that the licensing processes in Part 52 are ready to be used in any new applications. We'll have this update rule making underway. We don't think any significant changes are needed to process new applications, and these processes are also applicable to an application for the pebblebed design or, for that matter, any other gas-cooled reactor design. So with that, I'm available for questions. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: So what are these other viewgraphs in your handout? MR. WILSON: Just some back ups. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Oh, okay. I really like that. MEMBER SHACK: On Page 10, the changes in the Tier 2 document -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Which Page 10? MEMBER SHACK: The real Page 10. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: The real Page 10. MEMBER SHACK: For the various certified designs now essentially allows them to make changes in the Tier 2 documents with a kind of 5059 kind of freedom. What was the previous one? It doesn't, you know I don't see a line out. MR. WILSON: Oh, I'm sorry. When we did design certification, one of the things about design certification is the backfit. The idea that once we have a resolution on the design we want to lock that in and so that neither the staff nor the applicant would make changes unless it was really significant. And so we created a special change process. So design certification doesn't come under 50109 or 5059. And also because the applicants asked for a two tiered documentation, we had change processes for Tier I and Tier 2, and just kind of a lead in saying there's a rather complicated specific change process. Now we had a 5059-like change process that used terminology very similar to the terminology in the old 5059, unreviewed safety questions and things like that. And so after that was done, the Commission suggested to staff that, hey, we ought to revise this change language to be comparable to that. Plus that also, not only does it give new terminology and new definitions, that's all been worked out with the industry and we have regulatory guidance on how to implement that. And so I wanted to use as much of that as possible, but still keep the basic idea of the higher standards there. And so we went back and we proposed changes to adopt as much of that language as possible so we could also use that underlying guidance. And so basically, I mean the short answer to your question is we took out phrases like unreviewed safety question, and put in phrases like minimal increase. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: What is DCD? MR. WILSON: Design control document. When you apply for design certification, you have the standard safety analysis and design descriptions. But when it came to certifying the design, there was some changes in that documentation. So for example the rule that certifies the design references this documentation and that's all publicly available documentation. So it doesn't have proprietary information in it, and also as I said earlier, the industry asked that a lot of the details on the PRA not be in the certified design information. So that was taken out. So we wanted to create -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Oh, so the PRA is not? MR. WILSON: Most of the PRA is not in the certified design information. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: That's good. MR. WILSON: Just the basis assumptions that were used that are associated with those design features that are involved. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: There is a statement here on Page 12, that would, in fact, not allow what I asked earlier. So if the PRA is out, that's good. Changing any method, it says, is not allowed. MR. WILSON: So when we took that information out, we needed a new name for that document and we called it the design control document. But it's -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: So updating the PRA in the sense I mentioned earlier, would be allowed? MR. WILSON: There's not much to update. All we retained was basic assumptions that -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: All you have to do -- MR. WILSON: -- I don't think would change unless the design changed. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Yeah, okay, okay, that's good, that's good. Now there is another question I have on Page 2, your Page 2. The very top. How modular designs are defined? MR. WILSON: Yes. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I understand the first one. It's a nuclear power station designed that consists of two or more nuclear reactor modules. The second one is not clear to me. A nuclear power reactor design composed of subassemblies which, when assembled without a module center structure assistance and components on site, constitutes a complete nuclear power reactor. What is that? MR. WILSON: Let me first start out by why did I do this? If you look at Section 52.103.G, you'll see there that the Commission may approve authorization to operate on a module-by-module basis. Now where did that come from? Well, that came from, at the time we were writing the rule we were dealing with designs like MSTGR and Prism, where there were two or three reactors that were together in an overall power station. But you can envision a situation where they would be building it and you wouldn't be bringing all three on-line at once. You'd bring them on reactor-by-reactor. And so we wanted to be sure the process would handle that. And we used the term modular at the time, but didn't define it. Well, now the difficulty with modulars, the industry uses that term in a number of different ways. And we need to get this clarified and make sure it fits in with the rule. And so if you look at AP600, Westinghouse says that's a modular design. Well, what that means though is that they envision portions of the plant being assembled off- site and those modules brought together and put together on the site forming one complete nuclear reactor plant. Now comes pebblebed. They also refer to that design as modular, but what they mean when they say that is that the overall plant is going to consist of upwards of ten small nuclear reactors. And they refer to those small reactors as modules. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Yeah. MR. WILSON: Well, those are much different definitions. We need to do something to clarify what the Commission is talking about in terms of its authorization to operate. And so this is the first shot at this, we're not done with this. But the goal here is to clarify how the Commission is going to treat modular reactors, given that the industry is using this term in a number of different ways. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: But again, maybe I'm missing something, but I don't know why you need the second definition. I mean Westinghouse may be using it, but how does it affect the regulations? MR. WILSON: As I said, we're not done yet. I tend to agree with you, we probably don't. But I'm getting this out here so we can facilitate future discussions and in the proposed rule hopefully get this straightened out. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: I mean the first one clearly is meaningful because, you know, they may start with three modules and then add further modules years later. And that makes much more sense. MR. WILSON: And that allows me to make a point I forgot to make, is this draft ruling, which is a work in progress, this isn't the finished thing. There may be changes in it before we actually come up with the final proposal. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: All right. MEMBER SHACK: Anymore comments or questions? I believe we have, NEI would like to say some things about their petitions. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Thank you very much, Mr. Wilson. You handled us well. MR. WILSON: Many years of experience. (Laughter.) MEMBER SHACK: Dealing with grumpy old men, right. (Laughter.) MR. WILSON: The secret is get them fighting among themselves. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: That's right. MEMBER KRESS: I am not old. MR. ROSEN: Or grumpy. MEMBER KRESS: Well, grumpy I admit to. (Laughter.) MR. BELL: Thank you. My name is Russell Bell and I am from NEI. Thanks for inviting me to just say a few brief words, especially in the lateness of the hour and the interest of the committee. Let me just follow up by, we're making a few key points as we provide, continue to provide input to the NRC on the Part 52 rule making. And I'll start by agreeing with Jerry that Part 52, probably is, could be used as is. Yet the plan has been all along to reflect some lessons learned, make some clarifications and some adjustments and corrections characterized. And that's happening. The fact that it can be used as is doesn't mean though that it can't be improved in a more substantive way, or that as long as we're opening the book again and revising it, we shouldn't take advantage of the opportunity to look for ways to enhance the rule. So we've identified a number of changes along the lines that Jerry talked about. Clarifications, corrections. In fact many of the same ones. However, we've identified or we're advocating two additional CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: -- the front. MR. BELL: The one that says on/off? (Laughter.) MR. ROSEN: When all else fails, try following the procedure. MR. BELL: This is my only visual aid. Hopefully you got a copy. And there are two main things I want to talk about that are inextricably linked. In addition to the kinds of things, the clarifications, the corrections, we are advocating two proposals that are more substantive. And July 18th it was of this year we submitted two rule making petitions to the NRC. I think that you have those in your packages. And they're aimed at improving the focus and efficiency of the Part 52 process. This is for the early site permit and combined licenses. So now is the time to look for these kinds of things and in fact the Commission admonished in their February 13th, requirements memorandum to look for process efficiencies and we think we've found some. The first would avoid so-called duplicative reviews of valid, existing site or facility information that was previously reviewed and approved by the NRC and subject to a hearing. So here we're thinking about, you've heard that new plants would most likely first be sited at existing facilities. Either existing plants where, well where plants are operating or where plants were perhaps approved to be built, but were never built. And that makes perfect sense. And intuitively there should be some efficiencies available to do that. This might be taking credit for some of the ology type information that doesn't, that doesn't change very much over, you know, a couple of decades or several years. It might be the fact that if you put a plant at an existing, if you put a new plant at an existing site where plants are running, there are operational programs in place related to emergency planning and radiation protection and all those kinds of things that are up and running. They are established effective programs that would, and then the proposal would be that those would be expanded to encompass the additional units. To accomplish this we've proposed two new sections to the rule numbered 52.16 and 52.8. The other petition seeks to eliminate outdated, frankly, NRC reviews of alternate sites, alternative sources of generation and need for power. These emanate from the National Environmental -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Policy Act. MR. BELL: -- Policy Act, NEPA. Thank you. And, which is carried out for NRC via Part 51 regulations. The, this petition that looks to be in line with the views that the Chairman expressed in a letter to Senator Domenici, also in February, I believe, where he said these matters are more the business of the state and local officials and the marketplace to determine, again, what type of generation to build, where it is needed and whether it is needed. And the NRC really is, these matters are distant from the NRC's mission. So these two are obviously more than a correction, it's more than a clarification. These are substantive enhancements that we'd like to see. In commenting on the Part 52 rule making, we're advocating that these, action on these petition, which by the way, the comments were due to today on the petitions. I forwarded them to the NRC earlier today and maybe you already have a copy of our November 8th letter which summarizes the basis and the intent of the, both proposals. We're advocating that the NRC expedite consideration and action on these proposals so that they can get on board with the ongoing Part 52 rule making which is now scheduled to, I think the staff schedule is to complete work on that in April, send the paper, the proposed rule to the Commission. We're down to the -- I'll pause for questions in a moment. Why don't I just finish. On the Part 52 rule making again, I mentioned the schedule is now April. There was a time when the schedule was this past April, for the notice of proposed rule making. And for good reasons we and the NRC agreed that we should take the time now, take more time to consider the range of changes that might be necessary. You don't go and revise a major piece of work like Part 52 very often, so we ought to get it right. But now the rule making has slipped again to April of next year and frankly the cushion we had or the surplus schedule we had is gone. This is the center piece of the regulatory frame work for new plants, so our message is that center piece, that regulatory infrastructure for new plants needs to be in place and we're hoping that there will be no further delay. So the need to expedite the action on the rule making, on the, excuse me, the petitions. We have had a number of interactions on all these matters. The petition issues as well as the lesser clarifications, corrections, these types of things we've had a number of conversations and public meetings with the staff. And I believe the comments are due on Tuesday, that the staff, as Jerry pointed out, issue draft, publish draft ruling for stakeholder comment. Those comments are due Tuesday and we'll be providing input to the staff next week. At the bottom there it just highlights a couple of things. In terms of the 50.59-like process, I think it's important to preserve the distinction between so-called design basis information versus severe accident-related information which is required by Part 52. Okay, the original certifications include a higher threshold for determining when prior NRC approval is required for severe accident information versus design basis. And that higher threshold is known as a substantial increase threshold. And we'd like to -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Let me understand this, Russ. Are you saying that if, that I can change for severe accidents the way of calculating something? MR. BELL: Yeah. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: If I can show first that these would result in a substantial increase in the frequency of occurrence of an accident or all these rules of 50.59, rather than a minimal increase? You are replacing minimal by substantial? MR. BELL: That's right. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: And you're doing that for the accidents, severe accident issues? MR. BELL: Right. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Only? MR. BELL: That's right. And I'll just, just to reiterate -- CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Okay, just to understand it. MR. BELL: The existing rule has the work substantial increase in there. And while we think it's appropriate to substitute minimal elsewhere in the 50.59-like process, as it applies to professional design basis information, we wouldn't touch this part of it. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: So the rule now is being changed when they insert this language, minimal? MR. BELL: Yes. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: The existing rule already says substantial. Well, you can't say these things because this is 50.59 thinking that is very recent. MEMBER SHACK: Right, I mean you know in the old one, the Tier 2 change, the design basis was, you know, unresolved safety issue, I guess. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Unreviewed safety issues. MEMBER SHACK: Unreviewed. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: so now you would have two different sets of conditions for a departure from Tier 2? MR. BELL: And there always have been, just again, to reiterate. One of the corrections Jerry highlighted was that to require COL applicants who do not reference a certified design to be subject to the same requirements as design certification applicants for testing and demonstrating performance of innovative safety features. And we're, our strong view is that that's, that should not be, that new requirement should not be included in the notice of proposed rule making that comes out. In fact, the record on Part 52 seems pretty clear to us that the Commission considered whether that type of requirement was appropriate at licensing. They spoke to it in the statements of consideration of the Part 52 rule and said that it, in fact, it should not. So again, we'd like to, like to see no change there. MR. ROSEN: I really don't understand that. Can you help me through that? We set up a certified design and anybody who says they'll build in accordance with that gets all sorts of relief. But the next guy comes in and says I don't like that certified design, I want to build something else that I kind of worked out in my garage. And it's got highly enriched uranium in it. And that guy wouldn't be subject to the same testing and performance demonstration requirements as design certification applicants because he's not referencing the design, certified design. He can do anything he wants. So I don't understand that. MR. BELL: He would, in terms of requirements for obtaining the license he would have to go through this. He would not be required to demonstrate prior to obtaining the licensing through testing and prototype testing, separate affects testing. The kinds of things that he's, that his innovative design is proposing to do. In the license, presumably, there would be conditions on demonstrating those features through, you know, start up testing. And I think these kinds of things have been done before. In fact, there's existing NRC guidance that says this is the best and appropriate. MR. ROSEN: And presumably the purpose of this is to encourage innovation? Or what are, it seems -- MR. BELL: Yes, in fact the Commission statements, which I don't have in front of me, spoke in terms of the burden that required for instance that prototype testing be complete prior to COL issuance, that would impose a significant burden. But they went on to say, but that's, there are ways around that, including licensing the prototype. And again, demonstrating through start up testing that the innovative safety features are -- MR. ROSEN: I'm getting the picture now. This is to permit something like a PBMR, effectively. Because a PBMR is not a certified design. MR. BELL: It's in space. MR. ROSEN: And so it would not be subject to the same testing and performance demonstration requirements. MR. BELL: As a condition of getting, prior to granting the license. MR. ROSEN: This is the door through which the PBMR goes, is what I see. Is that right? MEMBER POWERS: Why are we doing this? MEMBER SIEBER: So you don't have to build prototypes, the operating plant prototype. MR. ROSEN: Oh, so you don't have to get the designed certified if you're a PBMR. You can just get some other, you know, Part 52 will apply to you, you go through this window if it's put in. Clearly, you get some other arrangement with the Commission to do a prototype of something else, whatever license -- MEMBER POWERS: Why would I want to do this? MR. ROSEN: I'm not sure you would. MEMBER POWERS: No, I don't think I want to do this. I mean if the guy can't come in and show me -- MR. ROSEN: This is NEI's proposal. MEMBER POWERS: Yeah, I mean, what are we arguing here, that somebody can come in here with some cockamamie scheme for passive heat removal or something like that, and because it's sufficiently cockamamie that nobody can figure out whether it works or not without even building it and try it? MR. BELL: I think the staff would perform its historical function in terms of the design review, and in fact, 50.34 the date of the existing requirements on providing technical information in support of a design that demonstrates adequate ECCS performance and all these kinds of things. All those requirements would apply and a licensee, like Exelon, an applicant like Exelon or anyone else, would have to provide that type of information. There would still be, of course, the give and take that occurs between the staff and the licensee. MEMBER POWERS: I can see this as a staff stress test on a guy who spent a billion dollars building a reactor and the staff comes along and says, no, you don't get a license. It sounds like a staff stress test to me. MR. BELL: I would just, just to clarify I would say that's not an NEI proposal. I think the Commission consciously thought about this, to their credit, back in 1989, 1992, when these statements were written, and intended the rule to be exactly the way it is. So those are a couple of things that rise above the others in terms of our recommendations that are tabulated in the letter that we'll be sending to the NRC on Tuesday. MR. ROSEN: Now, let me just focus on this NEPA business for a minute, alternatives. MEMBER POWERS: I think one of the things that I recognized is haven't we opted out of NEPA? As a committee, didn't we opt out of NEPA? MEMBER KRESS: Yeah, we did. MEMBER SIEBER: Yes, we did. MEMBER KRESS: But that doesn't mean that -- MEMBER SIEBER: But this is a rule. MR. ROSEN: I'm going to ask a question about, about what you, about your letter. The third bullet or the second bullet on Page 6 of your letter. It says the industry proposal is consistent with NEPA, which requires consideration of alternatives, but does not specifically require the NRC to consider alternative sites, alternative generating sources and the need for power. Although the NRC has historically conducted these reviews, they are not required by NEPA. MR. BELL: Right. MR. ROSEN: So basically you're saying we'll always hear that NRC has been going beyond the burdens of NEPA? MR. BELL: Yes. MR. ROSEN: And NEI is saying here, stop doing that, we suggest you stop doing that. Stop going beyond the burdens of NEPA. MR. BELL: It's time to reassess that. We're about, hopefully we're on the verge of a renaissance. MR. ROSEN: How will the burdens of NEPA be carried then, since it requires consideration of alternatives. Where will that consideration be, who does it? MR. BELL: Closer to home. By the applicant itself in concert with his state and local governments and communities and the marketplace. MR. ROSEN: Okay, I get it. MR. BELL: Anything else? Thank you. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Yes, Dr. Shack? Back to me? MEMBER SHACK: Back to you. CHAIRMAN APOSTOLAKIS: Thank you very much. We'll recess for 15 minutes. (Whereupon, the foregoing matter went off the record at 5:35 p.m.)
Page Last Reviewed/Updated Monday, August 15, 2016
Page Last Reviewed/Updated Monday, August 15, 2016